Iced's 2011 MLB Plays

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MLB betting is a grind. There are 2,430 games -- which means there is plenty of opportunity for action, but also plenty of opportunity to blow your money on a game just because you feel like it. It's awfully easy to succumb to chasing or any other number of ways to flush your money down the toilet. However, staying consistent with similar units bet on each game is one of many keys to coming out profitable in MLB. No need to bet half your bankroll just because you're on a tough losing streak. Reconsidering strategies and lowering your unit size is what you want to do when you're losing, you don't want to bet irresponsibly.

The purpose of my thread will be to share consistent winners with the forum. All my plays will be documented here on this thread daily.

The majority of my plays will be on the moneyline, much like everyone else. I will also sprinkle in some over/unders and plays on the -1 runline.

If any of you have questions or comments, don't hesitate to speak up! This is my first post on RX, but I've been lurking here for quite some time now. So, again, any input in this thread would be appreciated -- whether it be advice, chit-chat, tailing my plays, or just comments, questions, concerns in general.

Let's hope for a profitable MLB season for all. :103631605

Please note, my preseason power rankings and divisional predictions have absolutely no impact on how I cap individual games. They are just for fun and discussion really.

Preseason Power Rankings
1.) Boston Red Sox
2.) New York Yankees
3.) San Francisco Giants
4.) Atlanta Braves
5.) Philadelphia Phillies
6.) Texas Rangers
7.) Minnesota Twins
8.) Cincinnati Reds
9.) Chicago White Sox
10.) Milwaukee Brewers
11.) Colorado Rockies
12.) Tampa Bay Rays
13.) Detroit Tigers
14.) Oakland Athletics
15.) St. Louis Cardinals
16.) Los Angeles Dodgers
17.) Los Angeles Angels
18.) Florida Marlins
19.) Baltimore Orioles
20.) Chicago Cubs
21.) Toronto Blue Jays
22.) New York Mets
23.) San Diego Padres
24.) Washington Nationals
25.) Seattle Mariners
26.) Cleveland Indians
27.) Arizona Diamondbacks
28.) Houston Astros
29.) Kansas City Royals
30.) Pittsburgh Pirates

Preseason Divisional Predictions

AL West
1.) Texas Rangers
2.) Oakland Athletics
3.) Los Angeles Angels
4.) Seattle Mariners

AL Central
1.) Minnesota Twins
2.) Chicago White Sox
3.) Detroit Tigers
4.) Cleveland Indians
5.) Kansas City Royals

AL East
1.) Boston Red Sox
2.) New York Yankees
3.) Tampa Bay Rays
4.) Baltimore Orioles
5.) Toronto Blue Jays

NL West
1.) San Francisco Giants
2.) Colorado Rockies
3.) Los Angeles Dodgers
4.) San Diego Padres
5.) Arizona Diamondbacks

NL Central
1.) Cincinnati Reds
2.) Milwaukee Brewers
3.) St. Louis Cardinals
4.) Chicago Cubs
5.) Houston Astros
6.) Pittsburgh Pirates

NL East
1.) Atlanta Braves
2.) Philadelphia Phillies
3.) Florida Marlins
4.) New York Mets
5.) Washington Nationals
 

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Opening Day Plays --- March 31, 2011

(1x) Detroit Tigers (ML) +138
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (-1 RL) -109

I've been waiting for this day to come for a while now, and it's finally here! Let's start this season off well!
 

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Love the Tigers! May wait for more plus money though, because the public loves the Yanks.

Best of luck!
 

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Opening Day Plays --- March 31, 2011
(1x) Detroit Tigers (ML) +138 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (-1 RL) -109 ----- WIN (+1x)

I went 1-1 today, breaking even to start the season.

I didn't anticipate the bullpens to be such a problem. The Tigers bullpen essentially lost the game. And the Angels bullpen (using five relief pitchers) almost lost the game as well once Jered Weaver left the game after throwing a strong outing himself.

I will probably post my plays for tomorrow later tonight.

2011 MLB Record: 1-1 (+0.00 units)
 

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Friday, April 1, 2011

(1x) Houston Astros (+1 RL) +172
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +163
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) +112
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1.5 RL) +130


Cards like this are great, especially in the beginning of the year when dogs tend to shine. Going 2-2 will show a good profit, and I expect to at least go .500 on this card. Best of luck today.
 

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Against ya on the Marlins, but best of luck on everything else.
 

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Thanks for the kind words thus far -- xpike, volcom, and Jake.
 

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Friday, April 1, 2011
(1x) Houston Astros (+1 RL) +172 ----- PUSH
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +163 ----- WIN (+1.63x)
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) +112
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1.5 RL) +130
Tough push for the Astros there, they should have won.

Adding:
(1x) Toronto Blue Jays (ML) -119

2011 MLB Record: 2-1-1 (+1.63 units)
 

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Friday, April 1, 2011
(1x) Houston Astros (+1 RL) +172 ----- PUSH
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +163 ----- WIN (+1.63x)
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) +112 ----- WIN (+1.12x)
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1.5 RL) +130
Adding:
(1x) Toronto Blue Jays (ML) -119

Great win for the Rangers there over the Red Sox.

Adding:
(1x) San Francisco Giants (ML) +110

This will be my last play for the night.

2011 MLB Record: 3-1-1 (+2.75 units)
 

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Alright, I lied about the Giants being my final play. I am adding:

(1x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -110

The Blue Jays are up 10-0 in the fifth, all they have to do is win the ML.
The Marlins are up 5-0 in the sixth and Josh Johnson is currently pitching a no hitter, they are looking really good right now to cover the -1.5 RL at +130. :103631605
 

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Friday, April 1, 2011
(1x) Houston Astros (+1 RL) +172 ----- PUSH
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +163 ----- WIN (+1.63x)
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) +112 ----- WIN (+1.12x)
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1.5 RL) +130 --- WIN (+1.3x)
(1x) Toronto Blue Jays (ML) -119 ----- WIN (+1x)

Plays already in progress:
(1x) San Francisco Giants (ML) +110
(1x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -110


2011 MLB Record: 5-1-1 (+5.05 units)
 

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Friday, April 1, 2011
(1x) Houston Astros (+1 RL) +172 ----- PUSH
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +163 ----- WIN (+1.63x)
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) +112 ----- WIN (+1.12x)
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1.5 RL) +130 --- WIN (+1.3x)
(1x) Toronto Blue Jays (ML) -119 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) San Francisco Giants (ML) +110 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -110 ----- LOSS (-1.1x)


2011 MLB Record: 5-3-1 (+2.95 units)
 

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Saturday, April 2, 2011
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) -114

This is the only play that has jumped out at me so far. Colby Lewis pitches well in the beginning of the season (2.76 ERA in April over the past three years) and he pitches well against the Red Sox, with a 3.12 ERA lifetime ERA against the Red Sox. The current Red Sox lineup only has a .188 batting average against Lewis. John Lackey, on the other hand, pitches poorly at the beginning of the season (4.50 ERA in April over the past three years) and he pitches poorly against the Rangers, with a 5.74 lifetime ERA against them and a 6.11 lifetime ERA at the Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The current Rangers lineup has an impressive .303 batting average against Lackey. If Lackey gets pounded early, which I expect to happen, the Red Sox will have to use their sub-par bullpen, and that will only mean more bad news for the Red Sox. Take the Rangers and the slight chalk here to win back-to-back games against the Red Sox.

I will probably add more plays later today, but this is probably my favorite play of the day. I don't think I will bet more than one unit per game until the season finally kicks into full gear. The same goes with totals, they're just too unpredictable right now for me to bet on, I need more data.

Good luck today boys. :103631605

2011 MLB Record: 5-3-1 (+2.95 units)
 

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Adding:
(1x) Cleveland Indians (ML) +118
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +170


The Indians are a solid dog pick. I don't really think that the Bucs will win this game, as opposed to last game where I was confident in their victory. However, the Cubs are getting way too much respect. I'll take a +170 dog against the Cubbies any day.

Will be adding more plays later.
 

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Saturday, April 2, 2011
(1x) Cleveland Indians (ML) +118 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +170 ----- LOSS (-1x)


Adding:
(1x) Milwaukee Brewers (ML) +105
(1x) Arizona Diamondbacks (ML) +145


2011 MLB Record: 5-5-1 (+0.95x)
 

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Rangers up, Brewers down, and DBacks tied up.

Adding:
(1x) Seattle Mariners (ML) +165
 

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Saturday, April 2, 2011
(1x) Texas Rangers (ML) -114 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) Cleveland Indians (ML) +118 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Pittsburgh Pirates (ML) +170 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Milwaukee Brewers (ML) +105 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Arizona Diamondbacks (ML) +145 ----- LOSS (-1x)

(1x) Seattle Mariners (ML) +165 ----- WIN (+1.65x)

Very disappointing day. I only had one play I really liked today and that was the Rangers. I probably should have played them for more than one unit and dropped another game or two completely. I'm hoping for a strong bounce-back on Sunday. I have a few strong leans, I'll probably post my initial plays soon.


2011 MLB Record: 7-7-1 (+1.6x)
 

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