Future 50: Top Rankings For Young Players

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hacheman@therx.com
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Future 50: Gerrit Cole is No. 1

The UCLA pitcher overtakes Anthony Rendon for the top spot in the rankings

By Keith Law


One month into the Division I season, there has been a lot of movement right up to the top of the rankings, based not just on performance but on new looks at players -- some better, some worse. Conference play in college began last weekend, while cold-weather high schools all start next week, so by the next update we should have everyone playing and the best college players facing good competition on a regular basis.


As always, this is a ranking, not a prediction of where players will be drafted. It's way, way too early to make any sort of prediction, as teams aren't close to narrowing their preference lists at this point.




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1.jpg
Gerrit Cole
RHP
6-4
220
26.gif


Analysis: Cole came out of the chute with a vastly improved changeup but took a week or two to build up to his normal velocity. At this point, he's seen as the top player in the draft, not just by me but by the majority of scouts and executives with whom I've spoken. That may change, but if Cole keeps throwing as he has been the last few outings he'll make it very hard for any team to pass on him. Previous Ranking: 3



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Anthony Rendon
3B
6-0
190
242.gif


Analysis: Still bothered by a sore shoulder and still struggling with timing at the plate. Previous Ranking: 1



3.jpg
Bubba Starling
CF/P
6-5
195
hs.jpg


Analysis: Edgerton Gardner High School's season starts on Monday. Previous Ranking: 4



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Danny Hultzen
LHP
6-3
200
258.gif


Analysis: I don't believe Hultzen will be the fourth-best player in this draft when we get to June, but right now he's performing and showing a grade-better fastball, while others expected to go in this range have stumbled. Previous Ranking: 19



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Sonny Gray
RHP
5-11
180
238.gif


Analysis: Had one off week in front of a lot of scouts but has been topping out at 96-97 his last few times out. Previous Ranking: 5


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6.jpg
Dylan Bundy
RHP
6-1
205
hs.jpg


Analysis: One scout, who saw Bundy (Owasso/Owasso Okla.) recently, called him "sick" (as in "good," not "infected"). He has added a cutter that he uses like a changeup, giving him a legitimate chance for four pitches. But can his small-ish frame handle the heavy workload he endures? Previous Ranking: 13

7.jpg
Taylor Guerrieri
RHP
6-3
180
hs.jpg


Analysis: The biggest riser so far in this year's draft, consistently in the mid-90s with a potential out-pitch breaking ball for Spring Valley H.S. (Columbia, S.C.). Previous Ranking: 48

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Francisco Lindor
SS
5-11
170
hs.jpg


Analysis: Lindor (Montverde Academy/ Montverde, Fla.) is the best shortstop in the draft, could go as high as No. 2 and might be the biggest lock after Cole to go in the top 10. Previous Ranking: 8

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Blake Swihart
C
6-1
175
hs.jpg


Analysis: Swihart (Cleveland/Rio Rancho, N.M.) is playing multiple positions this spring, but most teams still see him as a catcher who, by the way, is a switch-hitter with power and athleticism. Previous Ranking: 10

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Jed Bradley
LHP
6-4
224
59.gif


Analysis: Has come out firing bullets, starting to silence questions about his performance last spring. If he keeps this up all season, he could easily end up in the top 5. Previous Ranking: 12

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Taylor Jungmann
RHP
6-6
220
251.gif


Analysis: He's been almost untouchable so far, but the concerns are the finish to his delivery and his once-again heavy workload (34.2 innings across four starts; averaging 8 2/3 innings per start). Previous Ranking: 11

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Matt Purke
LHP
6-4
180
2628.gif


Analysis: He'll either go well before this or well after it; I'm splitting the difference. He's come back slowly from a blister on his throwing hand that caused him to miss a week but will show flashes of three above-average pitches. Previous Ranking: 7

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Archie Bradley
RHP
6-3
215
hs.jpg


Analysis: Bradley (Broken Arrow/Broken Arrow, Okla.) came out of the chute a little slow -- not bad but not the dominant guy we saw last summer. The physicality and history of big stuff (mid-90s with a plus curveball) will keep him in the middle of the round, even if he doesn't tick up, but I could see him returning to form in the state playoffs in May and causing a big scramble among teams drafting in the 5-15 range. Previous Ranking: 9

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Matt Barnes
RHP
6-4
203
41.gif


Analysis: Has been inconsistent week-to-week -- sometimes up to 97 mph on the fastball with a hammer curveball, sometimes a grade below on both pitches with fringy command -- and he keeps throwing a slider that makes scouts reach for the sani-bag. Previous Ranking: 6

15.jpg
Andrew Susac
C
6-1
205
204.gif


Analysis: Already had power and could catch and throw, but a cleaned-up swing gives him a better chance to hit for average. Previous Ranking: 18

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Mikie Mahtook
OF
6-1
192
99.gif


Analysis: A legit center fielder who can run, throw and hit for some power. I wouldn't be shocked to see him go in the top-10 picks. Previous Ranking: 38

17.jpg
Daniel Norris
LHP
6-2
180
hs.jpg


Analysis: Norris (Science Hill/Johnson City, Tenn.) sat 91-92 in his first outing, touching 95, with two above-average secondary pitches. Previous Ranking: 21

18.jpg
Dillon Howard
RHP
6-2
200
hs.jpg


Analysis: Howard (Searcy/Searcy, Ark.) has one start under his belt but was only 87-92 mph. Hard to move him too much on just one outing, but it wasn't quite what scouts expected. Previous Ranking: 14

19.jpg
Anthony Meo
RHP
6-2
185
324.gif


Analysis: Very impressive when I saw him, hitting 96 mph frequently with great arm speed. He threw well across his body in high school, and whoever cleaned him up deserves a lot of credit for creating a first-round arm. Previous Ranking: 35

20.jpg
Jackie Bradley Jr.
CF
5-10
175
2579.gif


Analysis: I'm hearing doubts about his ability to stay in center, which would be fatal to his first-round hopes, as he doesn't have power and is a below-average runner. That said, I've seen him play center extremely well and would project him to stay there without hesitation. Previous Ranking: 15

21.jpg
Josh Bell
OF
6-3
190
hs.jpg


Analysis: Switch-hitter Bell (Dallas Jesuit/ Dallas) is all bat. He'll end up in left field, but you can dream on the hit and power tools still making him a star over there. Previous Ranking: 22

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Levi Michael
SS
5-10
180
153.gif


Analysis: The best college shortstop in a fairly weak field, Michael can play the position adequately, but his bat and makeup are the selling points. Previous Ranking: 26

23.jpg
Alex Meyer
RHP
6-9
220
96.gif


Analysis: Still waiting for him to make a move one way or another. Top-five overall pick stuff, but the command and results aren't there from one start to the next, although I will say the reports are generally better than they were last spring. Previous Ranking: 23

24.jpg
Nick Delmonico
C/3B
6-2
185
hs.jpg


Analysis: One of the best pure bats in the high school class, Delmonico (Farragut/Knoxville, Tenn.) will have to work to prove he can remain behind the plate, with some questions arising on his arm strength. But he can hit and could easily make it to the big leagues, even if he has to move to left or first base. Previous Ranking: 16

25.jpg
George Springer
OF
6-3
220
41.gif


Analysis: I can't see this tools set falling out of the first round, but the swinging and missing had better stop soon, unless he wants to be known as the rich man's Zach Cone. Previous Ranking: 2

26.jpg
Tyler Anderson
LHP
6-4
215
2483.gif


Analysis: Missing a lot of bats with a little more velocity than last summer. Previous Ranking: 37

27.jpg
Trevor Bauer
RHP
6-2
185
26.gif


Analysis: Has a reputation for plus stuff but didn't have that when I saw him the week after he threw 129 pitches at Nebraska, which worries me that high workloads are starting to catch up with him. It's worth mentioning that since my article on Bauer I've heard from multiple sources that the missive telling teams not to take Bauer if they intend to change his routine came from someone who didn't have the authority or permission to do so. Previous Ranking: 25

28.jpg
Jose Fernandez
RHP
6-4
215
hs.jpg


Analysis: Up to 98 mph with improved secondary stuff. Fernandez (Alonso/Tampa, Fla.) defected from Cuba in 2007 and is on the old side for a high school player, as he will turn 19 shortly after the draft. Previous Ranking: 39

29.jpg
Joe Ross
RHP
6-2
170
hs.jpg


Analysis: Ross (Bishop O'Dowd/Oakland, Calif.) is up to 94 with a delivery that scouts love, unlike his brother Tyson's. Showed very well in front of a huge crowd of scouts when his school faced Tyler Goeddel's. Previous Ranking: 41

30.jpg
Tyler Beede
RHP
6-4
200
hs.jpg


Analysis: First outing for Lawrence Academy (Groton, Mass.) will likely be next week. Previous Ranking: 27

31.jpg
Austin Hedges
C
6-1
185
hs.jpg


Analysis: Hedges (Junipero Serra/San Mateo, Calif.) is the best catch-and-throw prep catcher in the country, with some questions on his bat and a lot of rumors about his unsignability. Previous Ranking: 28

32.jpg
Robert Stephenson
RHP
6-2
185
hs.jpg


Analysis: Stephenson (Alhambra/Alhambra, Calif.) has a good frame and two average or better pitches with some violence in the delivery. Previous Ranking: 42

33.jpg
Javier Baez
SS
6-1
205
hs.jpg


Analysis: I know of at least one national guy who rates Baez (Arlington Country Day School/Jacksonville, Fla.) over Lindor because of Baez' greater ability to impact the game with his bat. Previous Ranking: NR

34.jpg
Travis Harrison
3B
6-2
215
hs.jpg


Analysis: Perhaps SoCal's best pure bat among preps, Harrison (Tustin/Aliso Viejo, Calif.) can hit and should hit for power, but he's somewhat slow-twitch and could be ticketed for first base. Previous Ranking: 30

35.jpg
Alex Dickerson
LF
6-3
225
84.gif


Analysis: Dickerson can hit and shows big, raw power in BP but will be limited defensively to left field or first base. His bat right now looks good enough to profile at either spot. Previous Ranking: 29

36.jpg
Henry Owens
LHP
6-5
180
hs.jpg


Analysis: Owens (Edison/Huntington Beach, Calif.) has a solid, average fastball, above-average changeup, good feel, great deception and a good body but not the cleanest arm action. Previous Ranking: 24

37.jpg
Michael Kelly
RHP
6-3
185
hs.jpg


Analysis: Kelly (West Boca Raton/Boca Raton, Fla.) is a University of Florida commit with a tall, projectable frame, up to 93 mph comfortably now but with more in there. Needs to make better use of his height to stay on top of the ball. Previous Ranking: 32

38.jpg
Andrew Chafin
LHP
6-2
210
2309.gif


Analysis: Chafin missed last year after Tommy John surgery but is lighting it up as a redshirt sophomore, running it up to 94 mph regularly, although he's working shorter outings as he comes back from the operation. Previous Ranking: NR

39.jpg
Jason Esposito
3B
6-2
205
238.gif


Analysis: Slider-speed bat and busy lower half trumps the potential power and above-average defense at third. Previous Ranking: 20

40.jpg
Brian Goodwin
CF
6-1
170
210MiamiCC.jpg


Analysis: The industry ran the other way on Goodwin early in the year, but he's played better of late. An upcoming series against Indian River will attract a huge crowd of scouts and give him a chance to reestablish himself as a first-round talent. Main criticism of late has been of his defense in center. Previous Ranking: 17

41.jpg
Tyler Goeddel
OF
6-4
175
hs.jpg


Analysis: Younger brother of Mets farmhand Erik and son of biotech pioneer David Goeddel, Tyler's (Saint Francis/Mountain View, Calif.) main drawback now is lack of strength, with a frame he should grow into over the next few years. Previous Ranking: 45

42.jpg
Shawon Dunston Jr.
OF
6-2
162
hs.jpg


Analysis: Area Code Games' standout Dunston (Valley Christian/Cerritos, Calif.) has had a slow start this year, raising questions about his ability to stay in center field; in a corner, he's a lot less interesting. Previous Ranking: 36

43.jpg
Brandon Nimmo
OF
6-2
185
hs.jpg


Analysis: Nimmo's high school (East/Cheyanne, Wyo.) doesn't have a baseball team, but he'll play and travel with a Legion team starting the first week of April. Previous Ranking: 43

44.jpg
Cory Spangenberg
SS
6-0
184
IRSC_55x55.jpg


Analysis: The VMI transfer can hit but is still trying to prove he'll stay at third base in pro ball. Previous Ranking: 50

45.jpg
Charles Tilson
OF
6-0
175
hs.jpg


Analysis: First game for New Trier (Winnetka, Ill.) is Monday. Previous Ranking: 46

46.jpg
James McCann
C
6-3
210
8.gif


Analysis: Second-best college catcher in the class has a simple line-drive swing and makes a ton of contact. Previous Ranking: NR

47.jpg
Kevin Comer
RHP
6-4
215
hs.jpg


Analysis: The third Vanderbilt commit on this list (after Beede and Dunston), Comer (Seneca/Vincetown, N.J.) has saw his velocity tick up as his body matured this spring. Comer, Beede and New Hampshire right-hander Jordan Cote (Winnisquam Regional) could give the Northeast three prep arms selected in the first two rounds. ESPN Rise just profiled Comer last week. Previous Ranking: NR

48.jpg
John Stilson
RHP
6-3
195
245.gif


Analysis: Starter with three pitches but projects as a reliever because of an arm action that elicits reviews like "ow." Has touched 99 mph out of the pen in prior years. Previous Ranking: TTW

49.jpg
Kyle Winkler
RHP
5-11
201
2628.gif


Analysis: Another starter who projects as a reliever but has held 92-94 mph or better working deep into games this year. Previous Ranking: NR

50.jpg
Hudson Boyd
RHP
6-2
245
hs.jpg


Analysis: Boyd (Bishop Verot/Fort Myers, Fla.) is big, strong and up to 95 mph with plus makeup and good feel already. Previous Ranking: NR

<!-- end inline 1 --><!-- begin inline 2 -->TEN TO WATCH

<TABLE><TBODY><TR class=last><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player</TD><TD>Pos.</TD><TD>School</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Kyle Crick</TD><TD>RHP</TD><TD>Sherman H.S. (Texas)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Derek Fisher</TD><TD>OF</TD><TD>Cedar Crest H.S. (Pa.) </TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Julius Gaines</TD><TD>SS</TD><TD>Luella H.S. (Ga.)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Ricy Jacquez</TD><TD>RHP</TD><TD>Franklin H.S. (Texas)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Erik Johnson</TD><TD>RHP</TD><TD>California</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Cody Kukuk</TD><TD>LHP/OF</TD><TD>Free State H.S. (Kan.)</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Blake Snell</TD><TD>LHP</TD><TD>Shorewood (Wash.) H.S.</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Trevor Story</TD><TD>SS</TD><TD>Irving (Texas) H.S.</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Austin Wood</TD><TD>RHP</TD><TD>USC</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=last><TD>--</TD><TD>Tony Zych</TD><TD>RHP</TD><TD>Louisville</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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#16 boom


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DET
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Mikie Mahtook homered (377 ft.) to deep left center

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