MistaFlava's MLB Baseball Wednesday ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (July 28, 2010)

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MistaFlava's 2010 MLB Baseball Record: 38-38 (+104.10 Units)



Wednesday, July 28


Cincinnati Reds ML -125 (10 Units)

The Reds are sending Travis Wood to the mound for the 6th time in 2010 which would also be the 6th time in his career. So far they are 3-2 when he is on the mound and he has been a rather nice surprise to the team. Wood is used to the road where he has made four starts now and despite going 0-0 in those four starts with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 0.86, the Reds have found a way to win and are 3-1 in those games. Pitching during the day does not seem to be a problem for him as he's done it twice now allowing only 3 ER's in 13.0 innings on the mound. Wood is coming off the worst outing of his career where he allowed 4 ER's but still went 6.0 innings and the Reds won 6-4 in Houston last week. Other than that he has not allowed more than 3 ER's in any of his last nine starts (MLB and AAA) and I don't see this game being a problem. Cincinnati is one of the best teams in baseball and there is no reason to ignore that in a game like this. Wood already beat the Mets in New York, the Cubs in Chicago, the Astros in Houston, lost 1-0 in Philadelphia so beating Milwaukee should be a cakewalk.

On the other side of the mound is Christopher Narveson who has been horrendous in his last three starts allowing 16 ER's in only 15.1 innings pitched with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 1.57 in those games despite the team supporting him and going 2-1 anyways. Having said that, Narveson has to face a hot Reds lineup that pounded away at the Brewers ace yesterday and the Brewers are 2-5 this season in the seven starts made by Narveson during the day time where his WHIP and ERA are not much better than the last three games. In his last two home starts against Washington and San Francisco, Narverson has allowed 14 ER's and has managed to pitch only 9.1 innings combined in those two games while allowing 15 hits and allowing 5 Home Runs, clearly a bad sign against one of the top Home Run hitting teams in baseball the Cincinnati Reds. The irony is that Narverson pitched well in all three home starts against AL opponents in recent months but NL teams have pounded away on him.

This is the first time facing their opponent for both pitchers so things could get interesting. This is an interesting spot for the Reds because they are only 1-4 in their last five games versus left handed starters and they have struggled to win Game 3 of most series they have played in 2010. It's also tough to go against Milwaukee because they have won 7 of their last 8 home games but the streak was broken yesterday and those wins came against teams that are not going to come close to even sniffing the playoffs. The Brewers are actually 1-5 in their last six home games versus a team with a winning record on the season and they are 1-4 in Chris Narveson's last five starts versus NL Central opponents which has been a problem for him and the team. Cincinnati comes into this game 4-1 in their last five games played here, they are 7-1 in their last eight games against Milwaukee, a team they have owned, and the Road Team is 4-1 the last five times Home Plate Umpire Mike DiMuro has been behind home plate. Reds win.

Trend of the Game: Milwaukee is 1-5 in their last six home games versus a team with a winning record.


Cincinnati 7, Milwaukee 3





more to come...
 

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Minnesota Twins ML -128 (10 Units)

Los Angeles Angels ML -106 (10 Units)

Atlanta Braves ML -136 (10 Units)

St. Louis Cardinals ML +109 (10 Units)

San Diego Padres ML -110 (10 Units)





:toast:
 

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Cincy will not make any playoffs. careful with them.
your last 3 is what i have so far. GL

<><>
 

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Mistaflavor good luck to u as always! But i'm liking the under in this game. DiMaro umping 6overs and 12unders! avg. 7.85 runs per game. After reds posting up 12 last night i don't see it happening again. I think Narv. will hold his own today. I like your write-up though. Much appreciated for your time!
 

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Nice start to the day, been hot lately, looking to close out the MLB season on a strong note.
 

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Mistaflavor good luck to u as always! But i'm liking the under in this game. DiMaro umping 6overs and 12unders! avg. 7.85 runs per game. After reds posting up 12 last night i don't see it happening again. I think Narv. will hold his own today. I like your write-up though. Much appreciated for your time!


tough one on the under if you took it. The Reds are on fire man, it's quite unreal right now and it will be interesting to see if they can keep it up the rest of the year. GL tonight.
 

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4-1 today with the Padres pending. My only loss was on the Angels and it was refunded at Pinny because of the Pineiro scratch but I didn't list pitchers here nor did I list them for the Atlanta-Washington game last night so they stand as is. Would love to finish 5-1 tonight.
 

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