Some #'s for Today's Games

BudhaKane · Jun 10, 2010

6/10:

#1

Cinn 5-0 overall (rl 75%), 3-1 G2+

Chic 18-3 overall, 9-1 G2+, 7-0 WL

Colo 31-12 overall (rl 64%), 18-8 G2+, 8-6 LL

Wsox 24-10 overall, 13-7 G2+, 15-6 WL

Tb 22-12 overall (rl 70%), 13-7 G2+, 13-8 WL

Tex 5-1 overall (rl 75%), 3-1 G2+

#2

Cinn 22-5 overall (rl 70%), 13-4 G2+, 16-3 WL

Chic 9-0 overall (rl 66%), 5-0 G2+, 7-0 WL

Ariz 11-6 overall, 5-2 G2+

Wsox 31-13 overall, 19-10 G2+, 17-6 WL

Tex 22-5 overall (rl 70%), 13-4 G2+, 16-3 WL

Minn 8-2 overall (rl 85%), 5-2 G2+, 2-0 WL

tmader7 · Jun 10, 2010

Be nice to see your stuff above help my Reds out today, :lol:. Thanks.
~T~

Deadbeats · Jun 10, 2010

Thanks again Budha. GL today!

Las8 · Jun 10, 2010

thanks for posting again. glad to see cincy, chc, and colo up there

BudhaKane · Jun 11, 2010

6/11:

#1

Stl 18-4 overall (75% rl), 9-2 G1, 11-2 LL

Cubs 31-13 overall (64% rl), 13-4 G1, 8-7 LL

Balt 1-6 dog last game, 3-7 <130 fav

Cleve 31-13 overall (64% rl), 13-4 G1, 23-6 WL

Bos 31-13 overall (64% rl), 13-4 G1, 8-7 LL

Mil 9-4 G1

Sd 18-10 overall, 11-5 G1, 11-5 <145 fav

Lad 18-10 overall, 11-5 G1, 7-5 >145 fav

Sf 6-2 overall (80% rl), 2-1 G1, 3-1 LL

#2

Stl 22-7 overall (72% rl), 6-2 G1, 13-4 LL

Cubs 47-34 overall, 29-13 G1, 12-3 LL

Balt 21-9 overall (75% rl), 8-1 G1

Cleve 47-34 overall, 29-13 G1, 29-22 WL

Det 8-2 overall (87% rl), 3-0 G1, 5-2 LL

Bos 24-5 overall (75% rl), 9-1 G1, 6-2 LL

Minn 47-34 overall, 29-13 G1, 12-3 LL

Mil 34-24 overall, G1 13-7

Sd 24-5 overall (75% rl), 9-1 G1, 6-2 LL

Lad 24-5 overall (75% rl), 9-1 G1, 18-3 LL

Sf 24-5 overall (75% rl), 9-1 G1, 6-2 LL

BudhaKane · Jun 11, 2010

As I had stated in an earlier post this week, the teams that "double up" seemed to have a better win % than those with a single data point (at least so far). Today would be the most "double up" games this year. I do not know what to make of it. It is what it is. Good luck.

parlayallday · Jun 11, 2010

sorry for being a tard buit wtf is this stuff? I cant make out what it means?

Deadbeats · Jun 11, 2010

Thanks once again Budha!, GL to you today. Any thoughts on posting tomorrow?

BudhaKane · Jun 11, 2010

parlayallday said:
sorry for being a tard buit wtf is this stuff? I cant make out what it means?

p-allday: here is some things I had in other threads. All of the info relates to PRIOR games but the theory is the same.

Been tracking early line movement since day 1 of the season. It's just another tool to help handicap the games. Using 2 sets of data and sometimes the plays listed will contradict. Teams noted will be based all teams %'s for certain situations (prior games results and movement). They are situations that the specified teams are in for todays games only.

Yes, they are all favs. I am sure that 90% of the listings will be just that. Personally, I like it when both agree on the same team and have some sort of sustained track record.

Cinn 23-9 overall: NOT that Cinncy is 23-9 ats but teams that are in this situation from Day 1 of the season are 23 wins/ 9 losses.

G1: Game 1 of a series

<140 fav: less than 140 as a fav are 10-7 ats. So since Cinncy is about a 130 fav they fall into the 10-7 category.

17-4 overall (70% rl winner): of the 17 wins here, 12 were by 2 runs or more.

DB- I look for both to agree on the same team and have a sustained track record. I am not suggesting that you do not play the Mets today, only that the %'s on the Mets in the 2nd set of data shows them 16-12 overall (rl 80%), 5-4 G1, 3-5 <150 fav. In other words, teams in the same situation that the Mets find themselves in today have won only 57% of the time (in all games), 55% in Game 1's and 38% when they are less than a 150 fav.
As for the Phila RL, it's great to get back +$ on the wager, but they have not really been tearing it up recently and is Kendrick and/or the Phila bullpen something that is a sure 7th - 9th inning thing? Keep in mind that Phila is in an 18-5 (70% RL) situation, NOT that they (Philadelphia) have 18 wins with 13 runline covers.

Tmader - any data that is shown next to a team name is only specific to that team for whatever day the post occurs. In Data set #2, Texas is 20-5 overall (rl 75%), 11-4 G2+. What I am saying is that Texas finds itself in a situation for todays game that has occurred 25 times this year and the result was 20 wins/5 losses (15 wins by the runline). When this situation happenened in any game besides G1, the result was 11 wins/4 losses. Texas may or may not have been part of the 20 wins or 5 losses in this set of games. They just find themselves (today) in this set, which is based upon line movement and/or whether or not they won or lost their last game. Their is absolutely no handicapping involved, just looking at some data points since day 1 of the season. hope it helped.

BudhaKane · Jun 11, 2010

Deadbeats said:
Thanks once again Budha!, GL to you today. Any thoughts on posting tomorrow?

No problem. Doubles 3-1 yesterday but I played the RL on Cinny instead of a ml/rl split. Sucked Balls. Should be around on Saturday but probably not early. A little concerned about the amount of games on the card today. Hope it works out. Would be a shame to f-up a good week. Good luck today.

Deadbeats · Jun 11, 2010

I hear ya. the Cinncy RL got me as well but the Tex RL helped salvage.

BudhaKane · Jun 12, 2010

6/12

#1

Phila 5-1 overall, 4-1 G2+

Balt 34-14 overall, 18-9 G2+

Mil 6-0 overall, 5-0 G2+

Sea 19-4 overall, 9-2 G2+

Sf 25-10 overall, 14-7 G2+, 11-8 <140 fav

#2

Stl 27-6 overall 15-4 G2+

Nyy 27-6 overall (20/27 rl) all of the others as well 15-4 G2+ (started already)

Chic 27-6 overall 15-4 G2+

Bos 6-3 overall, 3-3 G2+

Tb 40-16 overall, 29-14 G2+

Cinn 40-16 overall, 29-14 G2+

Colo 27-6 overall 15-4 G2+

Sea 27-6 overall 15-4 G2+

Sf 27-6 overall 15-4 G2+

No W/L data, was in a hurry.

Deadbeats · Jun 12, 2010

Thanks again Budha! GL today

Deadbeats · Jun 12, 2010

Budha,
Does all of the others as well mean 20/27 on the RL for the rest of the teams listed?
thanks DB

BudhaKane · Jun 13, 2010

6/13

Very late today. Some have started.

#1

Cinn 6-1 overall, 5-1 G2+

Bos 19-11 overall, 7-5 G2+, 12-5 <145 fav

Mets 7-2 overall, 4-2 G2+, 2-2 WL

Minn 19-11 overall, 7-5 G2+, 12-5 <145 fav

Cubs 23-13 overall, 14-7 G2+, 11-4 >140 fav

Sd 26-10 overall, 15-7 G2+, 17-6 WL, 12-8 <140 fav

#2

Stl 9-2 overall, 5-2 G2+

Nyy 6-1 overall, 4-1 G2+, 4-1 WL

Cinn 8-4 overall, 6-4 G2+

Bos 30-8 overall, 18-6 G2+, 21-5 WL

Minn 30-8 overall, 18-6 G2+, 9-3 LL

BudhaKane · Jun 13, 2010

Deadbeats said:
Budha,
Does all of the others as well mean 20/27 on the RL for the rest of the teams listed?
thanks DB

DB - yes it did, sorry for not responding. I was not around yesterday.

Deadbeats · Jun 13, 2010

No problem budha, thanks for posting GL today

Deadbeats · Jun 13, 2010

No problem budha, thanks for posting GL today

BudhaKane · Jun 14, 2010

Not so good yesterday. On to today.

#1

Laa 34-15 overall (64% rl), 16-5 G1, 24-7 WL

Sf 6-0 overall (66% rl), 1-0 G1, 6-0 WL

#2

Laa 50-36 overall, 31-14 G1, 30-22 WL

Sf 42-16 overall, 11-2 G1, 14-2 >150 fav

Deadbeats · Jun 14, 2010

Looks good Budha, appreciate the work. Gl today.

Some #'s for Today's Games

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