GG,
Yeah it's the same setup where he posts 2 free baseball plays (usually in the morning) each day. Roughly 60 plays a month. Out of those 60 plays I'd expect him to take a favorite on at least 50 of them.
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GG,
Yeah it's the same setup where he posts 2 free baseball plays (usually in the morning) each day. Roughly 60 plays a month. Out of those 60 plays I'd expect him to take a favorite on at least 50 of them.
wow just saw this gator i wonder how it would do by doing a chase system with this.. i mean you could clean up and only two plays a day is perfect. chase system with dogs would be pretty profitable.
wish I saw this thread from beginning of the year.
Would be interesting to track money lines on the dogs for all of their picks
Yesterday the 3 douches had NYK, CHI, HOU, BOS on the spread (phenominal capping, all 4 laying points). If you took all 4 dogs money line Nuggets hit at +300, rest lost so even a 1-3 day breaks even.
And it couldve been much worse for them had Sacto held on to a double digit lead at houston.
Cant wait till bases. Literally counting down hours.
no plays today, but they have separately: (fade tracker ML in parenthesis)
mavs -7.5 (HOU +290 ML)
OKC -5 (port +180 ML)
Philly -9 (clev +425 ML)
Phx +2 (yes you are reading correctly, a dog, albeit a very public one I am sure.)
Hope you dont mind me posting Gators. As I know you are busy as am I from time to time.
Key here is to help each other, look at all angles as I'm sure you're all for.
Yeah, GG, feel free to post, etc.
Incubus, good to see you around. I know you are a Lang fade veteran/legend.
Stacks, a chase could very well work. I happen to find it much more relaxed and profitable to simply fade Mr. A's baseball plays every day for the entire season. As you would expect the days he wins both games suck but I try to treat it like a marathon or the stock market. You hope the results are there at the end of the day.
No plays tonight, as mentioned.
By the way I don't know if many people are following this thread I run every day. It's simply fading Mr. A every day in the NBA. As you can see his record is horrible.
Doesn't hurt that his picks are free and up early daily.
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...=891232&page=1
Mr.A & a cup of J every morning=$$$$$$
He did go 2-0 last night and is actually 4-0 last two nights (if you were fading you are either 1-3-1 or 0-3-1 as his favorite lines went up). That obviously doesn't apply to this Mush Central Fade System. May be a good time to join the Mr. A fade. He's historically crashed and burned after a good 6-8 game run.
yeah I wouldnt think of fading those just tracking.
Mush system all the way and hope for good results in bases.
I noticed thread was abruptly stopped late august.
I will help and post if you are busy on weekends/etc. And help you track.
I am breaking down last years MLB; it seems if you take out fading faves of -130 or higher it nets even a better net profit unit wise.
Yeah I would appreciate that regarding posting plays when I'm not around. Weekends are usually tough for me as I'm not near a computer. I can post from my phone but usually I don't get to it.
Interesting take on simply playing all 'dogs. That may be a way to go. I'd be interested to hear more on what you find from that.
No plays tonight here.
Tracked the 22 page thread, amazed that almost 1 full year fit in those pages. Very under the radar.
Its only 1 year of data, but its seems he is most profitable if you fade all dogs and favs up to -130 or less.
For instance he takes team +140 you dont fade at -150. That added a substantial amount of units to the fade. Its hard to give exact fig because some days are not listed, not clear, skipped, etc. but that wont happen this year.)
Roughly added another 50% to the unit tally just by implementing that rule.
Also noticed that the interleague games took away a nice chunk of profit for faders.
But you cannot argue the overall results. You have to stomach taking really shitty teams on a daily basis. You have to stomach 5-run leads by a last place piece of shit-team and blow the game in the 9th, 7-6. But it seems logical on paper. I am also gonna track this hondo character, and fade both. Gonna put all my wagering eggs in these two baskets for bases, as I doubt lang will pick bases himself. I will fade him for nba (if the pussy plays any he's scared shitless to) and wait till football for him to collapse.
Hondo I tracked from scamdicappers.com. paid the $5.00 3 day trial, printed all his baseball for past 2 years. He was very profitable for faders. He does take dogs occasionally, and I found the optimum fade for him is to take all his games, but one exception: any faves you must take @-170 or greater, take them at -1.5. It netted a lot more net profit for both years. Yes you occasionally got dicked by your team winning by one run, but a lot of times you saved big juice cause fave lost straight up.
I am thinking of creating a hybrid thread with these two, based on the rules I found to ensure max fade profit.
Of course, the issue is, will past results net same fade profits in 2012?
Can't wait, still a full freaking week. They are not to be seen yet, clearly they are not picking the Yoshinoya bowl series this week.
We have a play tonight. Both Mr. A and Gina are on the Thunder. Fade play is on the Lakers. Game starts at 10:30 EST. I would wait until right before tip off to get this in.
what a surprise gators. I figued this would happen 3 days ago.
Everyone and their mother on OKC today.
Living in L.A. and being a laker fan for 20 years, I cannot see them even competing tonight
But this is the NBA and teams throw games at will so anything possible.
Definately wait till last few minutes, line should climb.
Gators, what you think about the hybrid thread for bases, should we combine them,
with a few modifications I mentioned, or do separate, what you think?
GG,
How about you do your own thread with Hondo/Mr. A in here and I'll do my Mr. A thread in the baseball forum like last year? I'll pop in and out of both and follow both systems.
Oh by the way that game last night was really frustrating. Lakers are in trouble. Really weird line. Seems the Thunder continue to kill contrarian bettors and that the Sports Rumble gangs wins primarily come from them and the Bulls.
We can absolutely kill the NBA playoffs if the Thunder don't win the west.
YTD: 24-10-1.
laid off...just couldnt take my pathetic lakers. Hey cant complain with all the titles, but they are not even top 4 in the west IMO (thunder, spurs, clips, even memphis I think). Their time has passed. Gasol was owned in the paint by perkins. Man would I love to have that brute on my team...so physical. Love the fake line movement pushing lakers to -1. They really know how to fuck with our heads. Even up 30-18, knowing them I knew they'd lose lead before the half.
Gators, I'll shake on that. I will post my rules over the next week, then keep track religiously. Best of luck from now, and please keep posting Mr. A---sshole.
Thunder are gonna win west. They are my pick to meet bulls and beat them in 6 as well. But they wont cover a lot of 8 to 12 point spreads as I am sure they will be laying each game at home and a few on the road.
Another play tonight. Mr. A and Gina are both on the Jazz -6.5. Fade play is on
Kings +6.5
YTD: 25-10-1.
Kings win the game last night. We have another play tonight. Both Mr. A and Johnny Guild are on the Spurs -8. Fade play is on
Pacers +8
Already jumped on it, Thanks gators. Also on the over Carolina/NJ for the NHL fans. And Go Kentucky for the NCAA
I just stumble upon this and went to their site and can only see yesterday's plays. Do they not have plays everyday or just not up yet? Today's first game has already started
YTD: 25-11-1
They don't have anything up for today yet. I'm assuming we will see something soon. They are usually up pretty early so today's weird.
No idea what is going on. The SportsRumble site hasn't been updating since Saturday.
2 possibilities: They are not posting plays because they know about this thread (possible)
or they simply dont feel its worth the effort anymore and are running out of "private clients."
All I know is thank goodness CBB is over; 2 days to go. Hopefully at least Hondo will put up his plays in the NY Post
You really think this thread would cause them to stop? That seems so childish and ridiculous. I really am starting to get concerned though.
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