Some #'s for 6/9 games

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Been tracking early line movement since day 1 of the season. It's just another tool to help handicap the games. Using 2 sets of data and sometimes the plays listed will contradict. Teams noted will be based all teams %'s for certain situations (prior games results and movement). They are situations that the specified teams are in for todays games only.

#1

Ariz 30-11 overall (rl 65%), 17-7 G2+, 7-6 LL

Lad 5-0 overall, 4-0 G2+

Tb 5-2 overall, 4-2 G2+

Tex 4-1 overall (rl 75%), 2-1 G2+

Kc 6-2 overall, 4-0 G2+

Oak 30-4 (rl 65%), 17-7 G2+, 23-5 WL

#2

Phila 30-13 overall, 18-10 G2+, 17-6 WL

Cinn 30-13 overall, 18-10 G2+, 13-7 LL

Lad 20-5 overall (rl 75%), 11-4 G2+

Nyy 8-0 overall (rl 62%), 4-0 G2+

Tex 20-5 overall (rl 75%), 11-4 G2+

Minn 20-5 overall (rl 75%), 11-4 G2+
 

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OK, UNCLE! I give up. What exactly are the situations we're looking at, and could you use TX as an example since they happen to be my second favorite play tonight. TIA

~T~
 

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OK, UNCLE! I give up. What exactly are the situations we're looking at, and could you use TX as an example since they happen to be my second favorite play tonight. TIA

~T~

Tmader - any data that is shown next to a team name is only specific to that team for whatever day the post occurs. In Data set #2, Texas is 20-5 overall (rl 75%), 11-4 G2+. What I am saying is that Texas finds itself in a situation for todays game that has occurred 25 times this year and the result was 20 wins/5 losses (15 wins by the runline). When this situation happenened in any game besides G1, the result was 11 wins/4 losses. Texas may or may not have been part of the 20 wins or 5 losses in this set of games. They just find themselves (today) in this set, which is based upon line movement and/or whether or not they won or lost their last game. Their is absolutely no handicapping involved, just looking at some data points since day 1 of the season. hope it helped.
 

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@):)@):) You'd have gotten one hell of a kick watching me go over their season results to come up with that 20-5; damn near broke one of my computers. Thanks for curing my headache.

~T~
 

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So am I correct then in saying that the Dodgers and Rangers are the two teams that are the potential plays here? Thanks
 

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@):)@):) You'd have gotten one hell of a kick watching me go over their season results to come up with that 20-5; damn near broke one of my computers. Thanks for curing my headache.

~T~

No problem
 

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So am I correct then in saying that the Dodgers and Rangers are the two teams that are the potential plays here? Thanks

Vic - All of the teams posted have a higher probability of winning the game than losing. It does not mean that they won't lose. Afterall, all but 1 are the listed favorite for the game. Some are small favs and some large. The thing is, the numbers are usually irrelevant to the individual teams specified but are only relevant to the situation that the teams find themselves in for today's games. You kinda need to be a believer in probability to have any confidence in the #'s. As for La & Tex, they double up so supposedly data set #1 confirms data set #2. It certainly does not mean that they will win.
 

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Budha, thanks for the reply. I guess where I was going with this is that since there are in both sections 1 and 2 that makes them a consideration for a play. Thanks
 

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