fish..a book has Boise st to win National Championship No at -780..what do you think overlay??? sure thing?? im tempted as I dont see how they make

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fish..a book has Boise St to win National Championship Yes +680 No at -780..what do you think on the NO an overlay??? big overlay? sure thing?? money locked up for months obviously but forget that aspect...

im tempted as I dont see how they make it to the final anymore
this is not a bash Boise St thread its a value discussion thread...
 

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Ohio State is the only team in the country that I think goes undefeated other than TCU and they have some tough tests still to go. Will a 1 or 2 loss SEC team get in there? TCU shouldn't be able to beat out Boise for a top 2 spot if both teams win out. Boise has a very good chance to beat 4 top 25 teams this season when they play (VTech, Oregon State, Fresno State, Nevada). Tough to tell if it will be enough.
 

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With it being about 50/50 in my mind for them to even make the game IF they win out... and then probably being underdogs in the championship... the -780 looks like it has value if you have lots of cash and don't mind letting it sit there for a long time.
 

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Long time to have money tied up laying -780...........but it is a huge overlay, as Boise States chances of even playing in the title game are over 10-1.

With Boise States schedule and VT's loss to James Madison, there could be no less than four one loss teams ranked ahead of Boise State in the BCS tabulations.............and this all comes into debate only if BSU runs the table, which is not an absolute given..
 

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wouldn't be worth it to me.

plus I still think Boise plays in the title game if they beat OSU. Think all this Va Tech/JMU stuff has been blown out of proportion as to how it changes things for Boise. VT is still a serious contender to win the ACC Championship
 

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wouldn't be worth it to me.

plus I still think Boise plays in the title game if they beat OSU. Think all this Va Tech/JMU stuff has been blown out of proportion as to how it changes things for Boise. VT is still a serious contender to win the ACC Championship

How do you figure. The #'s just won't add up. VTech losing is just a killer to them. Makes the ACC look very week and also the other teams in the ACC are not that good.
 

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Depending on how bad you think Va Tech really is, they could conceivably win their next 11 games. I would say 11-2 with an ACC Championship and a top 15 ranking won't look so bad on Boise's resume.

I haven't full looked at it...but I think the SEC beats up on each other, Ohio State falters because they aren't that good anyway, and the winner of the Big 12 Championship could play Boise for that National Title.
 

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Alabama looks better than they did last year. Texas should be able to get past in the B12 so right there is 2 teams.

TCU will pass BSU when the #'s start getting crunched.
 

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Wonder what the number is now...

contenders...

Undefeated Oregon...couple tough games left
TCU or Utah undefeated
Auburn undefeated but likely to lose to Alabama which would leave them out of SEC Championsihp
Possible one loss Alabama as SEC Champs
Possible undefeated Mich State (prob lose to Iowa)...even undefeated, that schedule is a joke and doubt they jump Boise
Undefeated Missouri plays at Nebraska plus would have to win Big 12 Championship...so possible 1 loss Big 12 Champ
 

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Not saying Mich St played a great schedule, but it is better than Boise's.
 
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I'd give any Michigan St backers at least 10 points if they met up & I know I'd clean up.
 

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getting interesting thats for sure! bosie would be -4 vs Mich state...
 

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http://www.boston.com/sports/colleg.../15/as_others_struggle_boise_plays_like_no_1/

National College Football
As others struggle, Boise plays like No. 1

By Mark Blaudschun
November 15, 2010


OK, who’s No. 1? We don’t know, no matter what the polls say or whatever argument you want to use for the four remaining unbeatens — Oregon, Boise State, TCU, and Auburn.

But one thing seemed clear after last weekend’s games. Boise looked like the best team and had the best weekend. The Broncos came into their rivalry game against Idaho Friday night with an attitude and it showed in a 52-14 trouncing of the Vandals. A heated intrastate rivalry is over for the time being, since Boise is moving from the Western Athletic Conference to the Mountain West next season.
Boise’s 49-20 win over Louisiana Tech Oct. 26 wasn’t impressive enough for the voters and computers, which bounced the Broncos from No. 3 to No. 4 in the Bowl Championship Series standings.

But in the BCS, if you want change, wait a week and it will happen. Such was the case this past weekend, because not only did Boise have the best week and looked the part, but the Broncos’ competition all had their problems.

Top-ranked Oregon, a scoring machine for the first two months of the season, hit the road and almost became road kill, holding on for a 15-13 win at California.

West Coast sages such as Chris Dufresne of the Los Angeles Times saw a tight one coming, pointing out the schizoid tendency of Cal teams on the road and at home. On the road, the Bears are mediocre. At home? In even-numbered years, Cal hadn’t lost a home game since 2004. Until Saturday night.

If not Oregon, how about Auburn?

The Tigers beat Georgia, 49-31, but it was a tension-filled game, ending a tension-filled week, which will be followed now with two more tension-filled weeks.

Not only did Auburn have to deal with the controversy concerning the eligibility of quarterback Cam Newton — who is also the Heisman Trophy front-runner — but a win over Georgia would make the Tigers SEC West champions.

The Tigers took care of the Bulldogs, and now have two hurdles between them and a likely spot in the BCS title game. Neither, though, will be easy. First comes the Iron Bowl against Alabama in Tuscaloosa, followed by the SEC Championship game against the East champion, South Carolina.

If not Auburn, how about TCU?

The Horned Frogs may have had the worst week of the contenders. Sure, they remained unbeaten with a 40-35 win over a decent San Diego State team, but they showed some defensive vulnerability, which no one noticed one week earlier when they were taking apart previously unbeaten Utah in Salt Lake City, 47-7.

But Saturday Utah went to South Bend, Ind., and was trounced, 28-3, by what most people thought was a mediocre Notre Dame team. Adding to the Horned Frogs’ weekend was a victory by Texas A&M over Baylor.
With the loss to the Aggies, Baylor’s stock tumbled, and so did the importance of TCU’s win over the Bears earlier in the season.

Which brings us back to Boise State, which looks No. 1 worthy — for this week at least.
Watch your step
Oregon has been very good all season in climbing to No. 1. In their win over Cal, the Ducks were both lucky and good. A potential winning field goal by Cal in the fourth quarter was negated when kicker Giorgio Tavecchio did a stutter step before attempting what would have been a go-ahead 24-yard field goal. Cal was called for illegal motion. Tavecchio then missed from 29 yards . . . Oregon, which had only three scoreless quarters all season, was held scoreless in the first and fourth quarter by the Bears . . . Newton certainly didn’t hurt his Heisman chances against Georgia, coming up with 299 total yards. Whether the controversy regarding his recruitment hurts him with Heisman voters remains to be seen . . . TCU allowed 35 points against San Diego, 12 more than the Horned Frogs’ first six Mountain West Conference opponents combined . . . Could Louisiana State again be a sleeper in the BCS title game? The once-beaten Tigers (24-17 losers at Auburn) did not even win their division (SEC West). But an Auburn loss to either Alabama or South Carolina and an Oregon loss to either Arizona or Oregon State might put LSU in the BCS title picture.

Badgering a foe
Say what? Wisconsin 83, Indiana 20?
Although margin of victory is not a factor with the BCS computer polls, it always is with the voters (Harris Poll, coaches poll) who decide BCS standings. And since the Big Ten will have a three-way tie if Michigan State, Ohio State, and Wisconsin win out, and the tiebreaker in that scenario is the highest BCS standing, bigger is better. Consider this: The Wisconsin basketball team did not score more than 83 points in 30 of its 34 games last season, and the school mascot, Bucky Badger, who celebrates TDs with pushups, did 573 of them Saturday.
 

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will be very interesting ...lets just say Im a huge Auburn fan right now...I can see some cracks for the first time all year where Bosie can get in that title game now...yuk Im not sitting pretty if that happens!
 

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thank U auburn...

Close call. Good thing Alabama took the 2nd half off. I like Auburn quite a bit and I thought they could win the SEC in the offseason. Very good team. That being said, they have to be the luckiest sons of bitches ever. They should have lost 2 or 3 games this year but everything just falls into place perfectly and they catch all the breaks.
 

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