Yesterday 2-0-0 +6.04 Units
Last 30 Days 46-47-1 +20.36 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 118-144-2 +0.98 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Detroit +1.44 over MINNESOTA
Note the 1:10 PM EST. Over his last three starts, covering just 12.1 innings, Kevin Slowey has surrendered 17 runs. The only good thing about Slowey is his ability to throw strikes but a .297 BAA should have you steering clear of this guy as a 7½-5 favorite. The Tigers saw him once already this year and he lasted just 5.2 innings against them, walked two, struck out three and surrendered seven hits. In other words he was his usual, very average self. Incidentally, current Tigers are batting a combined .302 against Slowey in 70 combined AB’s. The Twins are favored big here because the Tigers will give the ball to a recent call-up by the name of Andy Oliver. Oliver was very sharp in his major-league debut against the Braves and it was no fluke. He now knows he belongs and for all you fantasy players, this is a guy to scoop up ASAP. This season is Oliver's first taste of pro ball as he signed late after being selected in the second round of the '09 draft. He is tall, strong, and aggressive and works off a solid 87-95 mph four-seam fastball that he commands extremely well. His arm action is smooth which makes his velocity come easily. He mixes a vastly improving slider and a solid-average changeup. Oliver shows durability and stamina by holding his velocity deep into games. He has the repertoire and arm strength to be a very good starter in the big leagues and although he’s young and inexperienced, the value here is on him because Kevin Slowey is absolutely not worthy of this tag. The fact that the Twins have never seen Oliver is also an advantage. Play: Detroit +1.44 (Risking 2 units).
CLEVELAND +1.23 over Toronto
The Tribe has all the momentum here and in no way should they be receiving a tag like this against a reeling Jays squad. Yeah, the Indians have a garbage pitcher going but so do the Blue Jays and when two stiffs meet up, leaning to the team with momentum, plus a price, has to considered the much better choice. Also note that the Jays have a horrible history against poor pitchers, as time after time after time they make these stiffs look real good. The Jays put up a four spot last night but two runs in the eighth were absolute gifts (a wild pitch and a dropped can of corn). The Jays are now dead last in the AL in team batting average and they’re getting worse. The homeruns have dropped way off, the team batting average over the past 15 games is a mere .222 and the batting order changes daily. The Jays have two wins over its last nine games and their worst pitcher will go tonight. In three starts since coming off the DL, Jesse Litsch has a BAA of .339 and in his two road starts his BAA is .485. In his last start he walked four and struck out zero. The Jays are 3-10 over its last 13 road games and while Aaron Laffey is no bargain, he’s certainly no worse than Litsch. Despite a poor record, the Indians are playing well and the addition of Carlos Santana has been the main reason. This guy is so pure and talented that it’s scary. Anyway, the Jays are in trouble and the fact that they’re a –1.31 favorite on the road with Litsch going is completely incorrect. Play: Cleveland +1.23 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 46-47-1 +20.36 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 118-144-2 +0.98 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Detroit +1.44 over MINNESOTA
Note the 1:10 PM EST. Over his last three starts, covering just 12.1 innings, Kevin Slowey has surrendered 17 runs. The only good thing about Slowey is his ability to throw strikes but a .297 BAA should have you steering clear of this guy as a 7½-5 favorite. The Tigers saw him once already this year and he lasted just 5.2 innings against them, walked two, struck out three and surrendered seven hits. In other words he was his usual, very average self. Incidentally, current Tigers are batting a combined .302 against Slowey in 70 combined AB’s. The Twins are favored big here because the Tigers will give the ball to a recent call-up by the name of Andy Oliver. Oliver was very sharp in his major-league debut against the Braves and it was no fluke. He now knows he belongs and for all you fantasy players, this is a guy to scoop up ASAP. This season is Oliver's first taste of pro ball as he signed late after being selected in the second round of the '09 draft. He is tall, strong, and aggressive and works off a solid 87-95 mph four-seam fastball that he commands extremely well. His arm action is smooth which makes his velocity come easily. He mixes a vastly improving slider and a solid-average changeup. Oliver shows durability and stamina by holding his velocity deep into games. He has the repertoire and arm strength to be a very good starter in the big leagues and although he’s young and inexperienced, the value here is on him because Kevin Slowey is absolutely not worthy of this tag. The fact that the Twins have never seen Oliver is also an advantage. Play: Detroit +1.44 (Risking 2 units).
CLEVELAND +1.23 over Toronto
The Tribe has all the momentum here and in no way should they be receiving a tag like this against a reeling Jays squad. Yeah, the Indians have a garbage pitcher going but so do the Blue Jays and when two stiffs meet up, leaning to the team with momentum, plus a price, has to considered the much better choice. Also note that the Jays have a horrible history against poor pitchers, as time after time after time they make these stiffs look real good. The Jays put up a four spot last night but two runs in the eighth were absolute gifts (a wild pitch and a dropped can of corn). The Jays are now dead last in the AL in team batting average and they’re getting worse. The homeruns have dropped way off, the team batting average over the past 15 games is a mere .222 and the batting order changes daily. The Jays have two wins over its last nine games and their worst pitcher will go tonight. In three starts since coming off the DL, Jesse Litsch has a BAA of .339 and in his two road starts his BAA is .485. In his last start he walked four and struck out zero. The Jays are 3-10 over its last 13 road games and while Aaron Laffey is no bargain, he’s certainly no worse than Litsch. Despite a poor record, the Indians are playing well and the addition of Carlos Santana has been the main reason. This guy is so pure and talented that it’s scary. Anyway, the Jays are in trouble and the fact that they’re a –1.31 favorite on the road with Litsch going is completely incorrect. Play: Cleveland +1.23 (Risking 2 units).
