San Diego vs. Tampa Bay. Which one should be the big dog

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Dogfather
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Nov 22, 2006
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San Diego has won 4 of their last 5.
Tampa Bay has gone 1-6 their last 7.

WADE LEBLANC ERA his last three starts is ZERO.92
MATT GARZA ERA his last three starts is 10.66.

Nothing more needed. The hotter team, the better pitcher getting PLUS 165. You decide what to do.

I also parleyed San Diego to San Francisco at +320.

Good luck if you see the same value I do.
 

New member
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Jun 12, 2008
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LeBlanc's xFIP is still almost 5 this month, mainly due to a huge huge strand rate that won't last. Granted, Garza hasn't been pitching great as of late either. I still like SD due to their offense being better than Tampa's this past week and the pitching match being about even. However, I don't think it's a giant no-brainer.
 

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Rivers:
You are so right. Surface stats can be very misleading as noted on my post and analysis of this game.
 

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