Lincecum should never be +169... but OVER is the play

kayvebear · Nov 1, 2010

Lincecum should never be +169 no matter who he is facing... but my gut says TEX could easily win tonight.

Over 6 is the play. One, if not both of these guys, is going to get shelled.

savage1 · Nov 1, 2010

kayvebear said:
Lincecum should never be +169 no matter who he is facing... but my gut says TEX could easily win tonight.

Over 6 is the play. One, if not both of these guys, is going to get shelled.

I agree with the over but why should Texas win easily tonight?
Sf is feeling supremely confident up 3-1 in the series and have already beaten Lee.
Sports history is strewn with situations like this with the visiting team wrapping things up on the road.
I am not saying it is going to happen but imo anyone who lays that kind of price with Texas tonight should reconsider and/or do play it small if at all.

take2amphittoright · Nov 1, 2010

Guts..

Go all in on Lee.

kayvebear · Nov 1, 2010

savage1 said:
I agree with the over but why should Texas win easily tonight?
Sf is feeling supremely confident up 3-1 in the series and have already beaten Lee.
Sports history is strewn with situations like this with the visiting team wrapping things up on the road.
I am not saying it is going to happen but imo anyone who lays that kind of price with Texas tonight should reconsider and/or do play it small if at all.

I totally agree... I just can't bet SF huge for some reason. I already have 10 units on the SF Series at +125 so I am happy as long as they seal eventually. Normally at this price on Lincecum I would be laying a monster bet.

Instead I am holding my guns on the series... and took this tonight:

Lincecum +168 $25 to win xx
SF -1.5 +280 .. $25 to win 70

bidding the over 6 heavy now on matchbook. Over for me is the real play tonight