Is Jacksonville to win AFC South good value at +300?

If you're interested, Jacksonville's available at Matchbook at that price. Or, make a counter-offer and I'll definitely consider raising the line. My honest assessment is that Jax +300 is good value, but I'm selling at that price only as a hedge against a pre-season 30-1 wager. I know that prob makes it seem I'd be lying about considering jax +300 a good bet, but Jax has several advantages in the tie breaking procedures and relative upcoming schedules of the other competitors that most people don't realize. Even if they lose to Tenn today, they'd still be very much in the hunt. Jax advantages, in no particular order:

1. Jax beat Indy earlier. If they were able to win again (at indy, this time, unfort), it would gain them a gm and the tie breaker. Right now, I'd estimate that line will be Indy - 5ish (much like today's dallas at indy line). Also, Jax matches up excellently vs. Indy. Indy can't stop the run and Jax rushing offense is excellent.

2. Tenn's starting qb Vince Young is out for the season. Their backup is 37 yr old Kerry Collins who, in my opinion is likely to get injured again and knocked out (he was already knocked out for a few gms earlier in the season). That would leave tenn with only their third string qb, a rookie who looked terrible last week in his only start.

3. This div is going to be won by either Indy or Jax, and I'm offering one of them +300. Indy's available everywhere at - 160ish, so if you're unconvinced, you can always buy Indy and put both tms into profit.

Anyway, thanks for your time.

Kind regards,
NI

One quick addendum: I'll have to take the offer down at kickoff of Jax/Tenn at 1:05, so if you're interested, there's not much time. Thanks again.

I agree good value

I do see Tennessee geting Chris Johnson more involved today though, and possibly having a big day...

My shilling abilities must suck, since my post didn't attract even a single buyer. Hell, I almost bought a $1 pity bet from myself, just to avoid the shutout. But I still want to hedge my Jacksonville-only divisional futures position, so......

I'M WILLING TO SELL YOU JAX TO WIN THE DIV AT ANY TIME TODAY, EVEN WHILE THE GAME'S BEING PLAYED. If you're interested in Jax at any time today, reply to this thread with your suggested price, and if it's fair I'll post it for you at Matchbook. Let me know if you're interested.

Good luck to all,
NI

STANDINGS:


UP-TO-THE-MINUTE AFC SOUTH STANDINGS
Jacksonville Jaguars 8-5 (3-1)
Indianapolis Colts 7-6 (2-2)
Houston Texans 5-8 (2-2)
Tennessee Titans 5-8 (1-3)

Nice value and very possible