Already took NYY -1 1/2 @ +150 but wanna hear thoughts anyway...

mastermaybe · Oct 7, 2010

Men, this line just jumped at me right away.

I had NY - 1 1/2 y-day and they obviously met it, and today I'm just not anticipating a good start from Pavano at all. He's been hammered his last two, and lost his last 4 vs the Yankees.

Pettite of course won't be Halladay, but I think even allowing 3 in 6 will give me a good shot a 2-4 run Yankee win.

I know the Twins "need" this game but that always means squat to me with pro teams. To each his, his own.

Opinions? thanks...

James

Z-DUBS · Oct 7, 2010

Agreed, the yanks just sucked the life out of the twins with that come from behind win. Especially with Pettitie on the mound tonight!!!!!! I smell a sweep.

reservoirdog · Oct 7, 2010

Pavano has been hit hard the L2 starts but he's 1-0 .... Pettite has been worse L2 with ERA of 11.00, 0-1, and not seeing the fifth inning either time. I don't think Pettite is in good form after being off 2 months w/groin injury.

FWIW Pavano's is 2-2 vs Yanks over last 10 years.

I think this is most favorable match-up for Twins and they even the series today.

BOL :toast:

billsfan · Oct 7, 2010

reservoirdog said:
Pavano has been hit hard the L2 starts but he's 1-0 .... Pettite has been worse L2 with ERA of 11.00, 0-1, and not seeing the fifth inning either time. I don't think Pettite is in good form after being off 2 months w/groin injury.

FWIW Pavano's is 2-2 vs Yanks over last 10 years.

I think this is most favorable match-up for Twins and they even the series today.

BOL :toast:

I share the same thoughts, although I have not played it yet. I am leaning Twinkies though.

billsfan · Oct 7, 2010

This game goes over again today IMO

mastermaybe · Oct 7, 2010

reservoirdog said:
Pavano has been hit hard the L2 starts but he's 1-0 ....
BOL :toast:

Simply not true:

DATE OPP W/L SCORE: 10/01/2010 TOR L 3-6 09/25/2010 DET L 10-11

Both no decisions...and was especially lucky in the Sep 25th start vs DET when he gave up 7 earned runs in 4 innings.

James

mastermaybe · Oct 7, 2010

Fair point about Petitte though, recently. I usually don't ride the "he's a playoff player/pitcher" train, but I give him more credence for some reason.

Cool.

James

tmader7 · Oct 7, 2010

I only have two comments after stating I'm on the Yanks. Nobody comes close to Pettitte's record in the postseason and the Yanks have now beaten the Twinkies 8 straight in the playoffs, trailing in every game. GL to anyone betting against that, you'll need it.

~T~

reservoirdog · Oct 7, 2010

mastermaybe said:
Simply not true:

DATE OPP W/L SCORE: 10/01/2010 TOR L 3-6 09/25/2010 DET L 10-11

Both no decisions...and was especially lucky in the Sep 25th start vs DET when he gave up 7 earned runs in 4 innings.

James

You are correct he was 0-0 those L2 but in comparison Pettite's L2 were:

4 inn / 9H / 3R
3.1 inn / 10H / 7R

My point being is presently I believe Pettite is not in good form and I would rather back Pavano

Did you also check on Pavano being 2-2 L4 vs Yanks and not 0-4??