<table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="500"><tbody><tr> <td class="rs_value" align="left" valign="top" width="50%">Yesterday</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">0</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">3</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">0</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="20%">-6.00 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" align="left" valign="top" width="50%">Last 30 Days</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">46</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">51</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">1</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="20%">+11.14 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" align="left" valign="top" width="50%">Season To Date (Since March 2010)</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">98</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">127</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="10%">2</td> <td class="rs_value" align="right" valign="top" width="20%">-17.50 Units</td></tr></tbody></table>
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
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></o><o><o>BOSTON –1½ +1.41 over Los Angeles <o></o>
Ironic, isn’t it, that the Dodgers come in here the day after the Lakers beat the Celtics? Anyway, the Red Sox are on fire with five wins in six games and the best news is that they’re seeing beach balls at the moment. Boston has scored 52 runs over its last eight games and over that stretch they’ve gone yard nine times and they’re hitting a combined .336. Carlos Monasterios (13 BPV, 0-2-4-2-0 PQS) has a 3-1 record and 2.98 ERA, but they are not to be believed. Instead, keep your focus on his poor command, very average stuff, low durability and 5.00 xERA. He gave up four earned runs over 2.2 IP in his last start against the Angels and there's probably plenty more where that came from. Felix Doubront makes his major league debut. Doubront had an impressive showing with Double A Portland (4-0, 2.51 ERA) before being promoted to Pawtucket (2-1, 1.08 ERA). He’s a power lefty with outstanding stuff and opened some eyes in the spring with his poise and 92+MPH fastball that he throws for strikes. The Dodgers have struggled miserably all year against southpaws with a .240 BA and aside from a 12-run outburst over the Reds on Wednesday, its offense has been in neutral for about three weeks now. Play: Boston –1½ +1.41 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Cleveland –1.03 over PITTSBURGH <o></o>
Scalpers should have a field day for this series. The Pirates are going for 12 straight losses and there’s no reason whatsoever to believe they won’t get it. They’re good for two or three runs just about every game and even that could be a stretch against Fausto Carmona. Carmona has some good trends developing recently that include a 3.02 ERA over his last six starts. Those six starts came against Tampa, Cinci, the Yanks, Detroit, Boston and Washington and only once did he allow more than three runs against that strong group. He’ll now take a huge step down in class against a team that is seeing BB’s. Paul Maholm has been lowering his ERA despite a lack of skill improvement, mostly thanks to an 82% strand rate. The Indians are actually scoring plenty of runs these days and in fact, they’ve scored 51 times over its last eight games, which ranks second in the league just behind Boston over that stretch. Frankly, this is a pitching mismatch and the Indians are way undervalued in this game. Play: Cleveland –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2). <o></o>
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Tampa Bay –1½ +1.06 over FLORIDA <o></o>
Two things to note here with the first being that Nate Robertson is a complete stiff with very little skills. His groundball rate is one of the lowest in the league, he’s almost always pitching from behind in the count and he’s been rocked in both of his last two starts. The other thing to note is that the Rays absolutely thrive in this park. Last season they scored 29 runs in a three-game set here, in ’08 they scored 27 times in a three-game set and in ’07 they scored 24 times. That’s 80 runs over nine games at this park and it’s not likely to stop against Robertson. Matt Garza has struggled a bit recently but there’s no reason for concern. He’s 4-2 on the road with a 2.79 ERA with a BAA of .235. Garza is a quality pitcher with nothing but fire in his desire to compete and to dominate. The Rays are 11-3 on the road vs southpaws and will face one of the most hittable one’s in the business. Play: Florida –1½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
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All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
<o
></o><o><o>BOSTON –1½ +1.41 over Los Angeles <o></o>Ironic, isn’t it, that the Dodgers come in here the day after the Lakers beat the Celtics? Anyway, the Red Sox are on fire with five wins in six games and the best news is that they’re seeing beach balls at the moment. Boston has scored 52 runs over its last eight games and over that stretch they’ve gone yard nine times and they’re hitting a combined .336. Carlos Monasterios (13 BPV, 0-2-4-2-0 PQS) has a 3-1 record and 2.98 ERA, but they are not to be believed. Instead, keep your focus on his poor command, very average stuff, low durability and 5.00 xERA. He gave up four earned runs over 2.2 IP in his last start against the Angels and there's probably plenty more where that came from. Felix Doubront makes his major league debut. Doubront had an impressive showing with Double A Portland (4-0, 2.51 ERA) before being promoted to Pawtucket (2-1, 1.08 ERA). He’s a power lefty with outstanding stuff and opened some eyes in the spring with his poise and 92+MPH fastball that he throws for strikes. The Dodgers have struggled miserably all year against southpaws with a .240 BA and aside from a 12-run outburst over the Reds on Wednesday, its offense has been in neutral for about three weeks now. Play: Boston –1½ +1.41 (Risking 2 units). <o
></o><o
></o>Cleveland –1.03 over PITTSBURGH <o
></o>Scalpers should have a field day for this series. The Pirates are going for 12 straight losses and there’s no reason whatsoever to believe they won’t get it. They’re good for two or three runs just about every game and even that could be a stretch against Fausto Carmona. Carmona has some good trends developing recently that include a 3.02 ERA over his last six starts. Those six starts came against Tampa, Cinci, the Yanks, Detroit, Boston and Washington and only once did he allow more than three runs against that strong group. He’ll now take a huge step down in class against a team that is seeing BB’s. Paul Maholm has been lowering his ERA despite a lack of skill improvement, mostly thanks to an 82% strand rate. The Indians are actually scoring plenty of runs these days and in fact, they’ve scored 51 times over its last eight games, which ranks second in the league just behind Boston over that stretch. Frankly, this is a pitching mismatch and the Indians are way undervalued in this game. Play: Cleveland –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2). <o
></o><o
></o>Tampa Bay –1½ +1.06 over FLORIDA <o
></o>Two things to note here with the first being that Nate Robertson is a complete stiff with very little skills. His groundball rate is one of the lowest in the league, he’s almost always pitching from behind in the count and he’s been rocked in both of his last two starts. The other thing to note is that the Rays absolutely thrive in this park. Last season they scored 29 runs in a three-game set here, in ’08 they scored 27 times in a three-game set and in ’07 they scored 24 times. That’s 80 runs over nine games at this park and it’s not likely to stop against Robertson. Matt Garza has struggled a bit recently but there’s no reason for concern. He’s 4-2 on the road with a 2.79 ERA with a BAA of .235. Garza is a quality pitcher with nothing but fire in his desire to compete and to dominate. The Rays are 11-3 on the road vs southpaws and will face one of the most hittable one’s in the business. Play: Florida –1½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
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