Yesterday 1-0-0 +2.00 Units
Last 30 Days 30-39-1 -2.28 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 154-188-3 +6.70 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Houston +2.26 over ST. LOUIS
Win or lose here, the fact is this line is just plain ridiculous. First, the Astros are very warm with six wins in a row and seven wins in eight games. Over that eight-game stretch they’ve outscored the opposition 43-13. They came in here last night and won the opener 9-4 and have a very good chance of extending its winning streak. The Cards are 5-6 over its last 11 games with three of those six wins coming against the Pirates. They lost a series to the both the Cubbies and Mets to make up its other two wins. The Cards remain a way overvalued squad almost daily and you can triple that for this one. Bud Norris has the potential to be one of the game's better young starters. He has a ton of upside and has really picked it up recently. In his last two starts covering 12 frames, Norris has allowed just eight hits, struck out 12 and had induced 18 groundballs to just 12 fly-balls. He’s faced the Cards three times this season and in 20 innings, he struck out 21, walked four, and had a BAA of .227 and an ERA of 2.61. Overall, Norris has 85 K’s in 80 innings. Jaime Garcia is another very decent young starter and could definitely have a very good game here. Everything Garcia does is good and he’s a pitcher to watch, as he could develop into one of the best in a couple of years. Thing is, he and the Cards absolutely do not warrant this tag against Norris and the resurgent Astros. This one could come down to the pens and the Astros ripped apart the Cards pen last night. Can someone explain why EVERY Cards reliever has a heavy beard and looks like a character from Deliverance. Is that another one of LaRussa’s futile ploys to intimidate hitters? It must be because it can’t be a coincidence that every one of them sports that same look. Have another whiskey Tony. Anyway, what we have here is a sweet tag on a presently sweet combo of Norris and the Astros. Play: Houston +2.26 (Risking 2 units).
San Diego +1.08 over LOS ANGELES
The Padres keep jabbing the Dodgers and now it only seems like a matter of time before the Dodgers hit the canvas. The Padres came in here last night and scored 10 times and have now beaten L.A. three out of four games in the past week. What he have here is two outstanding pitchers in Ted Lilly and Mat Latos. Lilly was on his way to his fourth consecutive strong season before being traded to LA. He's an extreme flyball pitcher (29/18/50 G/LD/F) who has suffered from bouts of gopheritis (1.5 HR/9). Going from Wrigley Field to Dodger Stadium can only help him and outside of a poor showing in May, he’s posted great numbers in every other month. Having said that, you have to like Latos’ chances of outperforming Lilly. Latos is the straight goods. This guy has been about as unhittable a pitcher as there is in the game and it doesn’t matter if he’s pitching at Petco or elsewhere. He dominates. The real kicker here, however, is the pens, where comparing the two is like comparing Peyton Manning to Ryan Fitzpatrick and it’s not in the Dodgers favor. Play: San Diego +1.08 (Risking 2 units).
San Francisco +1.20 over COLORADO
After a 12-game losing streak the Rocks were able to take out its frustrations on the Cubbies. Big deal. The Brewers joined that same club last night by beating the Cubs 18-1. This is not the Cubbies. The Giants have been playing great ball for weeks. They’re 13-3 over its last 16 road games and overall they’ve won 22 of its last 27. Aaron Cook instills fear into nobody. Cook has not made it out of the fifth inning in two of his last three starts and failed to make it out of the third in his last against the Pirates. Over his last four games, covering just 18.2 frames, Cook has been tagged for 31 hits and 15 earned runs for an ERA of 7.23 a WHIP of 1.93 and an OBA of .371. It’s also worth noting that Cook was taken to the hospital for X-rays after he took a foul ball off his foot during batting practice Saturday. In fact, he has not pitched past the fifth inning in three of his last four games. For Jonathon Sanchez it’s all about control. When he’s throwing strikes he’s dominating lineups. When he’s not he struggles miserably. He has 127 K’s in 122 innings this season and at this park a strikeout pitcher is about 100 times more appealing than a pitcher that doesn’t strike out many. Of course, walking hitters at this park is a disaster waiting to happen but with a tag on Sanchez and with the way the Giants are playing, it’s a risk worth taking, especially against the declining skills of Cook. Play: San Francisco +1.20 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 30-39-1 -2.28 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 154-188-3 +6.70 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Houston +2.26 over ST. LOUIS
Win or lose here, the fact is this line is just plain ridiculous. First, the Astros are very warm with six wins in a row and seven wins in eight games. Over that eight-game stretch they’ve outscored the opposition 43-13. They came in here last night and won the opener 9-4 and have a very good chance of extending its winning streak. The Cards are 5-6 over its last 11 games with three of those six wins coming against the Pirates. They lost a series to the both the Cubbies and Mets to make up its other two wins. The Cards remain a way overvalued squad almost daily and you can triple that for this one. Bud Norris has the potential to be one of the game's better young starters. He has a ton of upside and has really picked it up recently. In his last two starts covering 12 frames, Norris has allowed just eight hits, struck out 12 and had induced 18 groundballs to just 12 fly-balls. He’s faced the Cards three times this season and in 20 innings, he struck out 21, walked four, and had a BAA of .227 and an ERA of 2.61. Overall, Norris has 85 K’s in 80 innings. Jaime Garcia is another very decent young starter and could definitely have a very good game here. Everything Garcia does is good and he’s a pitcher to watch, as he could develop into one of the best in a couple of years. Thing is, he and the Cards absolutely do not warrant this tag against Norris and the resurgent Astros. This one could come down to the pens and the Astros ripped apart the Cards pen last night. Can someone explain why EVERY Cards reliever has a heavy beard and looks like a character from Deliverance. Is that another one of LaRussa’s futile ploys to intimidate hitters? It must be because it can’t be a coincidence that every one of them sports that same look. Have another whiskey Tony. Anyway, what we have here is a sweet tag on a presently sweet combo of Norris and the Astros. Play: Houston +2.26 (Risking 2 units).
San Diego +1.08 over LOS ANGELES
The Padres keep jabbing the Dodgers and now it only seems like a matter of time before the Dodgers hit the canvas. The Padres came in here last night and scored 10 times and have now beaten L.A. three out of four games in the past week. What he have here is two outstanding pitchers in Ted Lilly and Mat Latos. Lilly was on his way to his fourth consecutive strong season before being traded to LA. He's an extreme flyball pitcher (29/18/50 G/LD/F) who has suffered from bouts of gopheritis (1.5 HR/9). Going from Wrigley Field to Dodger Stadium can only help him and outside of a poor showing in May, he’s posted great numbers in every other month. Having said that, you have to like Latos’ chances of outperforming Lilly. Latos is the straight goods. This guy has been about as unhittable a pitcher as there is in the game and it doesn’t matter if he’s pitching at Petco or elsewhere. He dominates. The real kicker here, however, is the pens, where comparing the two is like comparing Peyton Manning to Ryan Fitzpatrick and it’s not in the Dodgers favor. Play: San Diego +1.08 (Risking 2 units).
San Francisco +1.20 over COLORADO
After a 12-game losing streak the Rocks were able to take out its frustrations on the Cubbies. Big deal. The Brewers joined that same club last night by beating the Cubs 18-1. This is not the Cubbies. The Giants have been playing great ball for weeks. They’re 13-3 over its last 16 road games and overall they’ve won 22 of its last 27. Aaron Cook instills fear into nobody. Cook has not made it out of the fifth inning in two of his last three starts and failed to make it out of the third in his last against the Pirates. Over his last four games, covering just 18.2 frames, Cook has been tagged for 31 hits and 15 earned runs for an ERA of 7.23 a WHIP of 1.93 and an OBA of .371. It’s also worth noting that Cook was taken to the hospital for X-rays after he took a foul ball off his foot during batting practice Saturday. In fact, he has not pitched past the fifth inning in three of his last four games. For Jonathon Sanchez it’s all about control. When he’s throwing strikes he’s dominating lineups. When he’s not he struggles miserably. He has 127 K’s in 122 innings this season and at this park a strikeout pitcher is about 100 times more appealing than a pitcher that doesn’t strike out many. Of course, walking hitters at this park is a disaster waiting to happen but with a tag on Sanchez and with the way the Giants are playing, it’s a risk worth taking, especially against the declining skills of Cook. Play: San Francisco +1.20 (Risking 2 units).
