EVERY single time I convince myself that "it's a sure thing", I end up losing the game.
One time I can remember in particular was a few years ago -- Wariors vs. Clippers. The GS Warriors were injury-riddled and had to call a couple guys up from the D-league just to have enough players to play the game. The original line was -6, and it went up to -8 after the news of the D-league call ups.
Of course, the Warriors ended up covering the spread. And I'm still yet to learn my lesson, as I still kinda want to convince myself sometimes that these games are "locks".
hno:
One time I can remember in particular was a few years ago -- Wariors vs. Clippers. The GS Warriors were injury-riddled and had to call a couple guys up from the D-league just to have enough players to play the game. The original line was -6, and it went up to -8 after the news of the D-league call ups.
Of course, the Warriors ended up covering the spread. And I'm still yet to learn my lesson, as I still kinda want to convince myself sometimes that these games are "locks".
hno:
EVERY single time I convince myself that "it's a sure thing", I end up losing the game.
One time I can remember in particular was a few years ago -- Wariors vs. Clippers. The GS Warriors were injury-riddled and had to call a couple guys up from the D-league just to have enough players to play the game. The original line was -6, and it went up to -8 after the news of the D-league call ups.
Of course, the Warriors ended up covering the spread. And I'm still yet to learn my lesson, as I still kinda want to convince myself sometimes that these games are "locks".
Funny, I Remember that game Well !!
But I had the "Right" side, because I thought to myself....Shouldn't the line have gone up even more than 2 points...
I got Lucky
The one that damn near ended my betting was USA/Greece in 2006. I believe the line was like -800 or something ridiculous. Had USA just to win. Yes I bet the money line in hopes just to bring in some easy money on a sure thing.. Anything but.. Almost 4 years ago already and the final was 101-95 Greece. Remember the game like it was yesterday. Greece simply couldn't miss in the 2nd half. Crazy.. I think I lost a couple grand on this trying to make an easy couple hundred bucks.
Anymore there is no such thing as a sure thing.. I learned my lesson.
Anymore there is no such thing as a sure thing.. I learned my lesson.
Ive told this 1 before. Fla vs FlaSt. for the NCAA Championship. Line was at like 9 for days and late it started going towards 9.5/10.....SIA had it 13 the entire time. It hit 10/10.5 and a few hours before game time started going back towards 9.5/9...I put my entire balance on +13. I think the fav won by 30 or something...it was over at halftime.
The only sure thing I've ever seen was at -880 for YES for "will there be snow at Mount Washington, NH on Christmas?" This was in December of 2005. Mount Washington is the coldest spot in NH and had over 10 inches of snow on December 8th. I bet $550 to make $75.
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=328129
