what if we played every single game w/ Favorite -1.5 AND underdog ML?

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Rx Senior
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i've been wondering about this for years....anyone ever try it?
 

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the only time you lose is when it is a 1 run game with the favorite winning
 

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Today so far

gm1
Toronto ML +168
NYY RL -100 (even)

net +68


gm2
Cincy +127
Chicubs -100 (+140 rl)

net +27


already +95 on 2 morning games
 

Rx Senior
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gm3
phillies rl +110
pitt +134

gm4
NYM rl +140
Was +106

gm5
Sea +154
Det rl +120

gm6
oak rl +135
cle +105

gm7
bal +195
red sox rl -120

gm8
marlins rl +130
braves +110
 

Rx Senior
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gm9
CWS +170
texas rl -105

gm10
SF rl +155
colorado even

gm11
Tampa rl +130
minny +115

gm12
mil +155
stl rl +115
 

Rx Senior
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gm13
LAD rl +144
az +112

gm14
houston +155
sd rl +144

gm15
kc +144
laa rl +137

these last 3 are at least 5dimes lines......had to use bodog to find lines for 1st 12 games that started
 

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I agree...I think its called scalping in some sort. I just always see alot of 1 run games. Had a side bet with a friend last night on LAA-1.5 had LAA straight up with the book for alot more but they let that 1 run come in. I would start a thread with it. Not gonna hurt anything and I will be in from time to time to see how you are doing. Just post a unit on each play to make it easier. We can see how it does!!
 

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I agree...I think its called scalping in some sort. I just always see alot of 1 run games. Had a side bet with a friend last night on LAA-1.5 had LAA straight up with the book for alot more but they let that 1 run come in. I would start a thread with it. Not gonna hurt anything and I will be in from time to time to see how you are doing. Just post a unit on each play to make it easier. We can see how it does!!

agree...ppl that immediately dismiss it may not understand that you dont lose all 1 run games....only the ones where the favorite wins......


although I know everyone has thought about this and there probably is a reason why there isn't a huge following for this style of play.....(I'm guessing the losses when they do happen are too huge to stay afloat)
 

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soon as i post this thread next game to go final is redsox (fav) by 1
 

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Your ass will get burned!!! Trust me....Been there....done that......
 

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after taking a few minutes to look at it i noticed:

average win looks to be about +40
average loss looks to be about -200

so essentially you are betting a -500 line on anything but favorite to win by 1......

i may track for a few days but i imagine 2 losses in one day and you are f'd
 

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I had a local years ago, who wouldn't even take the shitty action......
 

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I did it last Monday just for a little action when those three shitty games were going on (two of the games were the Nats vs. Royals and Yanks vs. Zona)....Just did it to have action....Both ended it one run games......Shitty system (if you can even call it that)......If some of you degenerates can recall, Yanks came back to win 6-5 after Zona took a 6-1 run lead i think in the first or second inning.....
 

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lol....thanks highflyinkilla....i totally forgot about this.....assuming these are -500 lines (which is a horrible assumption but i have no way of checking up on the lines)..

13-1 Fri (1300 - 500 = 800)

12-3 Sat. (1200 - 1500 = -300)

10-3 sunday (1000 - 1500 = -500)

so my rough rough calculation says this is at break even....
 

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