Baseball Talk... On going Record....Tips on capping the game

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EX BOOKIE
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Wanted to put this up before I take off in 4 hours to see my kids in Fla.

I will show my on going record...talk about games ...with the help of someone that show me how to win at baseball!! I call him Dad!!

he like to make 1-3 picks a week on the other hand I do 1-3 plays a day

I will be back on sunday after my short trip we can start.

this is your thread also...love to see a view of a game from you....

Best to all

Ace
 

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Some aspects of D3+ apply from the start of the season but it does not kick in 100% until May 20.

Target is 2 gms/wk of the 90+ played. Some wks may be 3 or 4 max.
Should do 80% which will bring in a goodly amount of coin of the realm.
Shown by ***

* = bb for gms -165 or less
** = bb of the day BUT no bet
*** = bb of the day and BET

THU - *LAA

GL to all this season

dad
 

rfb

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i tend to not play any favorites over 140.....also like to play the streaks.....take the team to do what they did they day before is most times a good strategy...

sometimes you can't play them because they are going against a top line pitcher of which there are several that you don't want to beat you....other times the line is just too high.....love getting matchups of teams going in the opposite directions.....hitting, slumps, winning and losing are contagious .....
 

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Some aspects of D3+ apply from the start of the season but it does not kick in 100% until May 20.

Target is 2 gms/wk of the 90+ played. Some wks may be 3 or 4 max.
Should do 80% which will bring in a goodly amount of coin of the realm.
Shown by ***

* = bb for gms -165 or less
** = bb of the day BUT no bet
*** = bb of the day and BET

THU - *LAA

GL to all this season

dad
Does this mean it does not fall under your 80%? Only bet the 3*?
Thanks,
Slim
 

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Does this mean it does not fall under your 80%? Only bet the 3*?
Thanks,
Slim

Only 3* qualifies toward 80%
I don't agree w/ your limitation on the line. That indicates you do not bet NHL or boxing.
Manny Pacquaio is 8/1. But that is ### in the bank. Also he should win under 11 1/2 rounds at -150. Again a good bet.
If you want to look at low lines check out North Dakota to win the Frozen Four at +100.
I got down at +125.

Over the years I have concluded that vig only raises its ugly head when a loss. The high lines are there for a reason. Except NYY which are way too high. If a high line look at the RL. Solid capping gives you good results w/ few losses.

On FRI PHI wins all last year's stats and shows Spring ERA 042 vs 900. -260 is high but I think worth betting. Also, the RL is OK here.
But of course it could go South since the loss of Utley is HUGE.

GL Look forward to your insight this season.

dad
 

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Speaking of Pacquiao, Mosley's weight on fight night and before weigh in will determine wether pac can win on stoppage or a decision, the only outcomes im quite sure about. The winning inside distance opened at +ev ( quite a surprised to me ) thought i was getting a deal eventually the line moved to where it supposed to sitting at -140. Anyway, the 80% is very promising and would keep eye on those plays. Thnks
 

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Weather may play a big factor this Friday night in Philly. We're staring at a Nor'Easter due to hit us tonight into Friday. Should be mostly rain in Philly with possible snow in the northern counties. Knowing the past history of the Phillies they'll play if its raining lightly to try and get this game in.
 

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Fwiw the Dunkel Index was 100% on totals for the first day of baseball, 6-0
 

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Hey Dad, I heard many great things about your baseball knowledge.
I have two questions:

1. Are you will to teach a new student?

2. Are you going to post here on a regular basis?

Thanks
 

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Hey Dad, I heard many great things about your baseball knowledge.
I have two questions:

1. Are you will to teach a new student?

2. Are you going to post here on a regular basis?

Thanks

I will post on a regular basis. Generally 3:30-4:30 am EDT
No teaching. Just follow. Too complicated and I keep adding and deleting as the season goes on.

dad
 

EX BOOKIE
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SAT **LAA

GL dad

you are 1-0 in the bets and 2-1 with your edges
to start the season I'm also 2-1 with the Bets +2.5 units
as I'm the grasshooper I dont do every thing you do...you show me
the moves and I change it up a bit
you like FLA and you won...I like Phi only with the r/l and come up 1/2 run short
on the other hand you did not like TOR at all and I did base on other factors

Diff road the same system.....

I have just send you a password to see my plays every day...use me as a tool to make your game better...by are self we have both found away to win Baseball
each year...TOGETHER WE MAY MAKE MORE PROFIT.

SON
 

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I'm a looonnnggggg time Phillies fan and live 20 minutes from Citizens Bank Park. If I can be of any help as far as weather reports, injury reports, certain trends like hitting streaks or position changes I be glad to help. FYI, the field direction in CBP is; Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia
Home to Center (S – N)

It only takes a 10mph wind to start causing a routine fly ball to become a HR. The stronger the wind the more likely you'll see more HR's.
Love to be able to contribute, just let me know.


 

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BTW, todays game forecast
36° but will
Feels like: 25° Humidity: NA
Wind: W 14mph
 

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