Depends on your bet:
If you bet an Asian Handicap (AHC) +1 (2way Handicap), you would get your money back because the bet pushed.
But if it was an European Handicap (EHC, 3way handicap), you lose your bet. In that case you would have had 3 options:
JAP +1
NED -1
tie (which would mean, NED wins by exactly 1 goal).
So in other words when you bet an European Handicap JAP+1, your bet would be equal to an Asian Handicap bet on JAP +0.5 (and EHC NED -1 would be the same bet like AHC NED -1.5)
Still doing ok:
Lost England to win with a clean sheet -145.
Won Germany/Serbia Over 4 yellow cards -127.
Won NED to have clean sheet -125 and to win with a clean sheet +126.
Won DEN+0.5 -125 on yellow cards, although I intended to bet on CAM -0.5 and just bet the wrong side because I misread the bet...so dumb luck winning this one.
I'm looking into today's card right now, but at least the early game seems like a no bet: PAR+0 looks good, could easily see a 1-0 PAR win here, but no value in PAR+0. Also can't find a decent prop bet in that game, clean sheet PAR looks ok at the offered odds, but Slovakia has scored regularly in their matches, so I'll really have to look into that matchup against Paraguays defense more intensively.
Lost England to win with a clean sheet -145.
Won Germany/Serbia Over 4 yellow cards -127.
Won NED to have clean sheet -125 and to win with a clean sheet +126.
Won DEN+0.5 -125 on yellow cards, although I intended to bet on CAM -0.5 and just bet the wrong side because I misread the bet...so dumb luck winning this one.
I'm looking into today's card right now, but at least the early game seems like a no bet: PAR+0 looks good, could easily see a 1-0 PAR win here, but no value in PAR+0. Also can't find a decent prop bet in that game, clean sheet PAR looks ok at the offered odds, but Slovakia has scored regularly in their matches, so I'll really have to look into that matchup against Paraguays defense more intensively.
Under 2.5 is too much juice (-170) for my liking, but PAR should keep that one under. They don't have to win like you said and that plays right into their strength (defense + counter attacks).
I won't be betting this one. Will be going with ITA/NZL "both teams to score" --> No. Heavy juice here (almost -200 now, I got -150), but I just don't see NZL score here. Italy with a clean sheet/ NZL Under 0.5 also is offered at -200, so both teams to score is the better bet here.
Italy with a new goalie, but shouldn't make much of a difference since he is battle tested in his league and NZL didn't really create scoring chances against Slovakia. NZL will play extremely defensive minded. Corner/Free kicks should be NZLs only scoring threats and I expect ITA to be solid in these situations.
I also will place a small bet on over 4.5 cards (includes yellow and red cards) -117: The ref in that game averages many cards and Italy usually gets a couple of yellow cards due to their aggressive style of play and complaining. NZL should be prone to some cards because they will stand deep in their own half, what will create situation where they have to foul to prevent ITA from getting behind their defense.
I won't be betting this one. Will be going with ITA/NZL "both teams to score" --> No. Heavy juice here (almost -200 now, I got -150), but I just don't see NZL score here. Italy with a clean sheet/ NZL Under 0.5 also is offered at -200, so both teams to score is the better bet here.
Italy with a new goalie, but shouldn't make much of a difference since he is battle tested in his league and NZL didn't really create scoring chances against Slovakia. NZL will play extremely defensive minded. Corner/Free kicks should be NZLs only scoring threats and I expect ITA to be solid in these situations.
I also will place a small bet on over 4.5 cards (includes yellow and red cards) -117: The ref in that game averages many cards and Italy usually gets a couple of yellow cards due to their aggressive style of play and complaining. NZL should be prone to some cards because they will stand deep in their own half, what will create situation where they have to foul to prevent ITA from getting behind their defense.
