MistaFlava's MLB Baseball Sunday ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (July 25, 2010)

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MistaFlava's 2010 MLB Baseball Record: 33-35 (+106.15 Units)



Sunday, July 25


Philadelphia Phillies ML -126 (10 Units)

The Colorado Rockies have been a horrendous road team all season long and I'm guessing when all is said and done it will be a big reason why they either miss the playoffs or barely make it in. They are 20-30 on the road in 2010 and have now lost the first two games of this series with the Phillies. Since the All-Star Break the Rockies are only 2-7, losing two of three in Cincinnati and then losing three of four in Florida before losing the first two in this series and things are not going well for a team that looked like it was built for a strong run in the second half. Jeff Francis is on the mound today for the Rockies, who have scored only 2 runs all series. Colorado is batting a pathetic .204 in their last 10 games, their starting staff has an ERA of 5.16 in those games and overall on the road this season, the Rockies are batting only .228 (not going to cut it). Francis is 1-0 in his last three starts and the team is 2-1 in those starts but he has an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.38 as all three games have been pretty high scoring. Having said that, Francis has had all sorts of problems in day time starts where his ERA is 4.45 and his WHIP 1.55 but the offense has bailed him out on many occasions. With the way the offense has been hitting this series and since the All-Star Break, I don't think Francis will be so lucky this time around.

The Philadelphia Phillies are in a bit of a panic mode right now and that prompted the firing of their hitting coach earlier this week. Well it seems to have boosted the offense because since he got fired the Phillies are 2-0 and they have scored 16 runs in those two games compared to only 27 runs in the other eight games they played since the All-Star Break (they were 2-6 since the Break heading into this series). A series sweep today would have the Philadelphia faithful hushing up a little bit and there would be renewed hope that the Phillies can once again win the Championship. They are 27-17 at home this season, their starting pitching has been much better at home than on the road and the same can be said about their bullpen. JA Happ is making his third start of 2010 and so far the team is 1-1 when he is on the mound. He has not allowed a single Earned Run in his two starts and posted a WHIP of 1.65 so it's obvious that Happ has been in some jams but eventually found a way out of them on his own. He had 17 strikeouts in his last three starts in AAA and has not pitched in the Major Leagues since early April where he shutout both the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals but the bullpen allowed 7 runs in the Washington game and the Phillies lost. Happ has been good enough in the Minors to earn another shot and he does have 14 career Major League wins and was 12-4 last year in 14 starts for the Phillies. Happ has the experience and I don't see the struggling Rockies lineup being a problem for him at home.

I'm not really sure what happened to Jeff Francis but something tells me he needs to get out of Colorado to have any kind of success in the Major Leagues. He won 17 games in 34 starts in 2007 but has won only 7 games since in 36 starts since and it's obvious he is not the pitcher he once was. Francis has made 4 career starts against Philadelphia and gone 1-1 in those starts but has an ERA of 7.59, a WHIP of 1.88 and the Phillies have batted .330 against him in those four starts. We all know the Phillies have been pounding the ball this series so Francis and Rockies backers should be concerned. JA Happ has made one career home start against Colorado and it came at home last August. He pitched a complete game four hit shutout with 10 strikeouts and was absolutely lights out. Same can't be said about his outing against the Rockies in the playoffs a few months later in Colorado but Happ does have experience shutting down this lineup. Colorado comes into this game 1-5 in their last six games as an underdog, they are only 1-6 in Jeff Francis' last seven games in Game 3 of a series and they are 1-5 in their last six games played in Philadelphia. The Phillies on the other hand are now 6-0 in their last six games versus a team with a winning record on the season, they are 6-0 in JA Happ's six career starts on a Sunday, they are 6-1 in Happ's last seven starts overall and the Phillies are one of the best Sunday teams around winning 43 of their last 60 on the final day of the weekend. This should be an easy sweep for the Phils.

Trend of the Game: Philadelphia is 6-0 in JA Happ's six career Sunday starts.


Philadelphia 9, Colorado 3





more to come...
 

aka...shdw03
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nice comeback
 

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