2010 World Series News Notes + Best Bets !

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MLB Odds: Giants, Rangers in upset special

The World Series matchup is set and it’s an upset special with the Texas Rangers taking on the San Francisco Giants.

Texas is a small favorite at minus 120 to win its first World Series with the Giants priced at even money offshore in the opening MLB futures.

Game 1 will take place Wednesday night in San Fran. The NL clinched home field advantage due to winning the All-Star Game. The AL and NL have alternated World Series winners the last five years, with the AL Yankees last year’s champs.

The Rangers are making their first World Series appearance in franchise history. They began in 1961 as the Washington Senators before moving to the Lone Star State in 1972.

Texas won the AL West with a 90-72 record, clinching its first playoff berth since 1999. The Rangers took care of favored Tampa Bay in the ALDS in five games, with the road team winning every contest.

They were an underdog again in the ALCS, facing the 27-time champ New York Yankees (176 favorite). The Bronx Bombers won the opener 6-5 after trailing 5-1 in the eighth. That kind of loss could have devastated the Rangers, but coach Ron Washington kept them calm, winning three straight from there and ultimately taking the series 4-2.

The NL West champ Giants (92-70) are another surprise Fall Classic entry. They’re making their first World Series appearance since 2002 and haven’t won the whole thing since moving from New York in 1958 (three World Series losses).

San Francisco started its run with a 3-1 NLDS win over Atlanta. Every game was decided by one run and just 20 total runs were scored.

The Giants were big ‘dogs in the NLCS against two-time defending NL champ Philadelphia (245 favorite). The Giants pulled off the shocker in six games after holding the powerful Phillies’ offense to 3.33 runs per game.

Texas was fourth in the AL in runs scored this year (4.86 per game). That number was 4.2 in the ALDS, but jumped to 6.3 against the Yankees with key contributions throughout the lineup. Catcher Benjie Molina’s three-run homer in Game 4 was the big hit versus New York and he’s the eighth hitter.

San Francisco was ninth in the NL in runs scored (4.30 per game). That number was just 2.75 in the NLDS and 3.17 in the NLCS, but there was a lot of timely hitting, especially against Philly.

Pitching used to be Texas’ weak spot, but team ERA was fourth in the AL in the regular season (3.93). That broke down to 4.23 for starters and 3.38 for relievers. Starters are 6-2 with a 2.37 ERA in the playoffs, with World Series Game 1 starter Cliff Lee (3-0, .75 ERA) leading the way. Colby Lewis (2-0, 1.45 ERA) has also been tremendous.

The Rangers bullpen settled down after Game 1 against New York and they have a great young, but inexperienced closer in 22-year-old Neftali Feliz.

Pitching is the bread-and butter for San Fran. It led the majors with a 3.36 ERA, with both the starters (3.54) and relievers (2.99) excellent. Starters are 4-2 with a 2.15 ERA in the postseason with Matt Cain (1-0, 0.00 ERA in 13 2/3 innings) and Tim Lincecum (2-1, 1.93 ERA) both standouts. Lincecum will oppose Lee in a Game 1 classic.

The Giants’ bullpen has had some shaky moments this postseason, but really stepped up in Game 6 against Philly (seven scoreless innings). Dominant closer Brian Wilson has five postseason saves.

The coaching edge appears to favor the more experienced Bruce Bochy, but Washington’s story can’t be dismissed. He was almost fired in spring training after news leaked that he tested positive for cocaine in 2009. Team president Nolan Ryan surprising stood behind him and it’s paid off big-time.
 

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World Series begins Wednesday
By: Tim Walsh -

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2010 WORLD SERIES PREVIEW

TEXAS RANGERS
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

World Series Pitching Probables:
Game 1: Wednesday, 10/27, 7:55 p.m. EDT at San Francisco
Cliff Lee (TEX) vs. Tim Lincecum (SF)

Game 2: Thursday, 10/28, 7:55 p.m. EDT at San Francisco
TBD vs. Matt Cain (SF)

Game 3: Saturday, 10/30, 6:55 p.m. EDT at Texas
Jonathan Sanchez (SF) vs. TBD

Game 4: Sunday, 10/31, 8:20 p.m. EDT at Texas
Madison Bumgarner (SF) vs. TBD

Game 5 (if necessary) Monday, 11/1, 7:55 p.m. EDT at Texas
Starters TBD

Game 6 (if necessary) Wednesday, 11/3, 7:55 p.m. EDT at San Francisco
Starters TBD

Game 7 (if necessary) Thursday, 11/4, 7:55 p.m. EDT at San Francisco
Starters TBD

The World Series gets underway Wednesday night in San Francisco with two unlikely franchises playing for baseball’s most coveted prize. The Giants haven’t won a World Series since 1954 and Texas is making its first-ever appearance in the Fall Classic. The only pitching matchup set in stone is Game 1 that is scheduled to feature aces Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA) and Tim Lincecum (16-10, 3.43 ERA). Lee has been remarkable in his career in the playoffs, going 7-0 with a 1.26 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 67 K and just seven walks in eight starts. That includes his incredible numbers this postseason against teams with the most (Yankees) and third-highest (Rays) run totals in baseball this year. Lee is 3-0 with a 0.75 ERA in three starts in the 2010 playoffs. The southpaw has given up just two runs on 13 hits in 24 innings while striking out 34 and walking only one. Lincecum has been tremendous as well, compiling a 2-1 record and a 1.96 ERA in three playoff starts.

Wednesday will mark the first meeting between the two teams this year. They met last year as a part of interleague play with the Giants sweeping Texas in a three-game set in San Francisco. Two of the three games went under the total. Matt Cain threw a gem in the middle game of the series, going eight innings and giving up one run on three hits in a 2-1 Giants win. Texas is likely to see Cain in Game 2.

After Lee, San Francisco should see the combination of C.J. Wilson and Colby Lewis. Wilson is 1-1 with a 3.93 ERA so far this postseason while Lewis is 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA. Lewis picked up both wins against the vaunted Yankee offense and limited New York to three runs over 13.2 innings. Meanwhile, the Giants’ rotation behind Lincecum has fared well this postseason with Cain leading the way at 1-0 having yet to give up an earned run. Jonathan Sanchez totes a 2.93 postseason ERA while Madison Bumgarner comes in at 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA in three appearances.

The FoxSheets provide some trends to help with World Series wagering:

SAN FRANCISCO is 42-19 (+23.8 Units) against the money line with an on-base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.4, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 3*).

SAN FRANCISCO is 58-35 (+21.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.2, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*).

SAN FRANCISCO is 44-28 (+16.6 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.2, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 2*).

TEXAS is 25-6 (+16.7 Units) against the money line on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors this season. The average score was TEXAS 5.9, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*).

TEXAS is 57-43 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*).

TEXAS is 53-39 (+15.3 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 5.0, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*).
 

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GAME ONE SELECTION:

Wednesday, October 27Game Score Status Pick Amount

Texas - 7:55 PM ET San Francisco +117 500
San Francisco - Over 5.5 500

Good Luck !
 

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Giants home underdogs in World Series Game 1

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TEXAS RANGERS
at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

2010 World Series Game 1, Wednesday, 7:55 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -125, San Francisco +115 Total: 5.5

The World Series starts off with a tremendous pitching matchup slated for Game 1. Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA) gets the ball for Texas while Tim Lincecum (16-10, 3.43 ERA) will start for San Francisco. This is the first ever trip to the World Series for Texas while it’s been since 1954 since the Giants last won a championship.

Lee has been remarkable in the playoffs this year and throughout his career. So far this October, Lee is 3-0 with a 0.75 ERA in three starts. In 24 innings, he’s struck out 34 batters while only walking one. His career playoff record now stands at 7-0 with a 1.26 ERA in eight starts. Lee also has great numbers in his career against San Francisco. In three starts against the Giants, Lee is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA and a WHIP of 0.71. The under has cashed in all three of those starts.

Not to be overshadowed is the performance of Lincecum this postseason. The two-time reigning NL Cy Young Award winner has posted a 2-1 record, a 1.96 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in three playoff starts this year. He has 29 K and just five walks in these 23 innings. His lone loss came in his most recent outing in Game 5 of the NLCS in Philadelphia where he gave up three runs (two earned) on four hits over seven innings. The loss broke up a string of four consecutive wins for Lincecum. Wednesday will mark his first ever start against Texas. Including the playoffs, Lincecum is 10-8 with a 3.36 ERA at home this year.

The FoxSheets have a number of trends backing San Francisco, including:

Play On - Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings. (133-68 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.2%, +70.8 units. Rating = 4*).

Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings. (63-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.6%, +44.2 units. Rating = 4*).
 

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MLB
Dunkel


Texas at San Francisco
The Giants look to open the series and build on their 9-2 record in Tim Lincecum's last 11 starts as an underdog from +110 to +150. San Francisco is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 27

Game 951-952: Texas at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.363; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.821
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Over




MLB
Long Sheet


Wednesday, October 27

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TEXAS (97 - 76) at SAN FRANCISCO (99 - 73) - 7:55 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM ®
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 6-13 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-74 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-23 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 104-63 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 98-72 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-48 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-47 (+5.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TEXAS is 184-151 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 32-18 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 176-137 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-48 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 124-98 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 57-43 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LEE is 71-49 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LEE is 13-3 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
LEE is 8-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLIFF LEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LEE is 3-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.708.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, 10/27/2010

** World Series - Best of 7 - Game 1 - Series Tied 0-0
TEXAS at SAN FRANCISCO, 7:55 PM ET FOX
LEE: 8-0 TSR in playoff games
LINCECUM: San Fran 7-1 in Game 1's

** (TC) Denotes Time Change




MLB


Wednesday, October 27

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
TEXAS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Texas
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
MLB


Wednesday, October 27

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Payoff Pitch: Today's Best Mound Matchup
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Cliff Lee, Texas Rangers vs. Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants

Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA)

There isn’t much to say that hasn’t already been said about Cliff Lee and his incredible numbers.

He heads into Game 1 with a 7-0 record with a 1.26 career postseason ERA and went 3-0 in the AL side of this year’s playoffs while striking out 34 batters and walking just one. He has also been just as dominant against the Giants, going 3-0 lifetime with a 1.13 ERA.

You’re really grasping at straws to find anything concerning about the lefty at this point, but he hasn’t pitched since Oct. 18th, which is a healthy layoff.

"With Cliff Lee, I have no concerns about anything," Rangers manager Ron Washington told reporters. "Not pitching in nine or 10 days, he won't make any excuses if it doesn't go right. In his mind, it will always go right. That's why he is who he is."

However, there are a few Giants who hit Lee in the past. Jose Guillen is hitting .360 against him with two homers in 25 at bats and Juan Uribe has 11 hits and a pair of dingers in 37 previous matchups.

Tim Lincecum (16-10, 3.43 ERA)

Lincecum doesn’t have the playoff experience that Cliff Lee has, but then again, experience has never been something he has needed to be successful.

At 26 years old, he already has two Cy Young awards in his back pocket and made a big splash in his first playoff start by firing a complete-game 1-0 win over the Atlanta Braves while striking out 14 batters. Heading into Game 1 of the World Series, he’s 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA in four postseason appearances, the last of which being a stint out of the bullpen to help the Giants get past the Phillies in Game 6.

Lincecum has never faced San Francisco before, but knowing his ace, Giants manger Bruce Bochy wasn’t concerned about that. He gave some consideration to starting Matt Cain in Game 1, but decided to try to get off on the right foot with the leader of the staff.

"He doesn't think about who he's going against as much as doing his job, and that's going out there and giving the team a chance to win," Bochy told reporters of Lincecum. "He's going against a tough lineup, that's his only thought. He can't think about who he's going against. He's got enough responsibility going out there and trying to pitch well and win the ballgame for us."



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Tips and Trends
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Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants [FOX | 7:55 PM ET]

RANGERS: (-124, O/U 5.5) Texas is playing in their first World Series in franchise history. This Rangers team, from the organization down to the players, have felt all season long that they are a team of destiny. There isn't a single expert that can doubt them at this point. Texas earned their World Series berth with a dominating series win over the New York Yankees. Texas is 97-76 SU this season, including 44-43 SU on the road this season. The Rangers are +2.38 and -16.42 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. The biggest reason for the Rangers being confident tonight is because of ace Cliff Lee. Lee has never lost in the postseason, as he is 7-0 with a 1.26 lifetime. Lee is 15-9 SU overall this season, with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 0.96 this year. Playing in San Francisco will leave the Rangers without a DH, meaning Lee will have to bat. The Rangers are 7-1 in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning record. The Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff road games. Texas is 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games overall. The Rangers are 4-13 in their last 17 games against the National League West. Texas is 4-0 in Lee's last 4 starts overall. Texas is 4-1 in Lee's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Rangers are 4-1 in Lee's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record.

Rangers are 8-0 last 8 interleague road games against a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-1 last 8 interleague road games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 2

GIANTS: San Francisco has had an incredible season, and it's being capped off with their 4th ever World Series berth. The Giants have never won a World Series in San Francisco, going 0-3 overall. With this amazing pitching staff, anything is possible. The National League Champions limited a powerful Philadelphia lineup to a .216 batting average during the NLCS. San Francisco is 99-73 SU overall this year, including 52-34 SU at home. The Giants are +19.42 and -3.38 units both SU and on the RL overall this season. Ace Tim Lincecum will make the start in Game 1 of the World Series, as he is 18-11 SU with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog. San Francisco is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games against a left-handed starter. The Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff games overall. The Giants are 41-19 in their last 60 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. San Francisco is 4-1 in Lincecum's last 5 starts as an underdog. The Giants are 4-1 in Lincecum's last 5 starts against the American League West. San Francisco is 36-15 in Lincecum's last 51 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Giants are 11-5 in Lincecum's last 16 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

Giants are 7-0 last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 7-3 last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Key Injuries - CF Andres Torres (hip) is questionable.

Projected Score: 3 (SIDE of the Day)



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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants (+110, 5.5)

At the beginning of the playoffs, one of the Texas Rangers’ main concerns was the health of their slugger Josh Hamilton. And early on, you had to wonder if his ribs were going to hold up as he went 2-for-18 in the ALDS.

But he answered those questions in a big way by picking up the ALCS MVP after finishing with four home runs, seven RBIs, and eight walks to lead Texas to a six-game victory over the New York Yankees.

"I'm pretty sure the breaks have healed up," Hamilton told reporters Monday. "The muscle is there at times, but it's not affecting anything on the field. Every once in a while I feel the muscle, but I just keep it loose and massaged good and it's fine."

That’s why the Yankees were so careful with him at the plate, pretty much giving him a free pass to first every time it made any sort of sense. However, eventually it was that strategy that finally did them in when Vladimir Guerrero cracked a game-winning, two-run double in Game 6. Now that Hamilton and Guerrero have seen how the Yanks handled the middle of the order, they’ll be even more prepared with what comes at them from San Francisco’s staff.

"They'll probably test me at first, see if I'm swinging out of the zone," Hamilton said. "They'll try to play to my adrenaline, but I think I'll be calm enough to be patient. I won't know though until I play the game."

Pick: Texas


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This Day in Baseball
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On October 27 in Baseball History...

1960 - Trying to jump ahead of the NL, the AL admits Los Angeles and Washington to the league with plans to have the new clubs begin competition in 1961. Calvin Griffith is given permission to move the existing Washington Senators franchise to Minnesota. League president Joe Cronin says the AL will play a 162-game schedule, with 18 games against each opponent.

1980 - In a shocking announcement, Astros owner John McMullen fires president and GM Tal Smith, replacing him with Al Rosen, former GM of the Yankees. Smith will soon be named Major League Executive of the Year. The move prompts a rebellion among the Astros 20 limited owners (who together own over 60 percent of the club), and on Nov. 24 McMullen will give up his sole authority to run the club, accepting a position on the club's newly formed executive committee instead.

1985 - The Kansas City Royals, behind Bret Saberhagen's five-hitter, beat the St. Louis Cardinals 11-0 in Game 7 of the World Series.

1986 - The New York Mets won the World Series with an 8-5 victory over the Boston Red Sox in Game 7.

1989 - The World Series resumed after a 10-day delay because of the San Francisco earthquake. Oakland, behind two homers by Dave Henderson, beat the Giants 13-7 in Game 3.

1991 - In a Game Seven that rivals any in World Series history, the Braves and Twins go scoreless through nine innings. Lonnie Smith is decoyed into pausing at second base to keep him from scoring the winner for Atlanta in the eighth. Gene Larkin's single over a drawn-in outfield in the 10th is the difference in the first extra-inning Game Seven in 67 years. Jack Morris, who pitches the 1-0 shutout, is named Series MVP.

1996 - After two humbling losses at home, the New York Yankees won their first World Series title since 1978 with a 3-2 victory over the defending champion Atlanta Braves in Game 6.

1998 - President Clinton signed a bill overturning part of baseball's 70-year-old antitrust exemption, putting baseball on a par with other professional sports on labor matters. The new law overrides part of a 1922 Supreme Court ruling that exempted baseball from antitrust laws on grounds that it was not interstate commerce. That exemption deprived baseball players of protections enjoyed by other professional athletes and that players' association blamed for contributing to baseball's eight work stoppages since 1972, including the disastrous 232-day strike in 1994-95.
 

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Rangers vs. Giants

The unlikely World Series matchup between the Rangers and Giants begins on Wednesday in San Francisco as both Western Division champions look to finish off this season hoisting the trophy. The Rangers play in their first-ever Fall Classic, while the Giants go for their first championship since 1954 when the franchise was in New York.

Texas will be a sentimental favorite among baseball fans after knocking out the big bad Yankees in the ALCS, 4-2. The Rangers were great away from Arlington, winning five of six away playoff games, including all three at Tropicana Field in the ALDS against the Rays. Ron Washington's squad wasn't scared in the ALCS against the defending champions, claiming two of three games in the Bronx, while outscoring the Yanks 18-3 in two road victories.

San Francisco wasn't given much of a chance by everyone outside of the Bay Area in the NLCS against Philadelphia. The Phillies were set to make their third straight World Series appearance, but Bruce Bochy's feisty club won two games at Citizens Bank Park, including the Game 6 clincher last Saturday night, 3-2. The Giants have played much better on the road than at home in the postseason, winning four of five away games. San Francisco still owned a respectable 3-2 mark at AT&T Park, but scored three runs or less three times at home.

Each club will send out a former Cy Young winner in the series opener on Wednesday night as Cliff Lee will oppose Tim Lincecum. Lee has been nothing short of tremendous in this postseason with a 3-0 record and ERA of 0.75 in three starts. Past a shaky first inning against the Rays in the ALDS opener, Lee owns an amazing 34/1 strikeout to walk ratio in the postseason. The Rangers' southpaw struck out at least 10 batters in all three playoff starts, and has done so in five of his last six postseason appearances dating back to 2009 with the Phillies.

Lee is no stranger to pitching in the Fall Classic as he won both starts against the Yankees last season as a member of the Phillies. His best outing came on the road in the series opener as nearly a $1.70 underdog, scattering six hits and striking out 10 in a complete game.

Lincecum began the postseason with a complete-game gem against the Braves, striking out 14 and allowing two hits in a 1-0 shutout. The diminutive right-hander split a pair of starts against the Phillies, tossing seven innings each time, but was dealt a loss in Game 5 of the NLCS, 4-2. The Giants are just 10-9 in Lincecum's 19 home starts this season, while five of his last six outings at AT&T Park have finished 'under' the total.

Thursday's Game 2 features C.J. Wilson and Matt Cain on the mound with both starters making their World Series debuts. Wilson had his worst outing of the postseason his last time out, allowing six hits and six runs (five earned) in five innings of a 7-2 loss in Game 5 of the ALCS at New York. Prior to that start, the Texas left-hander put together a pair of quality starts, including a two-hit performance in 6.2 innings of a 6-0 shutout at Tampa Bay. The Rangers have profited in the 'under' department in Wilson's road starts, hitting in 11 of 16 away outings.

Cain outdueled Cole Hamels in his lone NLCS start, beating the Phillies, 3-0 in Game 3. The San Francisco right-hander gave up two hits in seven innings, while escaping several jams to pick up his ninth home victory of the season. Cain has not allowed an earned run in three of his previous four home outings, while beating the Rangers in his lone career start against Texas last June.

Exact Games Props from Sportsbook.com
Giants 4 Games - Win +1500
Giants 5 Games - Win +600
Giants 6 Games - Win +450
Giants 7 Games - Win +400
Rangers 4 Games - Win +800
Rangers 5 Games - Win +400
Rangers 6 Games - Win +350
Rangers 7 Games - Win +500


VI's Chris David believes that digging deeper there are better opportunities to cash, "Rather than look at the series price, gamblers could have more value looking at the Exact Game Props. Pro baseball enthusiasts that have followed the “Fall Classic” haven’t been exactly treated to classics. Over the last seven years, none of the World Series has seen a decisive Game 7 and five of them were over in five games ore less, which includes three sweeps. Ironically, the last World Series to go seven games was in 2004 when the Anaheim Angels beat the San Francisco Giants 4-3."

David says there is good value in taking this series to go back to San Francisco, "Does this year’s matchup go the distance? As per the above table, the odds are a lot higher than taking the Rangers or Giants on the series price. Even taking Texas or San Francisco to win in six has value. The biggest longshot is the sweep by either club, but as mentioned above, they’re very doable."

"If you’re looking to strike it big with another WS prop, then look at the World Series Most Valuable Player wager. Position players usually get more notice but this postseason has been all about pitching and the value on players like Lee (+500) and Lincecum (+800) seem juicy. Also, closer Brian Wilson (+1000) of the Giants could be worth a look as well," David notes from the individual awards perspective.

The Rangers are listed as a $1.25 road favorite in the series opener on Wednesday, while the total is set at 5 ½. The game will be televised nationally on FOX at 8:00 PM EDT. Lee-Lincecum: Marquee matchup in Game 1
October 27, 2010


SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - Cliff Lee marvels at Tim Lincecum's motion. So much torque, so much power. So darn unusual.

``The way he does it, no one else does it that way. I like that,'' Lee said Tuesday, a day before the Texas Rangers ace pitches against the San Francisco Giants star in Game 1 of the World Series.

``I like when unorthodox works and it works to that kind of an extent, back-to-back Cy Young winner. He throws in a way that you probably wouldn't want to show your kid how to throw,'' Lee said. ``He definitely is doing something right. He's different.''

There's something unique about Lee, too: He never loses in the biggest games. The lefty is 7-0 with a 1.26 ERA in eight lifetime postseason starts.

``Cliff Lee, superhero,'' summed up Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval.

Watch Lee from the center-field camera and it's difficult to tell exactly what makes him so special.

David Price brings more heat. Andy Pettitte brought more October experience. But Lee beat them both in the playoffs.

Maybe it's the way he throws any of his pitches for strikes on any count. At any speed, too. A real-life version of a video game - try to duplicate that in ``Major League Baseball 2K10.''

``Confidence, relying on my routine,'' Lee said. ``Going out there and expecting to be successful.''

It makes for an intriguing matchup of opposite artisans. The lanky Lincecum throws pitches with dizzying movement, while Lee is able to adjust his pinpoint control for an umpire's strike zone.

``He works in and out on both sides of the plate, which allows him a lot of freeze strike threes, guys looking. He paints his slider-cutter kind of thing,'' Lincecum said.

Rangers pitching coach Mike Maddux said Lee reminds him of someone he knows well - namely his brother, four-time Cy Young winner Greg Maddux. A left-handed version, naturally.

``If you can command your fastball and change speeds, you're going to have good results,'' Maddux said.

Lee went 3-0 this year in the AL playoffs, striking out 34 and walking just one. That severe ratio has prompted many to suggest the best strategy is to hit the first strike he throws.

``You fall behind 0-1 or 1-2, it becomes a battle up there for any hitter,'' Texas catcher Matt Treanor said.

A win over the Giants will tie Lee for the best start in postseason history - Orlando ``El Duque'' Hernandez, with all his quirky gyrations and deliveries, won his first eight decisions.

To Lee, it's all rather routine. In fact, there was a neat picture of him during the playoffs, yawning in the dugout at Yankee Stadium.

Sure doesn't look like someone pitching in huge games.

``I don't really look at it like that,'' Lee said a few days ago. ``Some people might, I don't feel any more pressure.''

Lee has been equally perfect against the Giants - three starts, three wins and a 1.13 ERA. He last faced them in 2009 in his first start after being traded from Cleveland to Philadelphia, and breezed at AT&T Park.

Call it superstition or just being comfortable, Lee doesn't like to change his hat, glove or cleats during the season. Sometimes he has to - he's been traded four times in his career, most recently from Seattle to Texas before the All-Star break.

Lee found himself with mixed emotions watching Philadelphia, where he won twice in the World Series last year, play San Francisco in the NLCS.

Sure, he was friendly with many of his former Phillies teammates. But there was the other side of the baseball business.

``I didn't mind seeing them get beat because they got rid of me,'' he said.

Several of the Giants have faced Lee many times.

Juan Uribe is 11 for 37 (.297) with two homers against him. Jose Guillen is 9 for 25 (.360) with two homers. Aaron Rowand is 7 for 25 (.280) with four doubles and a home run. Aubrey Huff is 5 for 19 (.263).

Then there's Cody Ross.

Many years ago, before he blossomed into the MVP of the NL championship series, Ross was a struggling rookie with the Detroit Tigers. Just so happens he hit his first major league home run off Lee. A grand slam, at that.

Ross had played a handful of games in the majors and had only two career hits when he faced Lee on Sept. 2, 2003. Ross struck out looking his first time up, but got more than even in his next at-bat, launching the first grand slam ever allowed by the young Cleveland pitcher.

The game was memorable for Ross because of something else. In the late innings, he tripped over first base beating out a bunt, tore his knee, was carted off the field and done for the season.

Both Ross and Lee have come quite a way since then. They haven't faced each other since the slam, either. Ross promises his team will be ready for baseball's No. 1 postseason ace, having already solved the supposedly unbeatable Roy Halladay in the NLCS opener.

``It was the Halladay show a week ago after he threw the no-hitter against the Reds,'' Ross said. ``We're not surprising anybody, believe me. Everybody knows how good our pitching staff is. But I think we prefer for everyone to talk about everybody else.''

Lee figures to be focused squarely on the Giants, and Ross.

``He's just had a good couple of weeks. He's put together some good at_bats and hit some tough pitches. I mean, two home runs off Roy Halladay, hit a ball off of Cole Hamels that wasn't even a strike,'' Lee said.

``Hopefully he has a little bit of time to cool off before this one starts,'' he said. Ross, Giants ready for Lee in WS opener

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - Buster Posey, Pablo Sandoval and the rest of the San Francisco Giants can study the scouting reports and videotape all they want, trying to find the secret to getting a hit against Cliff Lee.

Or, they can just ask Cody Ross.

Because many years ago, before he blossomed into the MVP of the NL championship series, Ross was a struggling rookie with the Detroit Tigers. Who happened to hit his first major league home run off Lee. A grand slam, at that.

Of course, Lee was early in his career, too. He hardly had become Mr. Perfect in the postseason, the left-hander who will pose a giant challenge for San Francisco when it faces the Texas Rangers in Game 1 of the World Series on Wednesday night.

``Cliff Lee, superhero,'' summed up Sandoval.

Watch Lee from the center-field camera and it's difficult to tell exactly what makes him so dominant.

David Price brings more heat. Andy Pettitte brought more October experience. But Lee beat them in the playoffs.

Maybe it's the way he throws any of his pitches for strikes on any count. At any speed, too. A real-life version of a video game - try to duplicate that in ``Major League Baseball 2K10.''

``Confidence, relying on my routine,'' Lee said Tuesday before the Rangers worked out. ``Going out there and expecting to be successful.''

Lee is 7-0 with a 1.26 ERA in eight lifetime postseason starts heading into his matchup with two-time NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum in the opener. Lee went 3-0 this year in the AL playoffs, striking out 34 and walking just one.

Lincecum and Lee pose an intriguing matchup of opposite artisans. The Giants' lanky ace's pitches have dizzying movement, while Lee is able to adjust his pinpoint control for an umpire's strike zone.

Rangers pitching coach Mike Maddux said Lee reminds him of someone he knows well - namely his brother, four-time Cy Young winner Greg Maddux. A left-handed version, naturally.

``If you can command your fastball and change speeds, you're going to have good results,'' Maddux said.

Lee's severe strikeout-to-walk ratio has prompted many to suggest the best strategy is to hit the first strike he throws, rather than risk falling behind in the count.

``People love to talk about Cliff throwing strikes but it's not like he's just gunning balls down the middle of the plate,'' Texas third baseman Michael Young said. ``There's a big difference between throwing strikes and throwing quality strike after quality strike.''

A win over the Giants will tie Lee for the best start in postseason history - Orlando ``El Duque'' Hernandez, with all his quirky gyrations and deliveries, won his first eight decisions.

To Lee, it's all rather routine. In fact, there was a neat picture of him during the playoffs, yawning in the dugout at Yankee Stadium.

Sure doesn't look like someone pitching in huge games.

``I don't really look at it like that,'' Lee said a few days ago. ``Some people might, I don't feel any more pressure.''

Lee has been equally perfect against the Giants - three starts, three wins and a 1.13 ERA. He last faced them in 2009 in his first start after being traded from Cleveland to Philadelphia, and breezed at AT&T Park.

``Weather and clubhouse and the bullpens'' are different, he said. ``Once you get on the mound, it's 60 feet, 6 inches and you've still got a professional hitter in there trying to do damage off of you. To me, that doesn't really matter that much.''

Call it superstition or just being comfortable, Lee doesn't like to change his hat, glove or cleats during the season. Sometimes he has to - he's been traded four times in his career, most recently from Seattle to Texas before the All-Star break.

Lee found himself with mixed emotions watching Philadelphia, where he won twice in the World Series last year, play San Francisco in the NLCS.

Sure, he was friendly with many of his former Phillies teammates. But there was the other side of the baseball business.

``I didn't mind seeing them get beat because they got rid of me,'' he said.

Now, the Texas pitchers are the ones who benefit from Lee's presence.

``I've become more like Cliff in my preparation since he's been here,'' starter C.J. Wilson said. ``I watch what he does through an order, and if they don't adapt he doesn't have to. Whereas I used to get into trouble before, where I would adapt maybe before the hitters showed me an adjustment, and I would basically turn into their strengths. But Cliff trusts his strengths to the degree that he doesn't think he has to do anything different from game to game.''

Several of the Giants have faced Lee many times.

Juan Uribe is 11 for 37 (.297) with two homers against him. Jose Guillen is 9 for 25 (.360) with two homers. Aaron Rowand is 7 for 25 (.280) with four doubles and a home run. Aubrey Huff is 5 for 19 (.263).

Rowand is willing to give any advice he can.

``You can watch video. You can talk to them about what his out pitches are, what he likes to do when he's ahead, and with runners on,'' he said.

Then there's Ross.

Ross had played a handful of games in the majors and had only two career hits when he faced Lee on Sept. 2, 2003. Ross struck out looking his first time up, but got more than even in his next at-bat, launching the first grand slam ever allowed by the young Cleveland lefty.

The game was memorable for Ross because of something else. In the late innings, he tripped over first base beating out a bunt, tore his knee, was carted off the field and done for the season.

Both Ross and Lee have come quite a way since then. They haven't faced each other since the slam, either. Ross promises his team will be ready for baseball's No. 1 postseason ace, having already solved the supposedly unbeatable Roy Halladay in the NLCS opener.

``It was the Halladay show a week ago after he threw the no-hitter against the Reds,'' Ross said. ``We're not surprising anybody, believe me. Everybody knows how good our pitching staff is. But I think we prefer for everyone to talk about everybody else.''
 

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