Exbookie wants to help the players week 13

ACE-ACE · Nov 30, 2010

bankroll $75,000

my Formula System play 18-10-2 64%

Investment 15-9-1 +$12,440.00

Action 24-22 +$671.00

Bankroll now $87,111.00

SUCCESSFUL HANDICAPPERS KNOW HOW TO ADJUST.YOU PRESS WHEN YOU'RE HOT,ADJUST WAGERING STRATEGIES WHEN SITUATIONS CHANGE...KEEP A CLOSE TABS ON TEAMS UPS AND DOWN....

WE TALK ABOUT THIS BEFORE ACTION BETS VS INVESTMENT BETS....AND I HAVE TOLD YOU IF YOU FOLLOW ONLY PLAY THE INVESTMENT ONE...I LIKE ACTION TOO...AND EVEN THO I DO MY HOMEWORK THERE NOT AS GOOD

MYLINE WILL SHOW YOU THE EDGE IN A GAME...I VERY RARELY PLAY AGAINST THEM....SO IF YOU ASK I WILL TELL YOU TO LOOK AT MYLINE...IT SHOULD GIVE YOU THE ANSWER....

NOW YOU GOT 50% OF THE TOOL
YOU DO THE OTHER 50% ITS UP TO THE CAPPER WHERE THEY FIND THE VALUE

DONT JUST FOLLOW...MAKE YOURSELF THE CAPPER....THIS IS ONLY A TOOL....ITS YOUR MONEY NOT MY MONEY....I WORK HARD FOR MY MONEY AND I HAVE TO PUT THE MONEY RIGHT...OR I WILL NOT HAVE A BANKROLL AT THE END OF THE SEASON!!!!!

USE THE RANK SYSTEM...ITS BEEN 25-16-1...ALONG WITH MY LINE THAT IS 23-15 THIS YEAR YOU SHOULD DO WELL...ADD MY NEW SYSTEM TO THE MIX AND YOU WILL FIND THAT YOU ARE WINNING MORE THAN YOU ARE LOSING

MORE TO COME

ACE

ACE-ACE · Nov 30, 2010

stats vs ats

HOME 80
AWAY 95

DOGS 100 9 OUT OF 12 WEEKS THE DOGS HAVE WON MORE GAME...FEEL GOOD IF YOU ARE AHEAD THIS YEAR!
FAV 76

OV 100
UN 75 I HAVE ONLY DONT 3 TOTALS THIS YEAR AND ALL WERE UNDER...I FEEL GOOD ABOUT THOSE VS THE ODDS AGAINST US

POINTS THAT MATTER 31 OUT OF 176 GAMES 17%...RIGHT IN LINE WITH PAST YEARS

ACE-ACE · Nov 30, 2010

Players this is your thread...tell me how I can help...open talk
as of now I have a good Ideal what the plays will be this week

for fun...sometime in the next two days

I will tell you that the 1st 2 posters that PM me...will know my system play....so stay on your toes!!!

by the way there is only one this week....this will give you a edge this week

Bruins4Life · Nov 30, 2010

I've got you at 20-10 with your system plays. This past week was only the second losing week. Thanks for all you do Ace. Looking forward to this weeks play.

ACE-ACE · Nov 30, 2010

Bruins4Life said:
I've got you at 20-10 with your system plays. This past week was only the second losing week. Thanks for all you do Ace. Looking forward to this weeks play.

You are the luck one..the two I tie with was winners for you..good job

aknelle · Nov 30, 2010

Hey Ace.

Thanks once again for all you do. This year has made me realize how little I actually knew about capping before. I have learned so much in 6 months. Two picks this year that stand out are that Detroit under....and the Akron pick. Those picks really taught me a different angle to look at the games.
I do have a question about Reverse line movement and what it means?? Last week I liked the steelers -6.5 vs the bills but I didn't bet it because I am following your plays this year. But there was reverse line movement to -6. of course the steelers didn't get their number. Now this week there are a few games that fit but some reverse line movement. What does it mean and how much strength if at all should I consider for that? thanks again for everything Ace.
Ak

ACE-ACE · Nov 30, 2010

aknelle said:
Hey Ace.

Thanks once again for all you do. This year has made me realize how little I actually knew about capping before. I have learned so much in 6 months. Two picks this year that stand out are that Detroit under....and the Akron pick. Those picks really taught me a different angle to look at the games.
I do have a question about Reverse line movement and what it means?? Last week I liked the steelers -6.5 vs the bills but I didn't bet it because I am following your plays this year. But there was reverse line movement to -6. of course the steelers didn't get their number. Now this week there are a few games that fit but some reverse line movement. What does it mean and how much strength if at all should I consider for that? thanks again for everything Ace.
Ak

in all sports it matter about 20%....for me if I see it happening that I like a team at -6.5 and it falls to -4.5...at that time I look hard at that game....if I dont see anything...it may have been a 3 unit play and I would drop it to 1.5 or 2 unit play...In NFL...its not a factor for me...its all about the numbers I see and my many tools

CtDerfer · Nov 30, 2010

Hi Ace. New to posting. Been reading your threads for a few years now. I would just like to say thanks for all the information you have given me over these last few years. I hope continued success for you in the future.

JustLuck · Dec 1, 2010

ACE-ACE said:
stats vs ats

HOME 80
AWAY 95

DOGS 100 9 OUT OF 12 WEEKS THE DOGS HAVE WON MORE GAME...FEEL GOOD IF YOU ARE AHEAD THIS YEAR!
FAV 76

OV 100
UN 75 I HAVE ONLY DONT 3 TOTALS THIS YEAR AND ALL WERE UNDER...I FEEL GOOD ABOUT THOSE VS THE ODDS AGAINST US

POINTS THAT MATTER 31 OUT OF 176 GAMES 17%...RIGHT IN LINE WITH PAST YEARS

Ace have you ever seen such a high percentage of dogs over favorites this late in the season? Usually you see an adjustment and their is not such a disparity this late. Do you think its a trend that will hold up or just an anomaly that will adjust over the last few weeks? How should we factor this into our handicapping do we ride the dogs or look to play more favorites...or do we just ignore the trend?

Thanks for all the help...JL

ACE-ACE · Dec 1, 2010

Just Luck said:
Ace have you ever seen such a high percentage of dogs over favorites this late in the season? Usually you see an adjustment and their is not such a disparity this late. Do you think its a trend that will hold up or just an anomaly that will adjust over the last few weeks? How should we factor this into our handicapping do we ride the dogs or look to play more favorites...or do we just ignore the trend?

Thanks for all the help...JL

It's at 57 percent....I don't see that hold up...54 is where I see it this year

AllAboutTheBenjamins · Dec 1, 2010

good luck this weekend, Ace. will be lookin for you around 1pm (or 4pm??) on sunday unless i catch one of the PM offers!!

ALSportsJunkie · Dec 1, 2010

Since we have been getting slaughtered in the NBA and CBB - what you recommend doing with the NFL? Should we lay off those plays totally and put all our eggs in a basket or two with the investment plays or keep digging the hole deeper with the basketball?

blackchina · Dec 1, 2010

ALSportsJunkie said:
Since we have been getting slaughtered in the NBA and CBB - what you recommend doing with the NFL? Should we lay off those plays totally and put all our eggs in a basket or two with the investment plays or keep digging the hole deeper with the basketball?

Never put all your eggs in one basket. How are you getting slaughtered? Ace is positive in NBA and CBB.

ACE-ACE · Dec 1, 2010

I will tell you that the 1st 2 posters that PM me...will know my system play....so stay on your toes!!!

by the way there is only one this week....this will give you a edge this week

THE 1ST 2 POSTERS THAT PM ME WILL KNOW THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR THIS WEEK

TIME

IS NOW......@)

ACE-ACE · Dec 1, 2010

I have two winner

sometimes its good to be in the right spot

no more pm

AllAboutTheBenjamins · Dec 1, 2010

me me

: )

thanks, ACE!

AllAboutTheBenjamins · Dec 1, 2010

OHHH shit i thought if you posted in the thread. oh well.

Kingpin11 · Dec 2, 2010

Damn. wish I saw this. good luck Ace

swavings · Dec 2, 2010

test

test

TimesYours · Dec 3, 2010

ACE-ACE said:
Players this is your thread...tell me how I can help...open talk
as of now I have a good Ideal what the plays will be this week

for fun...sometime in the next two days

by the way there is only one this week....this will give you a edge this week

Okay, I love a challange and I'm taking the clues that lead me to an Away, Dog that probably will go over...........hmmmmmmm

Here are a list of this weeks Away Dog

Bills + 5.5 at Vikes o/u 44 equaled out
Browns +5 at Fins o/u 43.5 tot. was 38.2 difference under 5.3
Bronco's +9 at Chiefs o/u 48.5 equaled out
Skins +7at Giants o/u 43 equaled out
49ers +8.5 at Packers o/u 40.5 equaled out
Raiders +13 at Chargers o/u 45 tot. was 51.36 difference over 6.3
Cowboys +5.5 at Indy o/u 48 equaled out
Steelers +3 at Ravens o/u 39 tot was 45.7 difference over 6.7
Panthers+5.5 at SeaHawks o/u 40 tot was 31.7 difference of under 8.3!

Then I got the teams PF or Points For average and divided by 11 games and added the teams opposing each other to get an average pt. total. Of the 9 listed games 5 equaled out at the O/U almost exactly.
The Browns and Dolphins avg. 38.2 pts. and the O/U is 43.5 difference under 5.3
Raiders vs. Chargers avg. 51.36 and the O/U is 45, difference over 6.3
Steelers vs. Ravens avg 45.7 and O/U is 39, difference over 6.7
and then this beauty; Panthers vs. Seahawks avg is a paultry 31.7 and the O/U is 40 leaving a difference of under 8.3

So I come up with these 3 plays so far

1.) This is a good play for the under;
Panthers+5.5 at SeaHawks o/u 40, PF tot is 31.7 diff of 8.3 pts. under

2.)This is a good play for the over; (plus Dog on the Road)
Raiders +13 at Chargers o/u 45, PF tot is 51.36 difference of 6.3 pts. over

3.) second good play for the over; (plus not exactly a dog on the Road)
Steelers +3 vs. Ravens o/u is 39. PF tot is 45.7 difference of 6.7 pts. over

Ace Ace is playing Raiders against Chargers over 45 points....should score 51 + points!!
But that Panther vs. SeaHawks under 40 looks awefully tempting with a combined scoring average of 31.7 between those two skunks and a 8.3 cushion!!
Help me Ace, am I steering the boat in the right direction? Spent a lot of time doing this index! Bob