25c JoB 25 play machine variance?

bigbet1234

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• Apr 8, 2011

• #1

What could one expect the swings to be? +/- $2K?

 

douglas

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• #2

bot or not ?

 

bigbet1234

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• #3

LOL, I play like a bot.

I can honestly say, I think I am being cheated. Not mentioning the book.....yet.

douglas said:

bot or not ?

Click to expand...

 

wilheim

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• #4

Bigbet, you know I will do what I can to help you if you think it is necessary..You have my email addy, just drop me a line and I will tell you if I can help...There are a few books out there that won't deal with moderators or third party mediators but the majority will.


wiil..

 

Fishhead

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• #5

bigbet1234 said:

What could one expect the swings to be? +/- $2K?

Click to expand...

Since you are playing a -EV game, the swings would eventually extend past your entire bankroll.......................

 

DrunkenHorseplayer

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• #6

Betting $37.50 a hand on a -EV game, you could lose well over 2k very quick.

 

bigbet1234

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Fish, I get that...hno:

Over 80K hands without a Royal.

Fishhead said:

Since you are playing a -EV game, the swings would eventually extend past your entire bankroll.......................

Click to expand...

 

bigbet1234

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Yep, thanks Wil

wilheim said:

Bigbet, you know I will do what I can to help you if you think it is necessary..You have my email addy, just drop me a line and I will tell you if I can help...There are a few books out there that won't deal with moderators or third party mediators but the majority will.


wiil..

Click to expand...

 

Fishhead

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• #9

bigbet1234 said:

Fish, I get that...hno:

Over 80K hands without a Royal.

Click to expand...

That's the way VP is(and you know this)...........

You very well could hit 3 royals in your next 9000 hands though, imagine that.

 

WinWinChickenDin

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• #10

bigbet1234 said:

Fish, I get that...hno:

Over 80K hands without a Royal.

Click to expand...

(39999/40000)^80k = .1353

13.5% chance you'll play 80k VP hands w/o a RF.