Exbookie wants to help the plays week 16

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EX BOOKIE
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Oct 20, 2003
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bankroll $75,000

my Formula System play 20-12-2 62%

Investment 18-11-1 +$13,395.00

Action 31-28 +$1507.00

Bankroll now $89,902.00

weekly reported on how the 3 sports are doing
base on a $100 a units (I do $200 a unit in those sports)

.DATE...................NBA................CBB..................CFB
11/30..................UP$1804.........DOWN $514......UP $436 +1726.00


12-6.....................+$572..............-$784...............+$2126 +$1914.00

12-13..................+$627................+$498.............+$1313 +$2438.00

12-20...................+$692...............+$915.............+1813 now $3420.00

dec has been a great month!!


my mind is to get into the top 20 in the hilton and that will put me into the money


top guy is at 49.5...next is 48....the top 5 has 47....it will be hard to set my goals on them with only 43 points!

top 37 is where I 'm at

6 at 45
6 at 44.5
2 at 44
3 at 43.5
and 6 of us at 43!!....I only did the top 50...so one or two more could have got 4-1 or 5-0 this last week and join this small group

so

the top 21 has 45 points...I set my goal on them

but


I have to go 5-0 and they only have to go 3-2...if this happens I could be in the top 20 next week

so the next two week the goal is 8-2


there are two system plays this week and I have it down to 8 teams and its only tuesday


back to work at my end


More to come


Ace
 

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Started week 15 Action 29-25
Atl W
Chi W
Jax L
Dal L
Think your Action is now 31-27
 

EX BOOKIE
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Stats vs ATS

home 106
away 115

Dogs 119
Fav 103 ONLY 16 GAMES APART IN WEEK 13 IT WAS 24 APART...SO YOU SEE THE LATE PART OF THE SEASON...FAV SHINE!

OVER 127
UNDER 96

GAMES THAT THE POINTS MATTER 39 OUT OF 224 17%....SAME AS THE LAST 15 YEARS
 

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[FONT=&quot]I missed the sharps report by Nick ????, last week. Found reference to him on a site but could not find the week 15 sharps report. Anyone have a link to that weekly report..?[/FONT]
 

EX BOOKIE
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[FONT=&quot]I missed the sharps report by Nick ????, last week. Found reference to him on a site but could not find the week 15 sharps report. Anyone have a link to that weekly report..?[/FONT]

he only did the thursday report...no sunday report...he never miss two weeks in a row
 

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this is a better way

avg yards for SD=407
avg yards for Oak =335

add together = 742 -325 = 417 div by 7.5 = 55.6....than I look for a plus 6 edge...do this to all games and you will see a better edge in the totals

I have a similar totals formula. Take the teams average total yards per game/ multiply by .101338 and subtract 10. Do this for both teams and add together, compare that to the o/u line. I look for a 9+ or - differential.

Last week both the over PHL/NYG and JAX/IND also AIZ/CAR under proved to be covers. A whopping 22-12 since week 5. I’m likin’ that 65%

The .101338 equals average points scored per yard in the NFL.

I know you had the Phily/Over but what is the record of your totals system this year?

[FONT=&quot]Also do you use a similar formula for NCAA…?[/FONT]
 

Git in there Fat Boy!
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Finally...:thumbsup:

ATT00001.gif
 

EX BOOKIE
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ace, how does one subscribe to these reports?

just come back here each week you will see the sharp report

WHAT SHARPS THINK ABOUT THIS WEEK'S BOWL GAMES
We only have four bowls this week, so I'm going to run through early sharp action (betting preferences from professional wagerers) for the whole card in this one report. NEXT week will get crazy because of a very heavy bowl schedule. I'll do my best to keep you updated on sharp action in a timely manner for Bowl Week. Like the rest of us, many sharps are waiting to see what other shoes will drop in terms of coaching headlines and player suspensions.
Here's what sharps think about the four games set for this week:
POINSETTIA BOWL (Thursday)
NAVY AT SAN DIEGO STATE

Remember that this is a home game for San Diego State, but Navy will be well represented in the crowd because San Diego has a strong naval presence. Oddsmakers have allotted three points for home field. This threw off some bettors at first who were getting bigger gradings than they expected!
The opener of SDSU -6 has come down to -5. Part of that many sharps don't think San Diego State deserved full value for home field. Also, Navy gets respect as an underdog because of their option attack and disciplined play. You'll recall Navy crushed Missouri last year as an underdog of this size down in Houston.
Nothing yet on the total, sitting on its opener of 60.5.
HAWAII BOWL (Friday)
TULSA AT HAWAII

Another home game, with Hawaii hosting its own bowl. Sharps jumped all over Tulsa here, driving an opener of +13.5 down to +10.5. This surprised many oddsmakers because Hawaii's been money in the bank this year as a general rule. In fact, the islanders are 11-2 ATSW this season!
Tulsa's a very solid 8-4 ATS themselves, and professional wagerers thought the early numbers were giving Hawaii too much credit.
Big move on the total too...with an opener of 69 shooting all the way up to 73. Sharps think Tulsa's going to make this a game, and they're going to do it with offense. You've already seen high scoring games in early bowl action (landing on 76, 57, and 69 points without any defensive or special teams scores). Sharps are expecting an even faster tempo in Hawaii.


NFL should be done on Sat/day
 

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just come back here each week you will see the sharp report

WHAT SHARPS THINK ABOUT THIS WEEK'S BOWL GAMES
We only have four bowls this week, so I'm going to run through early sharp action (betting preferences from professional wagerers) for the whole card in this one report. NEXT week will get crazy because of a very heavy bowl schedule. I'll do my best to keep you updated on sharp action in a timely manner for Bowl Week. Like the rest of us, many sharps are waiting to see what other shoes will drop in terms of coaching headlines and player suspensions.
Here's what sharps think about the four games set for this week:
POINSETTIA BOWL (Thursday)
NAVY AT SAN DIEGO STATE

Remember that this is a home game for San Diego State, but Navy will be well represented in the crowd because San Diego has a strong naval presence. Oddsmakers have allotted three points for home field. This threw off some bettors at first who were getting bigger gradings than they expected!
The opener of SDSU -6 has come down to -5. Part of that many sharps don't think San Diego State deserved full value for home field. Also, Navy gets respect as an underdog because of their option attack and disciplined play. You'll recall Navy crushed Missouri last year as an underdog of this size down in Houston.
Nothing yet on the total, sitting on its opener of 60.5.
HAWAII BOWL (Friday)
TULSA AT HAWAII

Another home game, with Hawaii hosting its own bowl. Sharps jumped all over Tulsa here, driving an opener of +13.5 down to +10.5. This surprised many oddsmakers because Hawaii's been money in the bank this year as a general rule. In fact, the islanders are 11-2 ATSW this season!
Tulsa's a very solid 8-4 ATS themselves, and professional wagerers thought the early numbers were giving Hawaii too much credit.
Big move on the total too...with an opener of 69 shooting all the way up to 73. Sharps think Tulsa's going to make this a game, and they're going to do it with offense. You've already seen high scoring games in early bowl action (landing on 76, 57, and 69 points without any defensive or special teams scores). Sharps are expecting an even faster tempo in Hawaii.


NFL should be done on Sat/day

much appreciated sir.
 

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Take your Christmas off Ace :toast:

Nick: What Sharps Think in NFL Week 16

Submitted by nick on Fri, 2010-12-24 00:00
DIRECT FROM NEVADA
With Oddsmaker Nick Bogdanovich

WHAT SHARPS ARE THINKING ABOUT THIS WEEKEND'S NFL ACTION

I won't be back with you until Sunday morning here in the web article rotation...so let me be one of the first people to wish you a Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!

Today I'll run through my weekly look at what sharps (professional wagerers) are thinking about this week's NFL games. On Sunday I'll take a look at the next hunk of bowl games, with a reaction to early smart money during one of the most anticipated sporting weeks in the calendar year.

First things first...let's start with Dallas at Arizona on Christmas Night, then work through the Sunday and Monday schedules...

DALLAS AT ARIZONA (Saturday Night): Sharps hit the favorite and the Over, driving an opener of Dallas -6.5 up to -7, and a total of 44.5 up to 45. Oddsmakers wanted to test the waters a bit to see what the sharps would do around those key numbers. They found out. Sharps aren't fond of Arizona's young quarterback, and jumped in enough to bring the favorite up a tick. The Dallas defense looked so bad last week vs. Washington that sharps figured a shootout was more likely than a defensive struggle. Not real passion in either case because they were just half point moves. But, sharps usually bet Dogs and Unders, so the moves are meaningful.

DETROIT AT MIAMI: Sharps liked the dog here quite a bit, driving Detroit +4 down to +3. As I write this, support hasn't come back on Miami at the critical number...which tells you sharps like their position with the Lions and aren't thinking right now of buying any of it back. The total is up a tick from 41 to 41.5. If I don't mention a total in a game, it's because there hasn't been a meaningful move off the opener.

MINNESOTA AT PHILADELPHIA: Note that this has been time changed to prime time for NBC. A line came up midweek of Philadelphia -14 with a total of 44 when Brett Favre was officially ruled out. The total has come down to 43. That might be weather related, or just a lack of support for the Vikings backup quarterback. Sharps don't like laying big numbers in the NFL. Sometimes, if they want to bet "against" a QB, they'll do it by playing the Under.

WASHINGTON AT JACKSONVILLE: Similar situation here to Dallas-Arizona...where a favorite opened just below a critical number, and sharps bet early to drive it to the number. Jacksonville went from -6.5 to -7. The total is up from 45.5 to 46 too. So, last week's Washington/Dallas game inspired Over bets with both of those teams this week. I've heard a lot of conversation about this one. Some sharps like the dog but are waiting to see if they can get more than a TD. Jacksonville's defense isn't very good. And, Rex Grossman did put up a lot of points on Dallas. I have talked to some sharps though who think Washington won't be as motivated for Jacksonville as they were for archrival Dallas.

SAN FRANCISCO AT ST. LOUIS: St. Louis opened at -2, but snuck up to -3 when San Francisco announced that Troy Smith would be starting at quarterback instead of Alex Smith. The market likes Alex much better than Troy! The Rams aren't a team that Wise Guys normally would lay points with, so it's a strong indictment of the change.

SEATTLE AT TAMPA BAY: Nothing's happened here on the team side, with Tampa Bay still a solid -6. The total is up a point from 42.5 to 43.5. There's still a general tendency from the math guys to play Unders in the Northern cities and Overs in the warm weather states or indoors. That may be in play here.

NEW ENGLAND AT BUFFALO: Big move here on the total, as an opener of 46.5 is down to 44. Normally I'd attribute that to a bad weather forecast. Since New England has just played a couple of Overs in very bad weather, it's probably something else. New England opened at -8, but is down to -7.5. If that doesn't change...New England is going to be in a lot of two-team teasers this Sunday. Oddsmakers haven't been hurt too badly by teasers this year because they're getting better at playing defense.

NY JETS AT CHICAGO: This is likely to be a heavily bet game that gets great TV ratings. The Bears are pulling numbers with the networks...and Bears fans loving betting this team when things are going well. Jets fans are the same way, so we may not see much of a move from the openers of Chicago -1.5 and 37. Sportsbooks will be happy to collect the vigorish if the support does cancel out in this meeting of high profile betting teams.

BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND: Limited action so far, and I think Baltimore -3 with a total of 39.5 is probably right on the money unless weather becomes a factor. Cleveland would get "live dog" interest if the line were over a field goal from sharps. Baltimore would be pounded at -2.5 because they need the game and Cleveland's just playing out the string. We might see the public bet "need" on game day. If you like Baltimore yourself, take care of business now. If you like rivalry underdogs, you might want to wait and see if you can get a better number Sunday morning.

TENNESSEE AT KANSAS CITY: Another favorite that got hit on the open. Kansas City opened at -4.5 and is up to -5. I mentioned a lot in past weeks that when you DON'T see a move, the sharps like the underdog. It gets harder to like underdogs when the games don't matter to them late in the year, so we saw moves against Arizona, Washington, and now Tennessee. Those weren't big moves...suggesting deep affection for the favorites. Just line value moves. The total is up a point from 41.5 to 42.5, which probably means nice weather for those of you living in Missouri this weekend.

INDIANAPOLIS AT OAKLAND: Indianapolis got hit hard at the opener of -2.5, as the line moved up to -3. My impression on that is that it's sharps "taking a position" before public money comes in. Squares (the general public) love to bet on Peyton Manning when it's cheap. This is cheap! If the line moves up to -3.5 or -4 on Sunday, sharps can jump right in and shoot at a middle involving the key number of -3. Sharps don't try this all the time because it can be hard to move off the three. Peyton Manning generates enough support that it's possible here.

HOUSTON AT DENVER: Not much betting interest in this game because it doesn't matter to either team. Sharps will fade the public if they come in on Tim Tebow or something. This is very unlikely to be a high action game on Sunday. The total did go down a point from 49.5 to 48.5.

NY GIANTS AT GREEN BAY: This line didn't go up until midweek as oddsmakers were awaiting an announcement on Aaron Rodgers. He's going to play. We're seeing Green Bay -3 with a total of 43. Sharps are waiting to find out more about Rodgers health (is he 60%, 80%, 100%?) before getting involved. They may just wait until Sunday and fade the public figuring that -3 is the right line and anything better than that represents value.

SAN DIEGO AT CINCINNATI: The total has come down from 46 to 44. Maybe weather is a part of that. Or, there's a thought that San Diego will control the game and run clock in similar fashion to their victory over San Francisco last week. The team side line hasn't moved off its opener of San Diego -7. But, it might soon because the public likes to bet need...and sharps have liked what they've seen in the second half of the season with the Chargers.

NEW ORLEANS AT ATLANTA: Can you believe this is the final Monday Night game of the season?! They won't have won in Week 17 just to make sure no playoff-bound team is stuck with a short preparation week. This may have the feel of a playoff game, as Atlanta is trying to earn the #1 seed in the NFC, while New Orleans is trying to clinch a spot in the postseason. The opener of Atlanta -2 moved to -2.5, but not all the way to -3. Oddsmakers know sharps will jump in full force on the dog +3 here. Remember that sharps loved New Orleans plus the small number at Baltimore last week. They've established their preference for Drew Brees and points, even if it doesn't work all the time. The total is up a point from 47.5 to 48.5, with two versatile offenses playing indoors on a fast track.

That's it for the NFL games. I'll be back the day after Christmas to outline the early week bowl preferences of professional wagerers. Don't forget that you can purchase my BEST BETS each and every day here at the website. You may have read that I'm in a battle with VSM's Coach Ron Meyer to see who can pick the most winners from now through the Super Bowl. Make a few clicks and check out the package that gets you BOTH of our selections for the duration at a discounted rate.

If you have any questions, call the office at 1-877-822-2276. Game day releases go up online every day a few hours before the games start for those of you who want to test the waters.

Once again...MERRY CHRISTMAS!
 

EX BOOKIE
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Oct 20, 2003
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3 plays at 1pm est
2 plays at 4:15 est
2 will be system plays
2 will be Investment plays
two plays will be dogs!!

put it all together and I need 5-0 on my hilton plays this week.

hope everyone had a great X-mas.... time to get back to Capping

Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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NflLogo1.jpg

NFL.gif


The NFL has been divided into two very different camps – those who have something to play for this year and those that are already playing for next year.

Those teams that are out of the playoff equation already are the clubs that require extra attention and many of them have made significant changes to their starting rosters, especially at the quarterback position.

Matt Flynn, John Skelton, Joe Webb and Tim Tebow were just a few of the young QBs taking snaps in Week 15 and much of the same is expected this week. This trend can have huge implications on the lines oddsmakers send out.

“If Aaron Rodgers had started [in Week 15] the Pats would have been around a 5 or 6 point-favorite, but with Flynn the line was 14,” says Chuck Esposito, Race and Sports Executive at the Venetian Resort and Casino.

“That is one of the extreme cases but there is a significant drop off and that is always reflected in the line. The betting public went against every young starting QB in Week 15.”

That much is understandable, but despite their inexperience, some of these guys can get it done over the short term. In other cases, it's a lot more complicated.

“Flynn, Stanton and McCoy are in a slightly different category here because they are traditional QB prospects, and can fit into the offense playbook without many changes,” says Covers Expert David Malinsky.

“For Webb and Tebow the offenses basically have to be redesigned around their particular talents, which means a lot of players removed. And when bad teams are playing out the schedule, many times they do not have the interest to make those changes, especially on a holiday week, when the players are even more distracted.”

Rodgers’ status will be the biggest factor in this week’s game against the New York Giants. The Packers are still fighting for a playoff spot, but they need to win out to keep playing.

“The line is contingent on Rodgers health,” says Esposito. “With a playoff spot possibly at stake and this being a home game, the Packers with Rodgers would be around a 4-point favorite. In the event he does not play the Giants would be around a 3-point favorite.”

Biggest spread of the week – Panthers at Steelers (-13.5, 37)

This is the largest number on the board by far and Esposito only expects it to go up as the week progresses.

The Panthers haven’t won a game on the road all year long and the Steelers are still fighting it out with the Baltimore Ravens at the top of the AFC North with both clubs coming into this week at 10-4. Before Pittsburgh dropped a 22-19 decision to the Jets last week, they hadn’t allowed a team to reach 20 points in four weeks.

Smallest spread of the week – 49ers at Rams (-1, 39.5)

This line opened at St. Louis -2 in Vegas but has already dropped a point throughout the day.

“It’s hard to believe that the 49ers with just five wins are still in a position to win the NFC West,” says Esposito. “However, if you look at the way it lines up if they win they could easily be in control in the West. If they beat the Rams and the Bucs beat the Seahawks in Tampa Bay they all would be tied.”

What an awful, awful division.

Biggest total of the week - Saints at Falcons (-2, 48.5)

The New Orleans Saints were held to fewer than 30 points for the first time in six games in last week’s 30-24 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Meanwhile, Atlanta has scored 65 points over the past two games, so both offenses are obviously rolling.

Don’t forget the defense in this one either though. The Saints rank eighth in total defense and the Falcons only give up 18.6 points per game – good for seventh in the NFL.

Smallest total of the week - Panthers at Steelers (13.5, 37)

Weather is the biggest factor with totals this week so jumping at any number before the day of the game is a risky proposition. The Panthers hold the lowest total for yet another week, but that distinction could be short-lived.

“Look for the Jets at Bears total once posted to be lower at around 35,” says Esposito.

Trickiest line of the week

The Colts, with Austin Collie’s status up in the air, are set as 3-point favorites on the road. Indy had dropped the cash three weeks in a row before it downed the Jags 34-24 as a 4-point favorite last week.

“With the Colts win yesterday they control their own destiny and have a huge tie-breaker edge over the Jags, however losing Collie is a big blow,” Esposito says. “They still have Wayne and Garcon but Collie had developed a great relationship with Manning.”
Malinsky echoes that sentiment and doesn’t expect Indianapolis to make a deep run this year.

“They might have enough to gut it out and make the playoffs, but will be too limited to get very far this year, especially when they have to take to the road,” Malinsky says.

NFL
Long Sheet


Week 16

Thursday, December 23

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CAROLINA (2 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 4) - 12/23/2010, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 25

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DALLAS (5 - 9) at ARIZONA (4 - 10) - 12/25/2010, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 26

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DETROIT (4 - 10) at MIAMI (7 - 7) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
DETROIT is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (5 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 4) - 12/26/2010, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 9) at JACKSONVILLE (8 - 6) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 9) at ST LOUIS (6 - 8) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (6 - 8) at TAMPA BAY (8 - 6) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (12 - 2) at BUFFALO (4 - 10) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 134-103 ATS (+20.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (10 - 4) at CHICAGO (10 - 4) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (10 - 4) at CLEVELAND (5 - 9) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (6 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 5) - 12/26/2010, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (8 - 6) at OAKLAND (7 - 7) - 12/26/2010, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 29-60 ATS (-37.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (5 - 9) at DENVER (3 - 11) - 12/26/2010, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
DENVER is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (9 - 5) at GREEN BAY (8 - 6) - 12/26/2010, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (8 - 6) at CINCINNATI (3 - 11) - 12/26/2010, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW ORLEANS (10 - 4) at ATLANTA (12 - 2) - 12/27/2010, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
ATLANTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 16

Thursday, 12/23/2010

CAROLINA at PITTSBURGH, 8:20 PM ET
NFL
CAROLINA: 47-27 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
PITTSBURGH: 8-19 ATS as a double digit favorite


Saturday, 12/25/2010

DALLAS at ARIZONA, 7:30 PM ET
NFL
DALLAS: 11-0 Over last 11 games
ARIZONA: 8-2 ATS on Saturday


Sunday, 12/26/2010

DETROIT at MIAMI, 1:00 PM ET

DETROIT: 10-3 ATS in all games
MIAMI: 0-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

MINNESOTA at PHILADELPHIA, 8:25 PM ET NBC | (TC)
MINNESOTA: N/A
PHILADELPHIA: 8-0 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 24+ points

WASHINGTON at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 10-2 ATS Away after BB losses by 6 or less points
JACKSONVILLE: 0-8 ATS off division loss

SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 10-1 ATS off ATS loss
ST LOUIS: 8-26 ATS with same season revenge

SEATTLE at TAMPA BAY, 4:15 PM ET (TC)
SEATTLE: 7-0 ATS after allowing 25+ points BB games
TAMPA BAY: 2-11 ATS in home games

NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND: 7-0 Over L7 weeks
BUFFALO: 14-4 ATS off road win by 3 points or less

NY JETS at CHICAGO, 1:00 PM ET
NY JETS: 8-2 ATS off SU win as an underdog
CHICAGO: N/A

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 8-2 ATS if 50+ points were scored last game
CLEVELAND: 1-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3

TENNESSEE at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 19-7 ATS off a home division win
KANSAS CITY: 1-7 ATS off SU win by 10+ as a road underdog

INDIANAPOLIS at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
INDIANAPOLIS: 11-25 ATS the last 2 weeks of the regular season
OAKLAND: 7-0 ATS at home after gaining 7 or more yards/play

HOUSTON at DENVER, 4:05 PM ET
HOUSTON: 30-15 ATS after BB losses
DENVER: 0-7 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points

NY GIANTS at GREEN BAY, 4:15 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 1-5 ATS off SU loss as a home favorite
GREEN BAY: 10-3 OVER off a cover where the team lost as an underdog

SAN DIEGO at CINCINNATI, 4:05 PM ET (TC)
SAN DIEGO: 27-13 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
CINCINNATI: 11-24 ATS against conference opponents


Monday, 12/27/2010

NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA, 8:30 PM ET
ESPN
NEW ORLEANS: 8-0 ATS off a road loss
ATLANTA: 9-1 Over if total is 42.5 and 49

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 23

8:20 PM
CAROLINA vs. PITTSBURGH
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home


Saturday, December 25

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas


Sunday, December 26

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. KANSAS CITY
Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New England's last 23 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MIAMI
Detroit is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Detroit is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Detroit

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. CHICAGO
NY Jets are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Chicago is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

4:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
San Diego is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

4:05 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. OAKLAND
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games

4:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. DENVER
Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home

4:15 PM
NY GIANTS vs. GREEN BAY
NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Green Bay
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games

4:15 PM
SEATTLE vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:20 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Monday, December 27

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Sunday, December 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL Week 16 weather report: Snow, snow and more snow
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Let’s hope Santa brought NFL fans some warm clothes this Christmas. They’ll need to bundle up with nasty winter weather impacting Week 16 of the football season.

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins (-3.5, 41.5)


Morning rains will give way to strong winds in South Beach on Sunday. The forecast is calling for winds of up to 25 mph whipping through Sun Life Stadium, blowing northwest from corner to corner.

Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars (-7, 46)

It seems strong winds will beat up the Sunshine State on Sunday. Winds of speeds up to 25 mph will hit Everbank Field, blowing west across the gridiron.

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (+3.5, 40)

Cleveland will be hit with snow and ice on Sunday, dropping temperatures into the mid 20s. However, a chilly breeze, blowing north, will reach speeds of up to 30 mph and make it feel more like 14 degrees.

New York Jets at Chicago Bears (-1, N/A)

Snow showers and 15-mph winds will make life tough on the Jets and Bears in Week 16. The forecast for Soldier Field is calling for game-time temperatures in the mid 20 with the wind chill making it feel like 17 degrees. This is the Bears’ weather while Jets QB Mark Sanchez seems to struggle in the white stuff.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+9, 44)

This classic AFC East battle has the perfect weather for hardcore football fans. Buffalo will get snow showers along with 20-mph winds blowing northeast from corner to corner. Temperatures will feel like they’re only 8 degrees at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (+9, 43.5)

The Chargers are far from home when they visit the Bengals in Week 16. The forecast in Ohio is calling for snow, 20-mph gusts and game-time temps dipping into the mid teens.

Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders (+2, 47.5)

Even the Bay Area can’t escape the wrath of winter. Oakland will be soggy on Sunday with rain hitting Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum in the afternoon, before clearing later in the evening.

New York Giants at Green Bay Packers (-3, 43)

It’s classic Lambeau when the Giants come to Green Bay on Sunday. Snow showers will coat the field with winds reaching 10 mph, dropping temperatures into the low teens. A fragile Aaron Rodgers should be wary of the G-Men’s pass rush, because hits hurt even more in the cold.

Seattle Seahawks at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6, 44)

Winds will reach gust of up to 30 mph in Tampa Bay this Sunday, keeping long passes and kicks at the mercy of Mother Nature. Gust will blow west-northwest across the field at Raymond James Stadium.

Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (-14, 41.5)

No matter who is under center for the Vikings, they’ll have to deal with less-than-perfect conditions at Lincoln Financial Field. The forecast for Philly is calling for snow showers all day including strong winds gusting of speeds up to 30 mph, blowing north-northeast from corner to corner.
 

New member
Joined
Jun 22, 2010
Messages
525
Tokens
Since it is Christmas and all, any chance you post the plays a little earlier than usual? ;)
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
Messages
20,188
Tokens
Since it is Christmas and all, any chance you post the plays a little earlier than usual? ;)


ok



because its X-mas....All my plays for the day will be seen 10 min's before the early games

All 5 plays

Best to all Ace


 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
Messages
20,188
Tokens
All my plays this week

NYJ+1 +116.................................$600.00....SYSTEM PLAY

BALT-3.5 EV.................................$2500.00...SYSTEM PLAY

KC-5 -104....................................$2000.00

TB-6 -106.....................................$600.00

NYG +3 +102.................................$500.00


BEST TO ALL

ACE
 

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