Yesterday 1 1 0 +0.52 Units
Last 30 Days 16 15 0 +8.00 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 229 262 4 +47.38 Units
Game 4 (4:05 PM EST)
Texas +1.64 over N.Y. YANKEES
A rematch of game-1. CC Sabathia is hoping to rebound from a poor outing while Texas hopes CJ Wilson can match his sterling performance to open the series. Sabathia has thrown 237 innings this year, he threw 230 last season and he threw 253 innings in ’08. That’s a lot of miles and with a dumpster-fire bullpen behind him he probably figures ne needs to be near flawless. Other signs of fatigue: Sabathia’s game one first-pitch-strike percentage was under 50%. His career FPS mark is around 60%, and it was a tad lower this year at 58%. In the disastrous Ranger first, he threw just two first-pitch strikes and seven first-pitch balls. He threw 34 pitches, only 14 of them strikes (41%), and walked three, including a four-pitch walk and a five-pitch walk. In three of Sabathia’s last four starts he’s allowed 15 earned runs in 15.1 innings. Sabathia is 30-years old and he’s about 40 pounds overweight and while he’s certainly capable of throwing a gem, all signs point to that not likely happening. There are more reason to play against the Yanks. Through the first four games, Texas hitters have a combined .926 OPS. Five players (Cruz, Hamilton, Molina, Murphy and Treanor) are over 1.000. The Yanks were at .616 OPS, with Cano at 1.633, SS Derek Jeter at .871, and no other regular over .652. Four different Rangers have homered, but only 2B Robinson Cano, with three, has any swats for the Yankees. C.J. Wilson faced 27 Yankees in game-1 and threw first-pitch strikes to 21 of them – a 62% rate nicely up from his customary 55%-ish level. On the road this year, Wilson has thrown 89.2 frames and allowed 63 hits for a BAA of .201 and a road ERA of 2.91. He was an AL top-ten starter in many categories including wins, ERA and complete games. So, while you can never count the Yanks out, the fact is they look like a beaten team and you would have to be somewhat out of your mind to lay –1.75 with them today. Say goodbye to the New York Yankees and say goodbye to free-agent Derek Jeter in a Yankee uniform too. Play: Texas +1.64 (Risking 2 units).
SAN FRANCISCO +1.00 over Philadelphia
I was debating on this one for a while but have not written it up yet and I do apologize. However, for the record, I'm playing the Giants also.
(Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 16 15 0 +8.00 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2010) 229 262 4 +47.38 Units
Game 4 (4:05 PM EST)
Texas +1.64 over N.Y. YANKEES
A rematch of game-1. CC Sabathia is hoping to rebound from a poor outing while Texas hopes CJ Wilson can match his sterling performance to open the series. Sabathia has thrown 237 innings this year, he threw 230 last season and he threw 253 innings in ’08. That’s a lot of miles and with a dumpster-fire bullpen behind him he probably figures ne needs to be near flawless. Other signs of fatigue: Sabathia’s game one first-pitch-strike percentage was under 50%. His career FPS mark is around 60%, and it was a tad lower this year at 58%. In the disastrous Ranger first, he threw just two first-pitch strikes and seven first-pitch balls. He threw 34 pitches, only 14 of them strikes (41%), and walked three, including a four-pitch walk and a five-pitch walk. In three of Sabathia’s last four starts he’s allowed 15 earned runs in 15.1 innings. Sabathia is 30-years old and he’s about 40 pounds overweight and while he’s certainly capable of throwing a gem, all signs point to that not likely happening. There are more reason to play against the Yanks. Through the first four games, Texas hitters have a combined .926 OPS. Five players (Cruz, Hamilton, Molina, Murphy and Treanor) are over 1.000. The Yanks were at .616 OPS, with Cano at 1.633, SS Derek Jeter at .871, and no other regular over .652. Four different Rangers have homered, but only 2B Robinson Cano, with three, has any swats for the Yankees. C.J. Wilson faced 27 Yankees in game-1 and threw first-pitch strikes to 21 of them – a 62% rate nicely up from his customary 55%-ish level. On the road this year, Wilson has thrown 89.2 frames and allowed 63 hits for a BAA of .201 and a road ERA of 2.91. He was an AL top-ten starter in many categories including wins, ERA and complete games. So, while you can never count the Yanks out, the fact is they look like a beaten team and you would have to be somewhat out of your mind to lay –1.75 with them today. Say goodbye to the New York Yankees and say goodbye to free-agent Derek Jeter in a Yankee uniform too. Play: Texas +1.64 (Risking 2 units).
SAN FRANCISCO +1.00 over Philadelphia
I was debating on this one for a while but have not written it up yet and I do apologize. However, for the record, I'm playing the Giants also.
(Risking 2 units).
hno:
