Game 5 w/analysis

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All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.


Game 5 (SF leads, 3-1)
San Francisco +1.59 over TEXAS
Wow, the total for this one is 6, which is incredibly low for a game with AL rules at this ballpark. If you bet this under you would have to hope for five runs or less and that’s almost an impossible wager to make. It’s almost like an NFL game with a total of 21. Anyway, what the total suggests is that the game is going to be a low scoring one and it could very well come down to the late stages and that involves the bullpens and managerial decisions. Ron Washington is a likeable guy and you kinda feel sorry for him watching him chew his sunflower seeds and tongue during the game. However, he’s being badly out-managed to the first degree. He’s not being aggressive, he’s afraid to steal bases because base-runners have been so few and far between and he’s reluctant to bring in anyone from his pen. Speaking of the pen, Rangers reliever Alexi Ogando left Game Four with an apparent oblique injury. If he can't go, the Rangers could bring back Clay Rapada, who didn't make the roster cut. With five innings of two-run baseball last night, the Rangers' bullpen lowered their World Series ERA to 10.03 in 11.2 innings so you can’t really fault Washington for looking like he lost his dog. Giants' closer Brian Wilson now has a 0.84 playoff ERA. As for the starters, well you don’t this analysis to tell you about them. The total hugely suggests that this will be the pitching duel Game One was supposed to be. With that in mind, give us Bruce Bochy over Ron Washington, the Giants pen over the Rangers pen and throw in this huge tag and there’s only one way to go. Yeah, Cliff Lee is great but +1.59 on the club that’s playing 100 times better with Tim Lincecum going is ludicrous. Play: San Francisco +1.59 (Risking 2 units).

 

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