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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
06/07/10 8-8-0 50.00% +105 Detail
06/06/10 14-14-2 50.00% -440 Detail
06/05/10 19-11-0 63.33% +3990 Detail
06/04/10 13-16-1 44.83% -1330 Detail
06/03/10 9-8-1 52.94% +535 Detail
06/02/10 16-12-0 57.14% +1575 Detail
06/01/10 15-14-1 51.72% +335 Detail
Totals 94-83-5 53.11% +4770

Tuesday, June 8Game Score Status Pick Amount

NY Yankees - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +196 500 *****
Baltimore - Under 8.5 500

Boston - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +141 500 *****
Cleveland - Over 9.5 500

Florida - 7:05 PM ET Florida +130 500 *****
Philadelphia - Over 9.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +187 500 *****
Washington - Under 8.5 500

Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Toronto +187 500 *****
Tampa Bay - Over 9 500

San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco -131 500
Cincinnati - Under 8.5 500

San Diego - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -138 500
NY Mets - Under 7 500

Seattle - 8:05 PM ET Texas -107 500
Texas - Under 8.5 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit +108 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 9 500

Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota -127 500
Minnesota - Under 8 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +132 500 *****
Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

Houston - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -200 500
Colorado - Over 9.5 500

Atlanta - 9:40 PM ET Atlanta -104 500
Arizona - Over 9.5 500

LA Angels - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +136 500 ******
Oakland - Over 8 500

St. Louis - 10:10 PM ET St. Louis -113 500
LA Dodgers - Under 7.5 500


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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
06/06/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
06/03/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
Totals 2-2-0 50.00% -100

Tuesday, June 8Game Score Status Pick Amount

L.A. Lakers - 9:00 PM ET Boston -2.5 500 *****
Boston - Under 192.5 500 *****
 

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Dunkel



NY Yankees at Baltimore
The Orioles look to take advantage of a New York team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games as a road favorite. Baltimore is the pick (+200) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+200). Here are all of today's picks..

TUESDAY, JUNE 8

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.735; Washington (Strasburg) 14.020
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-215); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+185); Under

Game 903-904: Florida at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.174; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.430
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over

Game 905-906: San Francisco at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.117; Cincinnati (LeCure) 16.129
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120); Over

Game 907-908: San Diego at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 16.026; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.723
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 14.267; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.891
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Over

Game 911-912: Houston at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 15.434; Colorado (Francis) 15.524
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-210); Over

Game 913-914: Atlanta at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 14.945; Arizona (Jackson) 16.039
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Under

Game 915-916: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.557; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 16.376
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 15.580; Cleveland (Huff) 15.064
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 14.226; Baltimore (Millwood) 14.328
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+200); Over

Game 921-922: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 16.563; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.839
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+170); Under

Game 923-924: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.422; Texas (Lewis) 15.954
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Over

Game 925-926: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 13.433; White Sox (Floyd) 14.899
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over

Game 927-928: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 15.749; Minnesota (Slowey) 16.545
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.779; Oakland (Mazzaro) 16.669
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-150); Under
 

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Write-Up



Tuesday, June 8

Hot pitchers

-- Karstens is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Pelfrey is 4-0, 1.26 in his last four starts. Richard is 3-1, 2.38 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 2-2, 1.16 in his last four starts.
-- Kendrick is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
-- Gallardo is 6-1, 2.21 in his last nine starts. Lilly has 2.11 RA in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 2-1, 2.27 in his last four starts.
-- Carpenter is 3-0, 2.83 in his last four starts.
-- Atlanta is 4-1 when Medlen starts (2-0, 3.34).

-- Hughes is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Niemann is 1-0, 2.45 in five home starts.
-- Galarraga is 2-1, 3.26 in three starts, last of which was one out away from being a perfect game.
-- Slowey is 1-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
-- FHernandez is 1-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg was 7-2, 1.30 in 11 minor league starts; this is most Nats have been favored by in five years. Game is a sellout.
-- Volstad is 0-4, 4.66 in his last five starts.
-- Lecure is 1-1, 3.97 in two starts this season.
-- Francis is 0-2, 7.36 in his last couple starts. Moehler is 0-1, 11.25 in two starts this season.
-- Kuroda is 0-3, 7.88 in his last three starts.

-- Wakefield is 0-2, 13.97 in his last couple starts. Huff is 2-5, 8.57 in his last ten starts.
-- Millwood is 0-2, 6.19 in his last five starts.
-- Tallet is 1-1, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Floyd is 1-4, 6.75 in his last six starts.
-- Greinke is 0-3, 7.47 in his last three starts.
-- Lewis is 1-4, 4.38 in his last six starts.
-- Mazzaro allowed four runs in three IP in his only '10 start.

Totals
-- Three of last four Pirate games went over the total.
-- Under is 14-4-1 in last 19 Philadelphia games.
-- Seven of last ten San Francisco road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six games at Citi Field.
-- Under is 7-3 in Cubs' last ten games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten games at Coors Field.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Last four games at Dodger Stadium went over the total. .

-- Over is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Cleveland games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Baltimore's last five games. Under is 10-1-2 in last 13 Bronx road contests.
-- Under is 12-3 in last fifteen games at Tropicana Field.
-- Six of last nine Texas games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Minnesota's last 17 home games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Oakland home games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won their last eight home games. Padres are 12-5 in their last 17 road games.
-- Reds are 11-4 in their last fifteen home games. Giants won eight of their last eleven games overall.
-- Rockies won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Braves won 10 of their last 13 games. Arizona won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Cardinals won eight of their last eleven games. Dodgers won 14 of their last 19 home games

-- Red Sox won 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Bronx won six of its last eight games, but is 3-5 in last 8 on road.
-- Rangers are 15-6 in their last 21 home games.
-- Minnesota won its last four home games, outscoring foes 24-9.
-- Angels won nine of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost five of their last six games. Pirates lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last nine games. Brewers lost six of eight.
-- Phillies lost 10 of their last 14 games. Marlins lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost 10 of last 12 games on road; they're 5-2 in last 7 overall.

-- Indians lost 12 of their last 15 home games.
-- Orioles lost 10 of their last 11 games.
-- Rays lost five of their last seven home games. Blue Jays lost five of their last seven road games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven home games. Detroit lost six of last eight away games.
-- Royals lost six of their last nine games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Oakland lost five of its last seven games.
 

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Tuesday, June 8


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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Washington
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Florida
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games at home

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games at home

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. NY METS
San Diego is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
San Diego is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CINCINNATI
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi Cubs's last 25 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Detroit is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Kansas City is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Kansas City

8:40 PM
HOUSTON vs. COLORADO
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games

9:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

10:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games

10:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
 

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Tuesday, June 8

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (+180, 8.5)

New York’s offensive slump may not be much of a factor in this series against the worst team in baseball.

The Yankees come into this three-game set at Camden Yards having scored an average of 2.33 runs per game during a weekend series with Toronto. The Pinstripers had to rally for all four of their runs in the eighth inning of Sunday’s 4-3 win to avoid the sweep.

"There's frustration in not scoring runs. For them to get it up and win this game -- big win," manager Joe Girardi told the Yankees' official website.

Fortunately for New York, the Orioles don’t offer much competition in the offensive department. Baltimore snapped a 10-game skid with a 4-3 victory over Boston Sunday but averaged just 1.81 runs per outing in its last 11 games – eight of which the team scored two runs or fewer in.

Phil Hughes absolutely shut down the Birds’ offense last Wednesday, giving up six hits and one earned run in 7.0 innings of work. Baltimore has scored a total of 20 runs in nine games (2.22 rpg) versus the Yanks this season.

Alex Rodriguez left Sunday’s game with a tight groin and although he expects to play Tuesday, this is an injury that could limit his productivity at the plate.

Unless New York’s offense awoke from its catnap during the off-day and can put up eight runs by itself Tuesday, this affair should stay under the total.

Pick: Under


Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays (-200, 9)


After taking two-of-three from the Yankees, Toronto is threatening to catch the Rays atop the AL East standings. And if Tampa doesn’t get its bats going, the improbable might just happen.

Joe Maddon moved catcher Jason Jaso to the top of the lineup prior to Saturday’s game in hopes of jumpstarting the offense. The Rays scored one run that evening and Jaso went 0-for-4. But in his second start as the leadoff hitter Sunday, Jaso registered a career-high five RBIs and the team won 9-5.

These division opponents have seen each other as recently as last week. Tampa Bay took two out of three games in Toronto and the Rays were in no shortage of runs after scoring 16 in the three-game series.

The Jays haven’t had any trouble hitting this season, leading the majors with 97 home runs and having plated the fourth-most runs (295).

"(The Blue Jays) have a quality team," Rays starting pitcher Jeff Niemann told MLB.com. "It's not really a surprise they're playing as well as they are. That lineup over there, it's a good lineup, and they're getting some good pitching."

Tuesday’s game is a pitching rematch of last week’s. Niemann surrendered a season-high five runs and nine hits over 6.1 innings while Toronto starter Brian Tallet worked 5.2 scoreless innings but had a nice performance ruined by closer Kevin Gregg.

That 7-6 victory by Tampa went well over the posted total of 9 and with both lineups ahead of the scouting reports having recently seen each pitcher; bettors should expect an abundance of runs Tuesday.

Pick: Over


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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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This is the type of day in the big leagues when batters everywhere are going to look silly. They’re going to be chasing sliders out of the zone, out in front of A+ changeups and buckling their knees at 12-6 curve balls.

That’s because Tuesday’s scheduled starting pitchers includes eight pitchers with ERAs under 3.00, and that’s not even counting the defending AL Cy Young winner and another guy who threw a perfect game (sort of) in his last start.

Oh yeah, some kid named Strasburg is making his major league debut too.

While we could pick about 10 streaking hurlers for today’s action we stuck with two. So please, don’t grill us about this guy or that guy not being on the list of streakers.

We know all about it and the whole *********** staff might just play the under on every game on the board.

Streaking

Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants


This Jints ace is throwing smoke these days. He’s surrendered just one earned run in his last three starts and has gone the distance in two of those three games.

The under is 7-1-1 in his last nine outings even though oddsmakers are throwing 7- and 6.5-run totals on his starts.

He’s usually moderately priced and San Fran has won in each of his last two trips to the bump.

Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels

Remember how everyone wondered if Weaver could handle the responsibility of being his team’s No. 1 starter? Well, so far so good.

Weaver owns a spiffy 2.50 ERA and has struck out four times has many batters as he’s walked.

His win-loss record would be a lot higher if he could get some help from the bats and the bullpen but bettors can take comfort knowing he usually gives you seven innings of good work.


Slumping

Zack Greinke, Kansas City Royals


You know it’s a good day for the arms when we’re forced to include the reigning AL Cy Young winner into the slumping section. Then again, in a way, Greinke has been one of the most disappointing pitchers in baseball this season.

We understand he pitches for a terrible team and he loses a lot of games he wouldn’t on a stronger club. But that doesn’t defend giving up 10 hits and four runs in his last start or seven earned runs in under four innings of work in his third to last start.

Add it all up and you’ve got the majors’ worst money pitcher.

Greinke is now 1-7 and the Royals are 2-8 in his last 10 appearances.

Tim Wakefield, Boston Red Sox

You’ve got to have a strong stomach to have a knuckleballer in your starting rotation because when that pitch isn’t dancing things can get ugly.

Tim Wakefield recently rejoined the starting rotation because of an injury to Josh Beckett and he impressed in his first outing, pitching eight scoreless innings.

But in his next two starts Wakefield allowed 15 earned runs in just 9.2 innings of work.
 

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MLB Systems that circle the bases

On this Tuesday in baseball, believe it or not there are other baseball games as or possibly even more important than Pittsburgh at Washington. While you can still buy a ticket to Roy Halladay’s perfect game in Florida (at full price no less, go Marlins), there are four baseball systems (plus a bonus play) in place tonight for the online sports betting fan which could add to cash to wagering account. All money lines and totals are from Bookmaker.com.

Florida at Philadelphia 7:05E

Another lesser known rookie will be making his debut, as power hitter Mike Stanton will be in the Marlins batting order. The 20-year-old outfielder has been tearing it up Double-A Jacksonville (hitting .311 with 21 homers and 52 RBIs in 52 games) and his first big league at bat will be against Kyle Kendrick (3-2, 4.62 ERA) who has found a groove and is 3-1 with a 2.79 ERA in his last six outings.

Philadelphia (30-26, -6.4 units) still isn’t hitting the baseball, averaging two runs per contest in last 13 outings, however their fielding has been impeccable, with no errors in last five games. The Phillies are -138 money line choice and favorites with a ML of -125 to -175, after three straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher whose given up one or less earned runs in his last two outings are 65-19 since 2006. (Note: The San Francisco Giants and Matt Cain also fit this system)

Toronto at Tampa Bay 7:10E

The Rays are seventh in the American League in home runs, but still manufacture runs well enough to be third in baseball at 5.2 per game. Tampa Bay (37-20, +6.5) won on Sunday 9-5 in Texas to salvage a .500 road trip and send Jeff Niemann (5-0, 2.79) up against Toronto’s ( 33-25, +12) power laden lineup.

The Blue Jays lead the Major’s in home runs yet only bat .245 as a team and Niemann and the Rays are 8-0 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. Tampa Bay is a -195 ML pick and our potent ******* database finds home favorites with a ML of -175 to -250, averaging 0.9 or less dingers a game on the season, after a win by four runs or more, are 27-4 the previous three years.

Kansas City at Minnesota 8:10E

Zack Grienke (1-7, 3.60) might be feeling the pressure of late with the lack of run support and trying to be too perfect. Last year’s Cy Young award winner has a 7.04 ERA in last three starts, allowing 24 hits in 15 1/3 innings. He’s received the lowest run support in the American League at 2.64 per start.

“The last month I haven’t really been myself, I guess,” said Greinke. “Everything looks tougher, like the hitters look better and the strike zone looks smaller. It just seems tougher out there at the moment.”

The Kansas City hurler will take on a Minnesota team (33-24, +3.2) scrambling for bodies with a number of injuries and not hitting the ball. With oddsmakers setting the total Un8, the play is UNDER when a ice cold hitting team is batting .200 or worse over their last five games, against opponent with a frigid starting pitcher, whose ERA is 7.00 or higher over his last three starts. In the last 13 years this system is 67-28 below the number.

St. Louis at L.A. Dodgers 10:10E

The Cardinals offense could be a Dateline mystery on NBC, ranking a pedestrian 14th overall at 4.6 runs per game. Manager Tony LaRussa gave the appearance at least that last night’s game was not particularly important using two pitchers Blake Hawksworth and P.J. Walters, in a 12-4 loss to Los Angeles (34-24, +3.6).

Evidently, LaRussa is focusing on the last two games of the series and has Chris Carpenter (7-1, 2.76) on one extra day rest taking on Dodgers starter Hiroki Kuroda (5-4, 3.63). Carpenter is 9-0 with a 2.42 ERA in his last 14 regular-season road starts; however has 5.21 ERA when pitching with five or more days rest.

Does it make it a wise to bet to back the underdog Dodgers at +115, since National League clubs scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs a contest vs. a NL starter with an ERA of 3.70 or less, after allowing 10 runs or more, are 19-49?
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The Stephen Strasburgh era begins in Washington

WASHINGTON (AP)—The anticipation is nearly over. The 21-year-old with the fastball that approaches 100 mph and the curve that freezes batters is about to take the mound in the nation’s capital. Stephen Strasburg is set to make his Washington Nationals debut Tuesday night. Standing room only tickets went on sale Monday, all part of a rare Nationals Park sellout. The Internet is humming with offers for good seats. More than 200 requests for media credentials have been submitted, forcing officials to turn a dining area into a work space to accommodate all those reporters with laptops.


For the Nationals (27-31, +6.7 units), Strasburg’s major league debut is best summed up in one word.

Finally.

“I’m looking forward to that first outing or two being out of the way,” manager Jim Riggleman said. “I know the attention’s not going to go away completely, but the anticipation of the thing has been building since the draft — and before the draft—last year.”

No one’s seen anything like it. A No. 1 overall pick who gets sellout, rock-star, hire-extra-security treatment in minor league cities such as Harrisburg and Rochester. It’s the type of overexposure usually reserved for top picks in the NFL or NBA.

The Nationals are actually having a decent year following back-to-back 100-losses seasons and are coming off a pair of losses to Cincinnati and are 18-11 after a loss this season. However, everything they’ve done has been overshadowed by talk about a player who didn’t have a locker in the clubhouse, whose debut against the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-34, +2) has been given its own baseball holiday nickname: “Strasmas.”

“He needs to take a step back, take a deep breath and kind of soak in the moment because you only debut once in your career. It’s a special day for him, also,” general manager Mike Rizzo said. “We’re looking forward to getting back into a more normal routine with Stephen Strasburg as part of the Washington Nationals.”

That would be just fine with Strasburg. He has candidly stated on many occasions that his Majors debut has been long overdue.

“I feel like I’ve been ready,” he said after his last minor league outing, five scoreless innings for Triple-A Syracuse at Buffalo last week.
There’s not much argument there. It was almost cruel to watch Strasburg overwhelm hitters in Double-A and Triple-A. His combined stats: 7-2 with a 1.30 ERA with 65 strikeouts and only 13 walks in 55 1-3 innings.

But money trumped wins, at least this year. Having already invested heavily in the right-hander from San Diego State with a record $15.1 million contract over four years, the Nationals wanted to save some dough down the road by calling Strasburg up after June 1, thus delaying by one year the eventual date when he will be eligible for arbitration.

Strasburg is also looking forward to normalcy because he’s not a limelight guy.

He usually doesn’t have much to say when the microphones are turned on, and the team has protected him by limiting his availability. He will sometimes let a reporter know if he doesn’t care for a question, which can both refreshing and embarrassing. Strasburg was married in January, but the Nationals have already announced that on Tuesday: “Strasburg’s family will NOT be available to media (no exceptions).”

Relief pitcher Drew Storen has been called the anti-Strasburg. Drafted nine places after his more famous teammates; Storen is on Twitter and always has time for an interview. At spring training, Strasburg seemed to have an invisible wall around him, while Storen once spent about 10 minutes with reporters discussing socks. Storen, called up to the majors a few weeks ago, jokes that he and Strasburg have “that Batman-Robin thing going on.”

Storen, therefore, doesn’t mind sharing the news: Strasburg does indeed have a pulse.

“He’s got a great personality—it’s just that he’s a very low-key guy,” Storen said. “And it’s not what you’d expect out of a guy like that. You expect a big-time talent to have a big-time personality and be this real outspoken guy, and he’s far from that. He’s a guy that will ask anybody questions and is willing to learn from anybody, and that’s the key to his success. … He’s got a different type personality than I do, but he’s got the right personality for the position he’s in.”

The toned-down persona hasn’t stopped the hype machine. Want to bet on how Strasburg’s going to do Tuesday? There are odds on whether his first pitch will be a ball or strike, how many innings he’ll last and nearly everything else in between. Sports bettors have this as one-sided affair, as Washington opened as -165 money line favorites and they have been bet all the way up to -210.

Nationals Park has been sold out only once so far this season—on opening day—but the thought that Strasburg might pitch drew the season’s second biggest crowd Friday against Cincinnati. Strasburg’s thoughts about it all? Pretty straightforward.

“It’s my major league debut. What more can you say?” he said. “It’s something I’ve dreamed about my entire life, and now it’s starting to become a reality.”

At least Strasburg won’t have to wait long for the next phenom to come along. Baseball’s draft was held Monday, and the Nationals again held the No. 1 overall pick. As expected, Washington selected Bryce Harper, a junior college slugger who’s had about as much hype as Strasburg.

It makes for quite a week for a franchise that hasn’t had a winning season since moving to Washington from Montreal in 2005. “I can’t remember back-to-back years where there’s two players who have separated themselves from the rest of the field the way Strasburg did in ’09 and Harper does in ’10,” Rizzo said. “In that respect, it is very, very unique. I think it’s a lucky time to have two No. 1 picks overall.”

The Nationals have a great deal of baggage to overcome, with a 15-25 record as a home favorite of -110 or higher and though the anticipation had one more day to build, Washington is 4-22 playing with a day off over the last two seasons.

Bookmaker.com has the total at Un8.5 and that’s a hard prediction given the circumstances, nevertheless the Nats are is 13-3 UNDER after two straight games with one or less extra base hits, while Pittsburgh is 36-21 OVER in road games after a loss by four runs or more. The Pirates offense continues to struggle and they are 12-42 away from home after batting .250 or worse over a 20-game span over the last two years.

The buzz in the ballyard will be fun in Washington for a change and Bucs starter Jeff Karstens (1-1, 4.50) has to keep his emotions in check to give his club a chance to win. MLB.TV will broadcast the game 7:05 Eastern and ESPN will be covering this event in the afternoon before the telecast as only they can.
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Add Umpires to Baseball Betting Portfolio

This baseball season, umpires have been in the news a bit more often than usual. Joe West called out the Yankees and Red Sox for slow play in April, as most of their games go right up against a 240 minute hour glass. And just last week Jim Joyce cost Detroit’s Armando Galarraga a place in baseball history by missing a call that would have given him the 21st perfect game ever.

But umpires have other uses besides being screamed at like “Hey ump you stink” or “Come on blue get in the game”. Sharp baseball bettors take the time to study or at the very least know whose working behind the dish to understand what kind of influence they may have on the outcome of a game.

This is especially true for baseball bettors who playing totals. Umpiring is more standardized today with the use of modern equipment to see how consistent an umpire is in calling balls and strikes, compared to the old days when the National League was known a “high ball” league and American League was known as a “low ball” league based on how they wore their chest protectors.

Those days are gone, however each umpire interprets the strike zone differently and it tends to be somewhat of a moving target.

This is where you find some are liberal with the zone and their games tend to be lower scoring, while others are smaller, either by width or height and the games they call behind the plate are often higher scoring with pitchers having to catch more of plate which gives batters a better choice of pitches to hit.

Here are the umpires that have called the highest percentage of Over contests this season.

Games OVER the total (Pushes not listed)

Angel Campos 9-2
Tim Welke 9-2
Angel Hernandez 9-3
Mike Reilly 8-3
Sam Holbrook 6-2

Next are the umps that have called the most Under the oddsmakers total.

Games UNDER the total (Pushes not listed)

Jim Wolf 10-1
Bob Davidson 10-2
Bruce Dreckman 9-2
Dan Iassogna 9-3

One aspect that has to be considered is who and the types of pitchers involved. If the men in shirtsleeves this time of year have No. 4 or 5 starters on consistent basis and they have tighter strike zone to begin with, needless to say the chances of a higher scoring game go up. Conversely, if an umpire draws the top pitchers from the various teams and normally gives the hurler the benefit of the doubt to begin with, than he’s more inclined to have games flying Under the number.

One further point of consideration is the record of an umpire in home or away situations. This generally is less important, nevertheless extreme cases should be part of the decision-making process.

These guys are human and are going to be influenced by their surroundings, a juiced up home crowd could sway decisions, just like what happens in basketball to officials. Other umps might be a touch “prickly”, and go out of their way to give the visitor the benefit of the doubt.

You can’t help but notice the home team is 12-0 with Ted Tichenor behind the plate in a home ball park in 2010. Others with figures supporting the club that bats last are Tim McClelland 11-2, Gerry Davis 10-3, Brian O’Nora 10-3, Greg Gibson 10-3 and Jerry Meals 10-3.

Those that have the opposite numbers with the visiting team coming out ahead are Ed Rapuano 9-2 (visitors record), Marvin Hudson 8-3, plus Bob Davidson and Laz Diaz at 9-4.

The idea isn’t to base a baseball wager on the outcome of what an umpire’s record is on totals or sides, but to understand they can and do influence the outcome of games. Mixed with other key information, they are part of the fabric of the game and baseball wagering.
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