three tonight w/analysis

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Yesterday 2 2 0 +1.70 Units
Last 30 Days 36 44 0 +8.78 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010)
139 176 2 -5.62 Units

All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.42 over Philadelphia
The Phillies were whacked again last night for the second straight time here and there’s no reason to believe it won’t happen again. The Phillies have now lost three in a row and five of six and its bullpen is running on fumes after the team allowed 26 runs over the last three games and worked eight innings last night. They’re not scoring either and in fact, they’ve scored one run or less in three of its last seven games. Two of its last three wins were by scores of 1-0 so they’re fortunate their losing funk isn’t worse. To make matters worse, Joe Blanton’s chances of going deep into this game is slim to none. Blanton has three wins in 15 starts, a 6.21 ERA, a 7.01 ERA on the road and a BAA of .300. At least he’s consistent, as he’s posted a 5.50+ ERA in each month so far this year and a 1.50+ WHIP in both June and July. Meanwhile the Cards continue to pound out hits and runs. They’ve now won seven straight and scored 41 times over that span and have hit a combined .307. Jamie Garcia is 3-1 at home with an ERA of 1.49. In 48 innings pitched at home he’s allowed just one jack. He has an outstanding groundball rate of 53% and while his strand rate is high also, which reveals some fortune; it’s not a concern here because the Phillies are not stringing any hits together these days and look completely out of sync. Trade rumors are swirling around the Phillies and that leaves an uneasy feeling. Red-hot v ice-cold gets the call. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).

ATLANTA –1½ +1.42 over San Diego
Tommy Hanson has had a rough few outings recently and that includes getting rocked by the South Side and the Tigers in back-to-back games June 22 and June 27. He only has one win in his last five starts and that has his stock lower than it’s been all season. Still, Hanson shows elite control with just 35 walks all season and 109 K’s. He’s issued two or fewer walks in every start since May 31 and last season he was outstanding in the second half. This guy has elite potential and wicked stuff and he’ll be up against the league’s biggest imposter, Jon Garland. Garland’s ERA is 3.45, which is a complete mirage. His ERA on the road is even flattering at 4.53. Garland remains an overvalued pitcher with no upside and he’s been regressing for six weeks now. In three July starts covering 17 frames, Garland has walked 10 and struck out 12. Now for the best news, current Braves hitters have 129 AB’s against Garland and their OPS is an off the charts 1.012. They also have a slugging percentage of .628 and a BA of .349. His ERA against the Braves in his career is 14.04 and once again we should see some batting practice out there against this stiff. Play: Atlanta –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).

Texas –1.03 over DETROIT
Sign me up baby! The Tigers have done a complete 180 and each loss is uglier than the last. The Tigers losing streak has hit seven and over that stretch they’ve scored three runs or less six times. They made a rookie pitcher for the Tribe named Jeanmar Gomez look like C.C Sabathia and they’ve done the same against Carmona, Westbrook, Hunter and Mitch Talbot. Now they’ll face a real pitcher is Colby Lewis. Lewis has allowed just 90 hits in 115 frames for a BAA of .209. Keep in mind that he pitches half his games at that landmine in Arlington. He has 112 K’s and just 39 walks. In 10 road starts his BAA is .171 and now he’ll face a reeling team in a pitcher’s park. Meanwhile the Rangers have won five of six and they just keep beating up on folks. They’ve scored seven runs or more in four of those six wins and they also won in Boston against Lester this past Sunday. They’ll face Max Scherzer here, a guy with lots of upside but also a guy that has never performed well under pressure. With a seven game losing streak and counting, this is not the ideal spot for Max. He can be awfully wild and can be counted on to walk some batters. You simply can’t expect to fall behind these Ranger hitters and get by. Once again, Hot v ice–cold and ugly gets the call. Play: Texas –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
 

your worst nightmare
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Good luck!
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http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl...prev=/images?q=columbo&hl=en&gbv=2&tbs=isch:1
 

Bulldog Mentality
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With you on Rangers....BOL
 

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Did you ever wonder if the reason your record is poor is because you leave out so much?
 

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Did you ever wonder if the reason your record is poor is because you leave out so much?
this shit ain't easy. if it's so easy, go ahead and tell us what you wonder about.

seems to me, sherwood is contributing a lot more to this baseball forum than you are. how many days is he in here? for how many years? how many sports? don't be messing w/him.

appreciate the work. don't follow blindly, but i'm in here everyday.
 

Bulldog Mentality
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this shit ain't easy. if it's so easy, go ahead and tell us what you wonder about.

seems to me, sherwood is contributing a lot more to this baseball forum than you are. how many days is he in here? for how many years? how many sports? don't be messing w/him.

appreciate the work. don't follow blindly, but i'm in here everyday.


:103631605
 

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god damn Padres cant stand these fucking frauds. Braves better pull this damn game out. Wagner blowing 2 run leadto Hairston brothers than Torreabla complete joke.
 

New member
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this shit ain't easy. if it's so easy, go ahead and tell us what you wonder about.

seems to me, sherwood is contributing a lot more to this baseball forum than you are. how many days is he in here? for how many years? how many sports? don't be messing w/him.

appreciate the work. don't follow blindly, but i'm in here everyday.
There is a lot of truth to what you say. I only post much at one site and this is not it. I do give opinions in threads and believe they are in high 50's or better. The point is not that Sherwood is a bad person but first
The starting pitcher is only 1 factor in evaluating a team's winning chances. Garland for example if you look at over his last 20 road games has been fine. For some reason i can not paste info at this site or i would put it up. But more importantly Bobby will frequently rest players. Not last night. garland saw the best Atlanta line up so i stayed off the game barely because I knew that a high quality team( the Padres) had his back and wanted badly to take this one. Surprise it wound up a a battle of pens and the Padre's won.
You had much easier games available. Minn!! Cleveland has beaten Tampa 17 in a row at home. They play Tampa at home today. They were not going to show up last night and it was an easy winner. I played the cardinals with Sherwood last night because it was logical. I was fairly sure he was wrong about Detroit as the Rangers also had a major look a head to the Angels today but took the under which looked safer. In any case this is not about me at a site i keep a low profile in. It is about more than anything else Sherwood insulting Garland who deserves respect. That seriously angered me. This is his problem. Sherwood likes to paint pretty pictures of his sides but frequently the truth is just not there. Padres are a very good team that was very motivated. You do not look for trouble against them going with Garland who they like and respect and WILL FIGHT FOR. And you certainly do not need to Play Texas for a sweep when they are about to play a home series against the Team that that has owned their division the next day.
Not trying to come off an asshole. just someone who likes John garland and likes write ups that are much less one sided.
 

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Wow Finite, you sure have a great record once the games are final. Great call on the Tigers at 11:00 PM last night. An even better call on the Twins at 11:00 PM. Hell, they won 6-0 and it wasn't even close.

Garland is a piece of shit pitcher that has awfully good luck but his under the surface stats tell the real story. That is xERA, hard hit balls, etc. Oh, BTW, nice call on the Cards Wednesday for Tuesdays night game.

If you don't like my write-ups why even read them? Yeah, you're an asshole, a big asshole, not for the criticism, that I can take, but for giving out winners after the game is final and giving a reason for picking that team after the game is final. You came in before the games started so why didn't you post your disagreements then?

No, don't answer that, frankly, I already know, just like Garland, u, too, are a fraud.
 

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"No, don't answer that, frankly, I already know, just like Garland, u, too, are a fraud. "................


Classic lieutenant columbo .............Thanks for the laugh Sher ........keep on doing what you do
 

your worst nightmare
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Pay no attention to the haters, Columbo! Win or lose, you're a valuable member of the Rx community! :toast:

2n0iweq.jpg
 

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