Sharper Baseball Plays Week 14 (YTD: 304-273 +0.984)

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

System involves: Value, perception, spot, and the ever important match up

1.5*: $375
1.2*: $300
.80*: $200
.40*: $100

.81* and up= strong play
.41*-.80*= medium play
.01*-.40*= Small plays

Note: Strong Plays never exceed 1.2*, medium plays never exceed .80*, and .small plays never exceeding .40*.

Tailing tips: A) no one bet should exceed 4% (I personally never exceed 3%) of your bankroll B) always tail all my plays, never pick and choose (with your own plays or others), you will fail C) Open accounts at Matchbook, 5 Dimes, Bodog, and Looselines. I also recommend The Greek, Betonline, Bookmaker, and Bet Jamaica though I use them less. In other words the more outs the merrier. D) NEVER CHASE AKA GO ON TILT

If you don't know how to open accounts, money manage, or bet baseball i.e. what a RL is, etc. please ask I'll do my best to provide answers.

Note: I've increased strong plays up to 1.5*, this will be the maximum I'll ever wager a baseball game this season.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

Monday's Selections

.34* Seattle -202
.04* Seattle -1.5 +110
.30* Oakland +135 (Bodog)
.04* Pale Hose -138

Philly will be a biggie again today hopefully it turns out better than last time. Also will be on the Mets pretty big if I can get -120.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

Monday's Selections II

.38* NYM -118
.34* Seattle -202
.04* Seattle -1.5 +110
.30* Oakland +135 (Bodog)
.04* Pale Hose -138

I'll have all plays in by 6:45pm today. NYM will be .84* and Philly 1.2* those two will be my biggest plays today, I'll also add some small totals at the time mentioned.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

Mondays Selections

.44* NYM -119
.38* NYM -118
.02* NYM -1.5 +178
.34* Seattle -202
.04* Seattle -1.5 +110
.30* Oakland +135 (Bodog)
.04* Pale Hose -138

Mets are locked in, Oakland will be a bigger play how much depends on the value.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

Mondays Selections

1.14* Philly -181
.06* Philly -1.5 +122
.44* NYM -119
.38* NYM -118
.02* NYM -129
.02* NYM -1.5 +178
.30* Oakland +135 (Bodog)
.34* Seattle -202
.04* Seattle -1.5 +110
.20* Philly O7.5 +108
.04* Philly O8 +125
.20* Pale Hose O9 -104
.04* Pale Hose O9.5 +120
.04* Pale Hose -138
.02* Pale Hose -148
.04* Tampa -158

Oakland already up to +138, will hold off a little longer though, I want +140 at least =]

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

.10* nym -147

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

scratch last play, game started at 7:10pm.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

1.14* Philly -181
.06* Philly -1.5 +122
.44* NYM -119
.38* NYM -118
.02* NYM -129
.02* NYM -1.5 +178
.30* Oakland +135 (Bodog)
.30* Oakland +138
.34* Seattle -202
.02* Seattle -200
.04* Seattle -1.5 +110
.20* Philly O7.5 +108
.04* Philly O8 +125
.20* Pale Hose O9 -104
.04* Pale Hose O9.5 +120
.04* Pale Hose -138
.02* Pale Hose -148
.04* Tampa -158

I won't have computer access till 9pm so I've locked in Oakland +138 for .30*, I may add more before game time, lets see.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 5, 2010

.22* Oakland +139
.02* Seattle -198

that's all I got, seems Pelfrey didn't help my cause today. Probably an understatement after that 5th inning.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 6, 2010

Tuesdays Picks

A little under the weather sorry for the late post, I'll update my record in a bit but first my picks:

1.28* Houston -140
.04* Houston -1.5 +148
1.28* Philly -128
.04* Philly -1.5 +160
1.16* NYM -170
.04* NYM -1.5 +124
.44* Minni -129
.02* Minni -1.5 +126
.28* ATL O8.5 +102
.28* Tampa U9 -106
.08* SD -109
.02* SD -1.5 +151
.08* LAA -106
.02* LAA -1.5 +156
.06* Houston U8 -110
.06* NYM U8 +105

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 6, 2010

Ytd: 306-277 -0.3808

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 7, 2010

Ytd: 311-280 +0.8057

Philly pulling out a win would have been nice, I'll take a profitable day anytime though.

parlayallday · Jul 7, 2010

You play a lot of games. Why not narrow them down a little bit.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 7, 2010

parlayallday said:
You play a lot of games. Why not narrow them down a little bit.

I appreciate the advise parlayallday honestly I play a lot of games in every sport I bet on. I have a system in place that scales plays and then I make my own adjustments. If I actually followed my system strictly I would have more extra small plays (for instance I was suppose to be on Fl and Oak last night according to my system based on value). If you look at my past 3 seasons in football (which I've destroyed both College and NFL) I wagered an average of 6 games a week in the pros and about 10 in college. In MLB I'm doing about half a dozen plays a day of .40* or more (which I consider my true plays) scaling them at the increments displayed in post #1. For instance I had 3 biggies yesterday and those are hitting at a 61% clip this season. I understand why you suggest that but I can't try to fix what isn't broken. This is my first full season using my system in baseball and while the results are not what I may desire them to be I'm satisfied on what I'm seeing. GL to you and thanks for your support bud.

parlayallday · Jul 7, 2010

VoiceofReason101 said:
I appreciate the advise parlayallday honestly I play a lot of games in every sport I bet on. I have a system in place that scales plays and then I make my own adjustments. If I actually followed my system strictly I would have more extra small plays (for instance I was suppose to be on Fl and Oak last night according to my system based on value). If you look at my past 3 seasons in football (which I've destroyed both College and NFL) I wagered an average of 6 games a week in the pros and about 10 in college. In MLB I'm doing about half a dozen plays a day of .40* or more (which I consider my true plays) scaling them at the increments displayed in post #1. For instance I had 3 biggies yesterday and those are hitting at a 61% clip this season. I understand why you suggest that but I can't try to fix what isn't broken. This is my first full season using my system in baseball and while the results are not what I may desire them to be I'm satisfied on what I'm seeing. GL to you and thanks for your support bud.

No problem dude! I like the way you work and respect you so I wanted to give my 2 cents. I am trying to develope a system for NFL and CFB but I am kinda stuck. Let me know if you would like to work on some stuff together, I have some ideas but need input.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 7, 2010

Wednesdays Picks (early games)

.84* Philly -102
.43* Minni +106
.22* NYM U8.5 -110
.22* Nats U8.5 -106
.22* Minni U9.5 -115
.01* Minni -1.5 +165
.07* Nats +101
.01* Nats -1.5 +200
.07* NYM -125
.01* NYM -1.5 +170
.06* Tampa -168
.02* Tampa -1.5 +127

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 7, 2010

Wednesday's Picks (8pm est. selections)

1.46* LAA +117
.08* LAA -1.5 +178
.42* Stros -121
.08* Brew Crew +121
.04* Indians +1.5 +109
.02* Indians +216
.06* Cubbies +101

10pm plays up at 9:45

pitpit · Jul 7, 2010

Like Philly tonight, but it's hard for me to play against my Bravos. BOL

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 7, 2010

parlayallday said:
No problem dude! I like the way you work and respect you so I wanted to give my 2 cents. I am trying to develope a system for NFL and CFB but I am kinda stuck. Let me know if you would like to work on some stuff together, I have some ideas but need input.

I totally understand and appreciate your candor. Send me your number and maybe we can exchange some ideas that can further our progress in this degenerate realm.

VoiceofReason101 · Jul 7, 2010

guys note the totals, I have 3 of them, may also add a few late ones (10pm games)

Sharper Baseball Plays Week 14 (YTD: 304-273 +0.984)

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