Hello everyone. I've been a follower on these boards, and I thought I'd like to begin contributing if I could, especially since I've been on a decent hot streak as of late. Naturally, since my picks weren't posted, I'm starting from a 0-0 record.
Last night only 3 games were played. I felt confident in my picks, and they were Washington, Arizona, and Cincy... It hit. It shocked the hell out of me frankly. However, I've noticed over my past few weeks of picks; when I pick an underdog, I've hit at a good %. When I get burned, it's usually because a favorite decides not show up. I'll give some short analysis based mainly on my gut. I do stats as well, but I've no real system in place in the end. I get my lines at matchbook, so your lines may differ. Also, I will post leans as well. Not that one should necessarily play, but for tracking purposes. All bets are to win one unit, unless otherwise noted. This means a +125 line is .75 to win 1, and a -125 is 1.25 to win 1. I always officially pick an odd # of plays. I HATE going 1-1 or 2-2 and ending up short of even because of juice.
Without further babble, my picks for tonight:
DET @ NYM +1.5 (-136) I can see NYM winning outright, but I like the 1 run here just in case.
STL @ TOR ML (-103) I like Cecil. Lately in my bets STL has let me down. They just aren't scoring like they are capable of. It also seems that teams are jumping on them early quite often. Some (like Seattle) just weren't good enough to capitalize. Toronto is.
FLA -1.5 (+135) @ BAL Baltimore is terrible. I like playing the run line against them because they can be counted on to suck ass far more often than playing well. It's worth playing over a ML, because in the rare instance that they win, you're not F'd on juice. It's a chase-worthy play too, because you can almost always count on Baltimore losing by more than 1 in a stretch of 5 games (and usually more than once), and the play is usually + money unless against BOS/NYY/TB.
ATL @ CHI ML (+102) This is pure gut here. I just feel this is a good spot to take Chicago.
CIN ML (+124) @ OAK I picked Cincy last night. I like them even better tonight. Braden is Braden. He had a very special game early in the season, no doubt. He's been a bettors nightmare in recent times though. I suppose it's possible he could turn it around, but I like Arroyo here. I feel pretty solid about this one.
My leans are: Washington ML, Houston +1.5, Philly ML, Arizona +1.5, Colorado +1.5.
Good luck everyone! I hope I don't stink up the joint after getting the courage to post some picks.
Last night only 3 games were played. I felt confident in my picks, and they were Washington, Arizona, and Cincy... It hit. It shocked the hell out of me frankly. However, I've noticed over my past few weeks of picks; when I pick an underdog, I've hit at a good %. When I get burned, it's usually because a favorite decides not show up. I'll give some short analysis based mainly on my gut. I do stats as well, but I've no real system in place in the end. I get my lines at matchbook, so your lines may differ. Also, I will post leans as well. Not that one should necessarily play, but for tracking purposes. All bets are to win one unit, unless otherwise noted. This means a +125 line is .75 to win 1, and a -125 is 1.25 to win 1. I always officially pick an odd # of plays. I HATE going 1-1 or 2-2 and ending up short of even because of juice.
Without further babble, my picks for tonight:
DET @ NYM +1.5 (-136) I can see NYM winning outright, but I like the 1 run here just in case.
STL @ TOR ML (-103) I like Cecil. Lately in my bets STL has let me down. They just aren't scoring like they are capable of. It also seems that teams are jumping on them early quite often. Some (like Seattle) just weren't good enough to capitalize. Toronto is.
FLA -1.5 (+135) @ BAL Baltimore is terrible. I like playing the run line against them because they can be counted on to suck ass far more often than playing well. It's worth playing over a ML, because in the rare instance that they win, you're not F'd on juice. It's a chase-worthy play too, because you can almost always count on Baltimore losing by more than 1 in a stretch of 5 games (and usually more than once), and the play is usually + money unless against BOS/NYY/TB.
ATL @ CHI ML (+102) This is pure gut here. I just feel this is a good spot to take Chicago.
CIN ML (+124) @ OAK I picked Cincy last night. I like them even better tonight. Braden is Braden. He had a very special game early in the season, no doubt. He's been a bettors nightmare in recent times though. I suppose it's possible he could turn it around, but I like Arroyo here. I feel pretty solid about this one.
My leans are: Washington ML, Houston +1.5, Philly ML, Arizona +1.5, Colorado +1.5.
Good luck everyone! I hope I don't stink up the joint after getting the courage to post some picks.
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