Sheens Dealer's 2011 MLB Picks

SheensDealer · Mar 31, 2011

Hey folks! Been lurking these forums for a long time, ready for the 2011 MLB action! First time post, looking to produce some winners in this thread all year. I wont be looking to play a lot of games, just small cards daily!

Opening day awaits and I'm feeling like a bi-winner today!

LAA (-139) *3
DET (+131) *1

Sabathia's last two opening day starts were no bueno and Verlander was on fire all Spring Training!

I feel really good about the Angels today, even though KC was the Spring Training champs. Weaver is heads and shoulders about Hochevar. I like the value here!

SheensDealer · Apr 1, 2011

Friday, 4/1

YTD (1-1) +2 Units

4/1
LAA (-135) *2
SEA (+100) *2

Give me a break... The reigning Cy Young is a dog! Wow, major hate for the M's!

SheensDealer · Apr 1, 2011

YTD (1-1) +2 Units

4/1
SEA (+100) *2
LAA (-135) *2

Reigning Cy Young a dog on opening day... has this ever happened?

SheensDealer · Apr 2, 2011

Ytd (2-2) +1.3u

cin (-113) *1

SheensDealer · Apr 3, 2011

YTD (3-2) +2.3U

DET (+147) *2
PIT (+174) *2

Couple dogs today. Garza had an awful spring, and Ohlendorf has proven success against CHC hitters.

I like Scherzer to continue his success against Yankees and hopefully keep the ball in the park!

SheensDealer · Apr 3, 2011

YTD (5-2) +8.72U

4/4
PIT/STL Over 9 (-110) *2

Lohse against Pirates lineup = .444 OBP
Morton against Cardinals lineup = .531 OBP

SheensDealer · Apr 4, 2011

4/4 - Adding
ATL (Series 1st 3 games) +120 *3

SheensDealer · Apr 5, 2011

(5-3) +6.72U

4/5
ATL (Series 1st 3 games) +120 *3 *Pending*
LAA (-104) *2
KC (+113) *1

Charlie Morton looked like Cy Young against the Cardinals. So glad CBB is over so I can stop wasting my money!

SheensDealer · Apr 6, 2011

Correction on total units to begin yesterday (5-3) +6.52.

Now at (7-3) +9.65U

4/6
ATL (Series 1st 3 games) (+120) *3 *Pending*
KC/CWS O9 (+100) *2
BOS (-143) *1

Depending on the line for MIL/ATL will most likely hedge and add play later.

SheensDealer · Apr 6, 2011

4/6

Hedging and adding
MIL (-106) to win *3.2U

Taking the profit of either .2 or .21.

SheensDealer · Apr 6, 2011

(9-5) +10.42U

4/7
BAL (-145) 2*

Biggest favorite I've played all year. Most likely will never play above these odds. There are other plays that I like for tomorrow depending on lines, but most likely will not be around to place them.

Mlink · Apr 7, 2011

Sheens Dealer said:
(9-5) +10.42U

4/7
BAL (-145) 2*

Biggest favorite I've played all year. Most likely will never play above these odds. There are other plays that I like for tomorrow depending on lines, but most likely will not be around to place them.

i agree penny is baddd

SheensDealer · Apr 8, 2011

(10-5) +12.42U

Lot of leans today, couldn't pull the trigger on them. One play for today.

4/8
KC/DET O9 (-105) *2

SheensDealer · Apr 9, 2011

(10-6) +10.22

Good job by Scherzer keeping the Royals in check... Hate to do this but gonna go against my Mariners

4/9
CLE (+110) *2

SheensDealer · Apr 10, 2011

(11-6) +12.22

4/10
nym (-144) *2

SheensDealer · Apr 11, 2011

(11-7) +9.34

Mets pen/offense killing me...

4/11
LAD (+102) *2
COL/NYM 1st 5 O5 (+110) *2

SheensDealer · Apr 12, 2011

(13-7) +13.58

Better day, might start betting more 1st 5 lines with so many awful pens

4/12
TEX (-128) *2
CIN (+109) *1

SheensDealer · Apr 13, 2011

(14-8) +12.02

Rangers baserunning cost a winning day. Largest card of the year

4/13
LAD/SF O3.5 1st 5 (-105) *2
KC (+161) *1
NYY -1.5 (+115) *2

and

Round Robin 2's and 3's play with each individual parlay @ *.25U. I will do this when I see 3 value plays such as today with 3 different game times (afternoon, early evening, late game). Let's hope for a 2-1 or 3-0 day! This will be seperate from my total W/L, but will keep track of these instances.

A 3-0 day would give the parlay a +5.386U.
A 2-1 day would at minimum yield +.025U, or potentially +2.84U or +3.81U.
A 1-2 or 0-3 would be -1U.

SheensDealer · Apr 14, 2011

(17-8) +17.93
(4-0) +5.636 (looked at my payout again and got a different number)
YTD +23.566

Rod Barajas made my day. Six leans for tomorrow, waiting to see lines on 1st 5 innings and where lines shift.

SheensDealer · Apr 14, 2011

4/14

KC (-130) *2 (always good to have Ace on a lean!)
PHI (-152) *2
MIN O4 Team runs (+105) *1

Sheens Dealer's 2011 MLB Picks

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