CFL Division Semi-Finals

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Took rest of season off due to losing streak, but can't help but post in playoffs, as I like both games on the board. Hitting both futures puts a bit more green in the account, helping fund these plays.

Toronto Argonauts +7 (-110) -- 2.5 units: Statistically speaking, everything is in favour of the Tiger Cats. They owned the season series, winning 3-0, with a +/- of +46. They only surrendered 28 points in 3 games, and seem to have the Argos shut down. They have held Cory Boyd in check the last two games, and with a game at home they look poised to get the pleasure of being blown out by the Alouettes next week. However, if you have watched Argos games this year, you know that Jim Barker and ex-linebacker Mike O'Shea are not afraid to use trickery to win big games. I fully believe that Toronto will use every trick in the book, be it fake punt, fake field goal, flee flicker, double reverse, etc to win this game. They know they can't win this game by simply letting Boyd get stuffed and Lemon throw incompletion after incompletion. They will pull out trick plays, and more often than not, these plays work. They will try to pound the ball up the middle, and control the clock. I believe these factors add up to a cover, and perhaps even an outright victory.


British Columbia Lions +5 (-120) -- 3.5 units: Was there any doubt I was going to be on the Lions? I do have some logical reasoning to back this up, but seriously, my bias is getting in the way and I know it. First, the Lions went 7-3 down the stretch, including a game where they/Printers blew a 21 point lead in the 4th quarter, failing to score a point, then blowing it in overtime, plus a loss at home to Hamilton that was just as humiliating. This is a team that has gone into Calgary twice and won, and have handled a Sasky team recently, although the Riders had little to play for. This is a team that is playing its best with the back against the wall. The best thing for this team is that Lulay is starting to move the ball through the air, which could be key against a weak Sasky secondary. BC has handled injuries to the defense well, with Hyland looking very capable as a starter. Having Hunt back strengthens the front four, and recent additions to the OLine have Lulay actually getting the time to hit some deep targets. It's no coincidence that the restructed OLine has helped increase the production of deep threat Arceneaux. I still maintain that Darian Durant is not a clutch QB, and BC's secondary has a history of feasting on him, including Ryan Phillips who owns the Riders over his career. Yes, there are many reasons to like the Riders, including the huge advantage they will have at home. But the Lions will be ready, their defense is more balanced, and doing a better job against the run lately. Lulay watched as Jarious Jackson got killed in Sasky earlier this year, but he is a different QB than before. He won't turn it over, he knows when to throw it away, and he will keep this game close.

GL


CFL Regular Season: 10-17, -13.27 units (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=795225)
CFL Futures: 2-0, +7.00 units (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=781652)
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CFL YTD: 12-17, -6.27 units
 

RX Senior
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I'm on the opposite of the Ticats...I think they blow that one out. With you on the Lions though. My initial gut feeling was that the Riders would blow them out of the water, but the Lions just squeeked in and the Riders are at home and the pressure is on them to win. No one expected anything out of BC, and reading the quotes from the Vancouver Sun, the BC Lions players are staying loose and going in there with nothing to lose. I like the Lions to win SU.
 

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I hope the weather holds up. If this game is won/lost on the ground, the Leos are in trouble. I do believe they can move the ball, even if it is rainy.

As for the Argos... I agree that the Tabbies have owned them all year. However, I look at the Montreal game, where the Argos used every trick in the book to prove a point, and caught the best team in the East off guard. I really think they will do it again. I'm truly amazed at the work done by special teams coach Mike O'Shea.
 

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gl tomorrow i decided to go with a teaser Under Hamilton 55 and BC +11.5
 

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Thanks Sharky, nice cash on your teaser. I thought cashing these two games would make me feel better about the outcome in the BC game, but it is a painful pill to swallow. Perhaps a reason for my CFL struggles this year are due to this being the only league where I have a team that I actually root for.

Oh well, looking ahead to next week, hard not to jump on both favourites depending on the line. Sasky has so many holes that a more polished offence might be able to exploit, while Montreal is the class of the East.
 

RX Senior
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I'm shocked the Ti-cats didn't blow the Argos out of the water. Argos offense is horrendous....but I guess Kevin Glenn didn't do much for the Ti-cats either. Oh well, I hope the Stamps kill the Riders...and could care less what happens to the Argos/Alouettes game. I'm sure Montreal should handle them.
 

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