BillHill999's Play of the Day

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Texas Rangers + 117 over Tampa Bay Rays

Game 2:
Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
C.J. Wilson v. James Shields.


Riding the Ranger wagon again for game 2.

Rangers send out C.J. Wilson.

Wilson's overall numbers for 2010 very solid.
Well below league ERA average of 3.35 and a ratio also below league average of 1.25.

Made every one of his starts, batters only hit .217 against him, walk tally is a little high, but could work to his advantage as Ray hitters are generally not patient, and tend to strike out on swinging at pitches out of the strike zone.
15-8 overall won loss record, not a fluke.

Made one start this season versus Tampa Bay, won, was neither sharp or flat in a mediocre outing.

Wilson's career numbers against the current Ray lineup is extremely impressive.
Rays hit a minisule .191 (9 for 47 ) agianst him.


James 'Big Game' Shields start for Tampa Bay.
He better have a big game, or Rays are done.
I for one am not buying into the 'Big Game' hype.

His last three starts have been awful.
He was brutal in his last start yielding 12 hits, 7 runs in 5 innings against an inept KC lineup.
Start before that, against an equally inept Mariner lineup was almost as bad.
Giving up 8 hits, 5 runs in 6 innings.
Start before that lost to the Yankees.

Overall numbers for the season are subpar, especially for a divison winner.
Won loss record is a bad 13-15.
ERA is above the league average, a poor 5.18
Ratio, also above the league average, a poor 1.46

Current Ranger lineup hits Shields hard.
Lifetime overall Texas has a BA of .298 against him. 37 for 124
Vlad and Young have taken him deep twice.
Andrus is .500 against Shields.

Probable scenario, Andrus gets on, steals second, sets up a big inning with Young and Vlad to follow.
Or, Andrus gets on, distracts Shields. Makes mistake to the big boys.

Whatever the case, sports is all about matchups, and the key to handicapping baseball games is starting pitching matchup.

Wilson is clearly the better of the two starters.
Better record, better ERA, better Ratio, has more success against the opposing lineup than Shields does of his.

My only concern is Wilson keeping the Ray lineup to 2 or less walks.
Never the less, I am on Rangers one more time.
Must win for Tampa? Who says they must win, I don't.

Rangers 2* + 117 5D reduced.

As always, thank you ever so much for taking the time to read this, and as usual, may all your tickets get cashed.

:toast:
 

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Wrong team is favored here sweety.
BoL

:toast:
 

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Best bet of the day would have been you riding the Rangers again, lol. GL

~T~
 

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^
Umm, I think I just did that.


lol
 

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I agree completely. Tampa's OPS vs. Wilson is a pathetic .592. It's not a huge sample size, only 47 AB's, but they've only mustered 2 extra base hits off him. On the other side, the Rangers have an .858 OPS against Shields. Neither pitcher finished that strong, but Shields ended in total melt down mode pitching to about an 8.00 ERA in Sept./Oct.
 

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Thx Bill, I'll ride the train.
What do you think of the total here? Neither pitcher was spectacular in September.
 

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shields have been horrible, and tb just cant hit the ball lately. getting shut out against (below) average teams, putting up a couple of runs each game. in fact they only average 2 runs a game L5. that must win angle everybody's talking about is getting old. yeah sure, the rays must win, and the rangers dont? tb is in a situation that they need to win, but it doesnt mean they will! its all about matchups and recent form in this game, agree with you here bill. gl on the wager, sprinkled a couple of coins on it as well.
 

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shields have been horrible, and tb just cant hit the ball lately. getting shut out against (below) average teams, putting up a couple of runs each game. in fact they only average 2 runs a game L5. that must win angle everybody's talking about is getting old. yeah sure, the rays must win, and the rangers dont? tb is in a situation that they need to win, but it doesnt mean they will! its all about matchups and recent form in this game, agree with you here bill. gl on the wager, sprinkled a couple of coins on it as well.

Haha, completely agree with you. Especially in baseball, "Needing" to win is nonsense. You can't will your way in to hitting better or pitching better. The only way "needing" to win comes in to play is what a manager does with his lineup that he normally wouldn't do... such as bringing in starters as relievers, pulling pitchers quicker than normal when they get in a bind, pinch runners, etc.
 

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I always like your insight on the Yankees' games? SO.....do you have any insight for your girl??
 

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Slight, very slight lean on Pavano to even things up at home.
I don't think Andy Pettitte is quite right.
 

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Don't hurt yourself patting yourself on the back. Now what's the play in the Yanks/Twins game?
I can't reach.
:lol:

Twins small, I don't think AP has been right since the groin injury return.
Pavano has found new life in Minny, and this coming from a die hard Yank fan.
 

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