Exbookie wants to help the players week 15

ACE-ACE · Dec 13, 2010

bankroll $75,000

my Formula System play 20-11-2 64%

Investment 17-10-1 +$13,795.00

Action 29-25 +$1775.00

Bankroll now $90,570.00

going to start a weekly reported on how the 4 sports are doing
base on a $100 a units (I do $200 a unit in those sports)

.DATE...................NBA................CBB..................CFB
11/30..................UP$1804.........DOWN $514......UP $436 +1726.00

12-6.....................+$572..............-$784...............+$2126 +$1914.00

12-13..................+$627................+$498.............+$1313 +$2438.00

as you see we are going up not down the last two weeks

Alway good to know where you are every week

NFL
because I bet early sometimes I get a better line (it helps to have over 10 diff/books online. Fact is I dont by 1/2 a points...my plays are base on my team winning by more than 10 points vs the spread! plus the factor that points only matter in 17% of the game in any year.......Well....it bite me two times this year on Investment Plays!....
on 11-27 I had NO-3....I posted NO -3.5.....NO won by 3
on 12-12 I had phi -3....I posted Phi-3.5.....Phi won by 3

at docsports and my e-mail list and therx promo's...they all lost ...so I counted it as a lost also

from now on my e-mail list will see if I bet it early....but the rule of posting a play is to put down the line players can get at the time
so
on Thursday at 6 pm est I have to go with that line and I will not posted what I got again in the forum....it was my mistake and I'm sorry.

counting those two against me I'm up $15,570 46-35
true record $20,755 46-33-2

1 unit=$1000...so this is 5 units we are talking about...I feel bad for the follower that could not get those -3!!!!....some did

Hilton up date

gone 2-3 this week got 40 points....seem that the top 7 did not do well this week....top guy is at 45....so I'm 5 points out

monday night games to help me in the hilton...I want Minn to Win and Balt to win!!

starting this week for the last 3 weeks of the season....There is a $10,000 to the one that has the best record

last year I did a run of 11-4 one did 12-3 and he won the $10k

so this week I'm looking for 5-0...only had one week of 5-0 in the hilton

all 350 players have a crack at it....best of luck to the group.

More to come

Ace-Ace

degengambler · Dec 13, 2010

may the force be with you.
you deserve to win
your generosity is unmatched
in all forumville

KUCKERSPANIEL69 · Dec 13, 2010

Need to follow a winner for once.....steve anderson suxxxx killed me for $4500.00
Hopefully thus wk will be different

Willye · Dec 14, 2010

damn ace you came a long way from yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaars ago keep up the good work ... mac mafia still alive?

ACE-ACE · Dec 14, 2010

Willye said:
damn ace you came a long way from yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaars ago keep up the good work ... mac mafia still alive?

under the radar...I talk to a kid that just got out of Tol..... and the school see some of the players that have no money...with I-pad and nice thing.. it is still going on
just low key after everything that has happen!

ACE-ACE · Dec 14, 2010

Stats vs ats

home 99
away 106

dogs 112
fav 96 AS i SAID LAST WEEK fAV GOT THE EDGE 12-4 LAST WEEK...THIS WILL EVEN OUT

OV 116
UNDER 91

POINTS THAT MATTER 37 GAMES OUT OF 208 18% A LITTLE HIGH

rfb · Dec 14, 2010

Aces myline picks

atl
jax
gbay

atl and mia are 4 stat leans

jcheckers · Dec 14, 2010

You've got mail :thumbsup:

ACE-ACE · Dec 14, 2010

jcheckers said:
You've got mail :thumbsup:

Thanks it helps

Ace

unionfitter · Dec 14, 2010

ACE...is it me, or have the overs been hitting at a much higher rate this year? Not really a player on O/U's but do watch for a bad number that could show up...but man, the unders just aren't even coming close this year. It will take a ton of unders to equal things out somewhat this year.

ACE-ACE · Dec 14, 2010

union fitter said:
ACE...is it me, or have the overs been hitting at a much higher rate this year? Not really a player on O/U's but do watch for a bad number that could show up...but man, the unders just aren't even coming close this year. It will take a ton of unders to equal things out somewhat this year.

Under rule last year...it's all overs this year....funny thing is I played only 3totals this year and all of them was under and they all won

CrazyK · Dec 15, 2010

Hey im new to sports betting so this might be a dumb question. You indicated "dogs 112
fav 96 AS i SAID LAST WEEK fAV GOT THE EDGE 12-4 LAST WEEK...THIS WILL EVEN OUT"
so from your experience of betting does this usually even out by the end of the end? Will this stat be equal?

ACE-ACE · Dec 15, 2010

CrazyK said:
Hey im new to sports betting so this might be a dumb question. You indicated "dogs 112
fav 96 AS i SAID LAST WEEK fAV GOT THE EDGE 12-4 LAST WEEK...THIS WILL EVEN OUT"
so from your experience of betting does this usually even out by the end of the end? Will this stat be equal?

in the long run over 10 years it close to even....in the short run anything can happen.....Fav get better this time of year

ACE-ACE · Dec 16, 2010

Want to show you another tool I use

LONG-LINE MOVEMENT

I keep track of what you could have bet a line in week 5 and what it is now

I look at a 6 point move in the line

here is a 6 point mover

Cinn was -7.5 over Cleveland in week 5
now its Cinn -1.5

so this tells us Cleve has got better!!!

the other big move in the line

Oak was pk in week 5.... Now its -6.5

so the two game with the biggest line move of the week

Oak
Cleve

the record for this is 18-12 60%

this can be a great tool or another view of the game

Best to all

Ace

3pointdog · Dec 16, 2010

Ace i'm looking at this weekend... is it me or does it look like a dog weekend??? i really like the dogs ... the lines look too easy to play favs at under 7... so many games -5.5, -6, -6.5

looks like thiey are chumming the water to kill the players who like laying less than 7

thoughts??

ACE-ACE · Dec 16, 2010

thedog516 said:
Ace i'm looking at this weekend... is it me or does it look like a dog weekend??? i really like the dogs ... the lines look too easy to play favs at under 7... so many games -5.5, -6, -6.5

looks like thiey are chumming the water to kill the players who like laying less than 7

thoughts??

im thinking the other way...fav come alive in the late season...this week I have 4 fav and one dog in the hilton

Insoluble · Dec 17, 2010

Ace,

I had a question about the long line movement. I know a few books in Vegas offer early lines for all weeks at the beginning of the season. Are there online books that do the same. Just curious where you can find early lines for your comparison and if there was somewhere where I could access them too.

Also you are looking at what the line is in Week 5. Next week would you still compare the lines to what they were in week 5 for would you compare them 10 weeks back to week 6?

Thanks for your insight, its really enlightening to pick up nuggets of knowledge from you.

ACE-ACE · Dec 17, 2010

Insoluble said:
Ace,

I had a question about the long line movement. I know a few books in Vegas offer early lines for all weeks at the beginning of the season. Are there online books that do the same. Just curious where you can find early lines for your comparison and if there was somewhere where I could access them too.

Also you are looking at what the line is in Week 5. Next week would you still compare the lines to what they were in week 5 for would you compare them 10 weeks back to week 6?

Thanks for your insight, its really enlightening to pick up nuggets of knowledge from you.

think the hilton does him they do put out the lines ahead....I like using week 5 all the way to week 17...guess you can pick a point in time and see the line movment...I just use week 5

this is week 16 line back in week 5 so you can check it out next week

PITT-6.5
DAL-4.5
NE-6
NYJ EV
BAL-6
TEN-2.5
SF5.5
MA-8
PHI EV
TB EV
JAX EV
IND-7.5
TEX EV
GB-5
SD-3

NO -1

NOW LOOK AT THE LINES FOR WEEK 16

WK 16

PITT -15.5

DALL -4.5

MIA -5.5
PHI -10.5
JAK -6
STL -2.5
TB -7
NE -9.5
CHI -2.5
BAL -3 -120
KC -4
IND -3
HOU -3
NYG/GB NO LINE
SD -6.5

ATL -2.5

YOU CAN SEE THE TEAMS THAT GOT BETTER

ENJOY
ACE

CujoLatte · Dec 18, 2010

Geez that Chicago Bears line is finally up at BetJam and it is 7 1/2. Unreal, almost makes me wanna bet with Minn. This line started at @ 2 correct? What you think ACE?

ACE-ACE · Dec 18, 2010

CujoLatte said:
Geez that Chicago Bears line is finally up at BetJam and it is 7 1/2. Unreal, almost makes me wanna bet with Minn. This line started at @ 2 correct? What you think ACE?

In the hilton I got it at -3....and bet it at -6.5....lost a little value crossing the 7 line...but now i see the d-line of chi stoping all O-lines....24-7 win

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