doug.....i've been experimenting with high volume betting.....today alone i made roughly 60 wagers across all sports and right now -- with 3 plays pending -- i am looking at a net gain of anywhere from 6 to 8 units (flat betting across the board).....did the same thing last week and showed a modest gain.....get up in the morning and check my graded wagers and get the exact data, i've thought of round robinning but the cost scares me away.....
since there's no actual handicapping involved in what i'm doing and i'm playing certain percentages right before game time, i'm afraid if i RR it's gonna come at a bad time
plus, i'm playing small as it is, so if i decreased my bet size proportionally.....i would wind up betting 5 cents per RR or some shit
plus, i'm playing small as it is, so if i decreased my bet size proportionally.....i would wind up betting 5 cents per RR or some shit
It looks like software will let you RR 8 teams into threes ( 56 bets), 10 wouldn't work.
If you normally bet $110 to win $100 straight what would be the proper amount to bet on the parlays ?
Perhaps $10 apiece for $560 risked instead of $880 ?
SD, I think the minimum bet is $1 at BOL.
The +650 parlays are about like getting -105 on each leg. It would work much better than straight betting IF you happen to have a great day and hit 60% + for the day.
If you normally bet $110 to win $100 straight what would be the proper amount to bet on the parlays ?
Perhaps $10 apiece for $560 risked instead of $880 ?
SD, I think the minimum bet is $1 at BOL.
The +650 parlays are about like getting -105 on each leg. It would work much better than straight betting IF you happen to have a great day and hit 60% + for the day.
i may try some of that tomorrow.....lot fewer games with more staggered start times.....use the same approach that seems to be working and see how it goes
personally, i think i prefer the -110 though.....first thought tells me i make money hitting 55% doing that, while the same 55% loses money when parlayed....but something i'm defineitely interested in exploring, as you never know when your 3-0 stretches are going to come
personally, i think i prefer the -110 though.....first thought tells me i make money hitting 55% doing that, while the same 55% loses money when parlayed....but something i'm defineitely interested in exploring, as you never know when your 3-0 stretches are going to come
55% would win parlayed at +650. at 50% you'd hit 12.5 % of the parlays, make them 55% plays ( .55 X .55 X.55) and you'll hit 16.6375% of your parlays.
Take a large sample of 1,000 plays and you should go 166-834.
at $10 each....
lose $10 834 times for -$8340
win $65 166 times for +$10,790
I'm not sure if 10% of the straight amount is proper, though ?
well, how would this work.....i have 5 games at 2:30 i want to play.....the next half hour i have 3.....the next half hour there are 4......that's kind of how i've been doing, not sure how that would fit into an effective RR strategy.....don't really have enough data to start trimming around the edges yet.....once CBB gets into full swing i'm lobble to be throwing 100 bets or more out there, especially on weekends......assuming i don't lose it all with one bad day of varieance
Well you could take the first 8 games and RR them for $1 each ($ 56 total) for example.
2-6 or worse and you lose $56
3-5 would suck only winning one bet for $6.50 and losing $48.50
4-4 I belive yields 4 winners but loses pretty badly
5-3 wins
6-2 is excellent
7-1 is great
8-0 wins 56 X 6.5 for +$364
back to the problem of a small sample size ! Do it over 1,000 plays and you'll win if you can hit about 52% or better. You'd need to go 5-3 to win money.
even tougher doing it with 4 games ( 4 bets). you need to go 3-1 or 4-0 to win. I'd do it by start time.
If you could somehow win at unrealistic rates ( like a tout claims), say 60, 70,75%....then for sure you want to play parlays, esp. ones that pay above standard rates. If you pick 50% and under you want to avoid parlays....or quit gambling !
anyway you slice it, you need to hit above 50% to win....with the possible exception of MB. 50% will win there if you get +money on all your offers, not easy to do that ! Otherwise you'll need about 52% to beat -105 or 53% to beat -110 for anything worth your time.
anyway you slice it, you need to hit above 50% to win....with the possible exception of MB. 50% will win there if you get +money on all your offers, not easy to do that ! Otherwise you'll need about 52% to beat -105 or 53% to beat -110 for anything worth your time.
i think i could do it, short term i don't know.....earlier today i was thinking about doing 3 team RR'S.....just to experiment.....not even sure i properly understand the rules lol.....i was thinking with a 3 team RR, they break it into a series of 2 teamers? so if you go 3-0 you're golden, 2-1 you make money.....was kind of what i had in mind to start.....
