Top MLB Interleague Weekend Power Trends 6/11-6/13
The second batch of interleague games in Major League Baseball is on tap for this weekend, and as usual, there are some great regional, and even inter-city rivalries highlighting the slate. Unlike recent seasons, the National League proved more than competitive the first time around against its counterparts from the Junior Circuit, winning 22 of the 42 games. This weekend’s games should prove whether or not that was simply a fluke, or if the N.L. truly is closing the gap. Let’s take a look at some of the best matchups, including 3-game sets in Chicago, Tampa, Boston, and Minnesota, while also revealing this weekend’s list of
Top StatFox Power Trends to consider.
While neither of the teams in Chicago have gotten off to good starts in 2010, when the Sox and Cubs go head-to-head, it is always intense. The South Siders are 7-games under .500 while their neighbors to the north, the Cubs are 6-games below the median. The White Sox are embarking on a 3-stop road trip and come in as winners in three of their last four games overall. They are 7-5 against the Cubs over the last three years, but the latter are 4-2 at home during that stretch. The Cubs open a lengthy homestand in this set.
One of the more interesting series’ of the weekend is in Tampa, where the Rays host the Marlins. Florida has been one of the few N.L. teams that has actually fared well in interleague play since its inception, but still, they will be looking to snap a 2-10 skid against the Rays. Tampa Bay remains the league’s best team at this point, 18-games over .500 and leading the Yankees by 2-games in the A.L. East.
In Boston, the Phillies and Red Sox renew their emerging rivalry. Boston took two of three games in Philly two weeks back. There are distinct trends in interleague play converging on this series, with Phiilies’ manager Charlie Manuel owning an ugly 24-41 mark vs. A.L. East teams, and Sox skipper Terry Francona boasting a 43-17 record against the N.L. East clubs.
At new Target Field in Minneapolis, a pair of division leaders will get together for three games when the Braves visit the Twins. Surging Atlanta has taken control of the N.L. East Division with a huge run since early May. Ironically, they have cooled off of late, going just 3-4 in their L7 games despite pounding out over 11 hits per game during the stretch. The Twins have been one of the league’s best teams at home this year, going 20-10 while hitting .291 as a club, much of the reason for the comfy 4.5-game lead in the A.L. Central. Minnesota has also been great in interleague play, 28-11 for +16.8 units over the last three seasons.
There are also big series’ out west between the A’s and Giants, as well as the Dodgers and Angels, a series which is covered fully in the
StatFox MLB Series Betting regular feature.
Now, here’s a look at some of the Top StatFox Power Trends you’ll want to utilize in your weekend wagering, including several focusing on interleague performance.
ST LOUIS at ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 11-3 OVER (+7.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The average score was ARIZONA 6.1, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
CHI WHITE SOX at CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-20 (-19.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.1, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)
HOUSTON at NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 2.7, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
NY METS at BALTIMORE
NY METS are 18-5 UNDER (+12.3 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY METS 3.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
WASHINGTON at CLEVELAND
WASHINGTON is 17-6 UNDER (+9.9 Units) vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.0, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH at DETROIT
DETROIT is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 6.2, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
FLORIDA at TAMPA BAY
FLORIDA is 13-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 3 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 5.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)
PHILADELPHIA at BOSTON
PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.4, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 14-3 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. The average score was CINCINNATI 5.2, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 2*)
ATLANTA at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 39-25 (+19.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. The average score was MINNESOTA 5.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 0*)
TEXAS at MILWAUKEE
TEXAS is 27-9 (+17.7 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 6.1, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
TORONTO at COLORADO
COLORADO is 51-28 UNDER (+20.6 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. The average score was COLORADO 4.4, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)
SEATTLE at SAN DIEGO
SEATTLE is 30-15 UNDER (+12.9 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 3 seasons. The average score was SEATTLE 3.8, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 0*)
LA ANGELS at LA DODGERS
LA ANGELS are 8-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 7.1, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
OAKLAND at SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 68-44 UNDER (+17.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.1, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)