MistaFlava's 2010 MLB Baseball Record: 43-39 (+144.40 Units)
Thursday, July 29
New York Mets ML -145 (10 Units)
The St. Louis Cardinals must be on some kind of high after that huge 13 inning win over the Mets because losing a game they led 7-3 late would have been devastating considering the fact that they scored 6 runs off Johan Santana in the very first inning, more than he had allowed the entire month of July combined. Having said that, there is no rest for the wicked and the Cardinals have to be right back out there for the earliest game being played on Wednesday. Blake Hawksworth has only made 7 career MLB starts and the team is 3-4 in those games (all played in 2010). He has an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.81 on the season which means opposing teams are going to have base runners. Sure the Cardinals have provided the youngster with tons of run support lately because they are 2-1 in his last three starts but he has allowed 24 base hits in only 15.2 innings pitched with an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 2.11 in those three starts. Hawksworth has an issue keeping the ball down and he has allowed 6 Home Runs in only five road starts this season. The run support has been what keeps Hawksworth around since his call up to the big leagues but again it only takes one opposing pitcher to put an end to that. He has allowed 9 ER's and 17 hits in his last two starts combining for 10.1 innings of work. I'm fading.
The series is on the line in this one and after last night's near come from behind win over the Cardinals, the Mets are not holding out hope. At least the comeback had guys pumped up and guys yelling at each other to get things going. Keep in mind that the Mets won the first game of this series 8-2 and despite the batting issues they have had in recent weeks, they seem to be coming out of that shell and have now scored 15 runs in the last two games. Michael Pelfrey is on the mound for the Mets and I think this is a good spot for him to bounce back from some horrific outings. In his last three starts he has allowed 12 ER's in only 10.1 innings pitched, the team is 0-3, his ERA is 10.45 and his WHIP is 3.10 in those three starts. It just can't get worse for Pelfrey right now. On that note, in his 11 home starts this season the Mets are 8-3, Pelfrey is 6-2 in those games and he has an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.43. The bottom line is that regardless of his recent struggles on the mound, the Mets like to play for Pelfrey and they are 13-7 in the 20 starts he has now made in 2010. With so much on the line in this one I will take the home team who have the better bullpen overall.
These are two tired teams, the game last night finished about 12 hours ago and now they are right back at it. This will come down to starting pitching and bullpens. Advantage the Mets for the simple fact that Blake Hawksworth has only 7 career MLB starts compared to 100 career starts for Mike Pelfrey, who obviously knows what is needed of him in this game. Pelfrey has made two career starts against the Cardinals, he is 2-0 in those starts with an ERA of 1.20, a WHIP of 1.13 and the Cardinals have batted only .255 against him in those starts. Blake Hawksworth has pitched 6.2 career innings of relief against the Mets and he has yet to allow a run but this is an early game, it's on the road and there is a lot on the line. St. Louis has been pounding away on right handed starters but they have won only 3 of their last 12 as an underdog. The Cardinals are also 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog and they are 3-0 overall in their last three games as an underdog. What I like about the Mets is that they can always turn to Pelfrey when the rough times hit. The Mets are 8-1 when Michael Pelfrey pitches following a team loss the game before and they are 10-2 in Pelfrey's last 12 starts versus NL Central opponents. The Mets have won 8 of his last 11 home starts and again the Cardinals are a team he has dominated in the past. DJ Reyburn is a homer Home Plate Umpire as the home team is 4-1 in his last five games and despite the win yesterday, St. Louis are still 1-4 in their last five trips to New York City. Mets for me.
Trend of the Game: NY Mets are 8-1 in Michael Pelfrey's last nine starts when the team is coming off a loss the game before.
NY Mets 4, St. Louis 2
more to come...
Thursday, July 29
New York Mets ML -145 (10 Units)
The St. Louis Cardinals must be on some kind of high after that huge 13 inning win over the Mets because losing a game they led 7-3 late would have been devastating considering the fact that they scored 6 runs off Johan Santana in the very first inning, more than he had allowed the entire month of July combined. Having said that, there is no rest for the wicked and the Cardinals have to be right back out there for the earliest game being played on Wednesday. Blake Hawksworth has only made 7 career MLB starts and the team is 3-4 in those games (all played in 2010). He has an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.81 on the season which means opposing teams are going to have base runners. Sure the Cardinals have provided the youngster with tons of run support lately because they are 2-1 in his last three starts but he has allowed 24 base hits in only 15.2 innings pitched with an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 2.11 in those three starts. Hawksworth has an issue keeping the ball down and he has allowed 6 Home Runs in only five road starts this season. The run support has been what keeps Hawksworth around since his call up to the big leagues but again it only takes one opposing pitcher to put an end to that. He has allowed 9 ER's and 17 hits in his last two starts combining for 10.1 innings of work. I'm fading.
The series is on the line in this one and after last night's near come from behind win over the Cardinals, the Mets are not holding out hope. At least the comeback had guys pumped up and guys yelling at each other to get things going. Keep in mind that the Mets won the first game of this series 8-2 and despite the batting issues they have had in recent weeks, they seem to be coming out of that shell and have now scored 15 runs in the last two games. Michael Pelfrey is on the mound for the Mets and I think this is a good spot for him to bounce back from some horrific outings. In his last three starts he has allowed 12 ER's in only 10.1 innings pitched, the team is 0-3, his ERA is 10.45 and his WHIP is 3.10 in those three starts. It just can't get worse for Pelfrey right now. On that note, in his 11 home starts this season the Mets are 8-3, Pelfrey is 6-2 in those games and he has an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.43. The bottom line is that regardless of his recent struggles on the mound, the Mets like to play for Pelfrey and they are 13-7 in the 20 starts he has now made in 2010. With so much on the line in this one I will take the home team who have the better bullpen overall.
These are two tired teams, the game last night finished about 12 hours ago and now they are right back at it. This will come down to starting pitching and bullpens. Advantage the Mets for the simple fact that Blake Hawksworth has only 7 career MLB starts compared to 100 career starts for Mike Pelfrey, who obviously knows what is needed of him in this game. Pelfrey has made two career starts against the Cardinals, he is 2-0 in those starts with an ERA of 1.20, a WHIP of 1.13 and the Cardinals have batted only .255 against him in those starts. Blake Hawksworth has pitched 6.2 career innings of relief against the Mets and he has yet to allow a run but this is an early game, it's on the road and there is a lot on the line. St. Louis has been pounding away on right handed starters but they have won only 3 of their last 12 as an underdog. The Cardinals are also 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog and they are 3-0 overall in their last three games as an underdog. What I like about the Mets is that they can always turn to Pelfrey when the rough times hit. The Mets are 8-1 when Michael Pelfrey pitches following a team loss the game before and they are 10-2 in Pelfrey's last 12 starts versus NL Central opponents. The Mets have won 8 of his last 11 home starts and again the Cardinals are a team he has dominated in the past. DJ Reyburn is a homer Home Plate Umpire as the home team is 4-1 in his last five games and despite the win yesterday, St. Louis are still 1-4 in their last five trips to New York City. Mets for me.
Trend of the Game: NY Mets are 8-1 in Michael Pelfrey's last nine starts when the team is coming off a loss the game before.
NY Mets 4, St. Louis 2
more to come...
