Yesterday 0 0 0 0.00 Units
Last 30 Days 37 34 0 +26.70 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 204 240 3 +30.52 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Arizona/CINCINNATI over 9 +1.09
With Bronson Arroyo and Barry Enright going, what we have here is two extreme fly-ball pitchers in a park that is unforgiving to those types of pitchers. Enright’s 2.95 ERA is a complete fluke, as his strand rate is an eye-opening 82% and his fly-ball rate is 48%. This guy has been the recipient of good fortune and was exposed in his last start against the Giants in which he allowed three jacks, nine hits and six runs in six IP. In two September starts covering 13 innings against the Padres and Giants, they hit .333 off him. Now he’ll face an explosive offense in an explosive park. Arroy’s fly-ball rate over the past 31 days, covering five starts is 49%. At home this season he’s walked 33 and struck out just 39 in 85 innings. Arroyo has been tagged for five homers over his last three starts including three in his last start. All the reports on the weather for this game shows the winds blowing out and frankly, this one looks to go over early and easy. How do like your eggs? Play: Arizona/Cincinnati over 9 +1.09 (Risking 2 units).
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.04 over Chicago
Jeff Samardzija will now get his start a few days earlier than expected, as he will fill in for Carlos Silva, who is out with a strained elbow. Regardless of how and when Samardzija came by this start, it’s recommended to stay far away from this guy. Samardzija has struggled mightily in the majors and even his 2010 minor-league numbers do not inspire a lot of confidence. While he had an acceptable strikeout rate, he’s always behind in the count and walks guys consistently. His ERA in the minors was an uninspiring 4.37 and in four games in the majors this season, all in relief, he walked six, struck out two in three innings and allowed 11 runs. Jaime Garcia’s success this season has quickly made him an established regular in the St. Louis rotation and it’s no fluke. An 80% strand rate has suppressed Garcia's ERA, but his xERA indicates he's been a legitimate sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. Garcia’s 56% groundball rate on the year is one of the tops in the business, confirming that he has terrific stuff and this Cubs line-up should not pose much of a threat. Cardinals going away even with Garcia batting eighth. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 37 34 0 +26.70 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 204 240 3 +30.52 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Arizona/CINCINNATI over 9 +1.09
With Bronson Arroyo and Barry Enright going, what we have here is two extreme fly-ball pitchers in a park that is unforgiving to those types of pitchers. Enright’s 2.95 ERA is a complete fluke, as his strand rate is an eye-opening 82% and his fly-ball rate is 48%. This guy has been the recipient of good fortune and was exposed in his last start against the Giants in which he allowed three jacks, nine hits and six runs in six IP. In two September starts covering 13 innings against the Padres and Giants, they hit .333 off him. Now he’ll face an explosive offense in an explosive park. Arroy’s fly-ball rate over the past 31 days, covering five starts is 49%. At home this season he’s walked 33 and struck out just 39 in 85 innings. Arroyo has been tagged for five homers over his last three starts including three in his last start. All the reports on the weather for this game shows the winds blowing out and frankly, this one looks to go over early and easy. How do like your eggs? Play: Arizona/Cincinnati over 9 +1.09 (Risking 2 units).
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.04 over Chicago
Jeff Samardzija will now get his start a few days earlier than expected, as he will fill in for Carlos Silva, who is out with a strained elbow. Regardless of how and when Samardzija came by this start, it’s recommended to stay far away from this guy. Samardzija has struggled mightily in the majors and even his 2010 minor-league numbers do not inspire a lot of confidence. While he had an acceptable strikeout rate, he’s always behind in the count and walks guys consistently. His ERA in the minors was an uninspiring 4.37 and in four games in the majors this season, all in relief, he walked six, struck out two in three innings and allowed 11 runs. Jaime Garcia’s success this season has quickly made him an established regular in the St. Louis rotation and it’s no fluke. An 80% strand rate has suppressed Garcia's ERA, but his xERA indicates he's been a legitimate sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. Garcia’s 56% groundball rate on the year is one of the tops in the business, confirming that he has terrific stuff and this Cubs line-up should not pose much of a threat. Cardinals going away even with Garcia batting eighth. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
