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Thursday, August 5
Seattle Mariners ML -122 (25 Units) ***PLAY OF THE WEEK***
I doesn't matter who Felix Hernandez is going up against these days, when he is on the mound the team has a big time chance of winning the game. I find some serious value in this play tonight for a couple of different reasons. The first being that it's one of the final games on the board tonight and 70% of the betting public is trying to hedge their losses by betting on one of the best teams in baseball in 2010, the Texas Rangers. The problem with that is that they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games, they have lost three of their last five games and they are batting only .254 in their last five games. That's not too far off from Seattle batting .246 in their last 10 games and being 2-8 in those games. In his last two starts Felix Hernandez has been provided with only 1 run of support in both games combined but both games were on the road and I don't see that happening again. Tommy Hunter is 8-1 on the season and is on the mound for the Rangers tonight but in his last three starts he has an ERA of 6.06, a WHIP of 1.10 and had it not been for the 21 runs of support his batters gave him I don't think he would have won any of the starts. Don't forget he has an ERA of 5.21 on the road this season and without run support he would not be 8-1 on the season. Texas is 1-5 in their last six Game 3's, they are only 1-4 in their last five games coming off a win and despite their success in the past playing in Seattle, I don't think they'll get by Hernandez. Seattle is 13-3 in Felix Hernandez's last 16 starts at home against a team with a winning record on the season, they are 13-5 in his last 18 home starts and 5-2 in his last seven starts versus the Rangers. I think we see some vintage Hernandez tonight coming off those two road losses.
Trend of the Game: Seattle is 13-3 in Felix Hernandez's last 16 home starts versus a team with a winning record on the season.
Seattle 3, Texas 1
:toast: