Yesterday 0 0 0 0.00 Units
Last 30 Days 39-39-0 +23.84 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 133-161-2 +7.82 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Los Angeles +1.12 over ST. LOUIS
Give me Clayton Kershaw plus a tag against the most overrated team in baseball and we’ll play it every time. Chris Carpenter is having another solid year but let’s not forget that this guy has been injured for most of his career and prior to this year he appeared in just 33 games over three years. Carpenter has been shaky in three of his last five starts with only good starts over that stretch coming against the Jays and D-Backs. The A’s got to him for 10 hits in seven frames a few starts ago and both Colorado and Milwaukee ripped him apart in his last two games. Carpenter’s ERA over his last three starts is 7.88. Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw is one of the best lefties in the game. The only thing that prevents him from being the best is a lack of control. When he doesn’t walk folks he does not lose and the good news is that he has walked only two batters over his last three starts covering 20.2 innings. Kershaw has outstanding numbers right across the board that includes a BAA of .229, a road ERA of 2.61 and 128 K’s in just 112 frames. Lastly, the Cards have won just seven of its last 17 games and every win was against teams way under .500 (Houston twice, Milwaukee twice, Arizona twice, Kansas City once). Play: Los Angeles +1.12 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +1.07 over MINNESOTA
Hard to ignore the White Sox taking back a tag. The South Side enters this series as baseball's hottest team with an eight-game winning streak and having won 25 of 30 games dating to June 9, out-scoring opponents 156-77 during that span. While Chicago’s offense has improved considerably after a slow start, the pitching has been dominant during the team's surge and John Danks is no exception. In a recent start in Texas, Danks allowed four hits in six innings and followed that up with a complete game, two-hit shutout against the Angels. Only once in his last six starts did he allow more than three runs and that came at Wrigley with the wind blowing out. On the year, Danks has a BAA 0f .219 and his HR/9 is one of the best in the game at 0.56. Kevin Slowey has been much, much better at home but he’s without question the second best starter in this matchup. His BAA on the year is about 80 points higher than Danks at .293. Also note that Slowey’s GB/FB ratio is one of the worst in the business at 26%/51%, a near 2-1 ratio in favor of the fly-ball. The White Sox torched him earlier in the year and now they’re seeing beach balls. Play: Chicago +1.07 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 39-39-0 +23.84 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 133-161-2 +7.82 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Los Angeles +1.12 over ST. LOUIS
Give me Clayton Kershaw plus a tag against the most overrated team in baseball and we’ll play it every time. Chris Carpenter is having another solid year but let’s not forget that this guy has been injured for most of his career and prior to this year he appeared in just 33 games over three years. Carpenter has been shaky in three of his last five starts with only good starts over that stretch coming against the Jays and D-Backs. The A’s got to him for 10 hits in seven frames a few starts ago and both Colorado and Milwaukee ripped him apart in his last two games. Carpenter’s ERA over his last three starts is 7.88. Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw is one of the best lefties in the game. The only thing that prevents him from being the best is a lack of control. When he doesn’t walk folks he does not lose and the good news is that he has walked only two batters over his last three starts covering 20.2 innings. Kershaw has outstanding numbers right across the board that includes a BAA of .229, a road ERA of 2.61 and 128 K’s in just 112 frames. Lastly, the Cards have won just seven of its last 17 games and every win was against teams way under .500 (Houston twice, Milwaukee twice, Arizona twice, Kansas City once). Play: Los Angeles +1.12 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +1.07 over MINNESOTA
Hard to ignore the White Sox taking back a tag. The South Side enters this series as baseball's hottest team with an eight-game winning streak and having won 25 of 30 games dating to June 9, out-scoring opponents 156-77 during that span. While Chicago’s offense has improved considerably after a slow start, the pitching has been dominant during the team's surge and John Danks is no exception. In a recent start in Texas, Danks allowed four hits in six innings and followed that up with a complete game, two-hit shutout against the Angels. Only once in his last six starts did he allow more than three runs and that came at Wrigley with the wind blowing out. On the year, Danks has a BAA 0f .219 and his HR/9 is one of the best in the game at 0.56. Kevin Slowey has been much, much better at home but he’s without question the second best starter in this matchup. His BAA on the year is about 80 points higher than Danks at .293. Also note that Slowey’s GB/FB ratio is one of the worst in the business at 26%/51%, a near 2-1 ratio in favor of the fly-ball. The White Sox torched him earlier in the year and now they’re seeing beach balls. Play: Chicago +1.07 (Risking 2 units).
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