23 of the 44 games, the QB has been MVP. 5 of the last 10. 7 of the last 12, so basically just over 50% any way you slice it.
It's a marginally better bet to take Ben as MVP, but not sure how much you can get down on that and I wouldn't be happy if Pitt wins and Ben doesn't!
Pitt can win running or on D.
If GB wins, Rogers is a near lock in my opinion to win MVP so if I was betting GB I would only bet Rogers.