Jake's Picks - MLB - April 14th

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Will update the record as soon as my plays are done feeding the bookies family tonight.

Marlins/Braves Under 8 -120
Pitchers: Nolasco/Beachy

The Marlins can't hit anyone right now and Beachy will be facing them for the first time where he's been tough to hit. Nolasco had an iffy 2010 season against the Braves but Atlanta isn't hitting well and Ricky looks like a completely different pitcher this year. 3-2 final.

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Baltimore Orioles +175
Pitchers: Arrieta/Hughes

How can you go any other way? Arrieta got rocked last time out but doesn't give up lots of homers and pitched well enough against the Yankees twice last year. Hughes is having big time velocity issues and is calling it an arm strength issue even though his pitching coach thinks he just has a windup problem to correct. Something is wrong with him and the Orioles have guys that can take advantage of that tiny New York stadium.

Mlink · Apr 13, 2011

like the orioles play, hughes looks lost right now (i know he will get it back and pitch well but right now he is too reliant on his FB and cant place it)... good value at +175

and NY is not tiny, not sure if you realized its the same dimensions for the last 50+ years... i can have this argument all day but it is not a tiny stadium, the stadium faces the opposite way and the wind blows out to RF more but not by much to make it a homerun, cano hit a ball last week that wouldve been a homer in any stadium but the wind actually HELD it up so it all depends on the wind pattern, it is not a tiny stadium...may have something to do with the yankees having a lot of homerun hitters and all of their pitchers being fly ball pitchers might have something to do with the HRs

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Mlink said:
like the orioles play, hughes looks lost right now (i know he will get it back and pitch well but right now he is too reliant on his FB and cant place it)... good value at +175

and NY is not tiny, not sure if you realized its the same dimensions for the last 50+ years... i can have this argument all day but it is not a tiny stadium, the stadium faces the opposite way and the wind blows out to RF more but not by much to make it a homerun, cano hit a ball last week that wouldve been a homer in any stadium but the wind actually HELD it up so it all depends on the wind pattern, it is not a tiny stadium...may have something to do with the yankees having a lot of homerun hitters and all of their pitchers being fly ball pitchers might have something to do with the HRs

Okay maybe it's not tiny but the wind helps HRs, they lowered the fences, and the length to the pole is not very far.

Mlink · Apr 13, 2011

they didnt lower the fences, the poles are the same...it is the exact same stadium dimension wise, warning track wise, wall size, pole length you name it...all the same

except the way the stadium is facing may aid some HRs, but when the yanks got the new stadium they also signed swisher to play RF and tex to play 1B and an emerging star in cano by the way who all swing lefty

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Detroit Tigers +135
Pitchers: Gio/Coke

Gio Gonzalez should have a decent enough outing but Phil Coke should also be able to duel him pitch for pitch. The converted reliever walks too many batters but Oakland hasn't been drawing walks and they haven't been hitting either. Detroit has the better offense and this one could go either way.

Mlink · Apr 13, 2011

but anyway GOODLUCK i really like the Os play and i think i will be on it as well, never bet against my yanks but i like the play

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Mariners/Royals Under 8.5 -110
Pitchers: Fister/Chen

It's a bit iffy betting on Chen because he could implode at any time, but the Mariners can't hit anything and Chen pitched very well last year. Fister has pitched very solid this year and KC is hitting decently but aren't a team that generally scores huge runs. I think Chen and Fister do well enough to keep this under.

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Mlink said:
they didnt lower the fences, the poles are the same...it is the exact same stadium dimension wise, warning track wise, wall size, pole length you name it...all the same

except the way the stadium is facing may aid some HRs, but when the yanks got the new stadium they also signed swisher to play RF and tex to play 1B and an emerging star in cano by the way who all swing lefty

Used to be 8' and 10' down the lines. 10' got lowered to 8'. You are right though... Yankees have signed guys that excel in that stadium, and pitchers that suit their needs also.

Mlink · Apr 13, 2011

k i wont argue with you about 2 inches, i do not think that is gonna cause the HR total to go up, maybe 1 or 2 a year but i doubt it will be a big significance in the long run...really it is just the maturation of cano, signing of tex, swish, granderson... having fly ball pitchers, etc etc, its not the stadium

anyway goodluck jake hope all is well man!

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Mlink said:
k i wont argue with you about 2 inches, i do not think that is gonna cause the HR total to go up, maybe 1 or 2 a year but i doubt it will be a big significance in the long run...really it is just the maturation of cano, signing of tex, swish, granderson... having fly ball pitchers, etc etc, its not the stadium

anyway goodluck jake hope all is well man!

2 feet brother. Good luck to you as well. Having big-time hitters definitely helps the stats. Agreed.

Mlink · Apr 13, 2011

nooooooooooooooooooooo... i thought you mistyped that, its not 2 feet... show me where you see that and what part of the park is 2 feet difference from the last park

i have season tickets and go to 60 games a year and ive talked to stadium officials in the yanks org and they said the stadium is the EXACT same dimensions nothing has changed... but anyway i wont argue with you about it, it is a hitters ballpark but it mainly is a lefty hitters park and the yankees have a ton of them and it seems like every year teams always have a dominant lefty hitter, jays have a few, sox have many, orioles have 2, rays had a bunch last year... that is why the HR total was up

JakeT. · Apr 13, 2011

Mlink said:
nooooooooooooooooooooo... i thought you mistyped that, its not 2 feet... show me where you see that and what part of the park is 2 feet difference from the last park

i have season tickets and go to 60 games a year and ive talked to stadium officials in the yanks org and they said the stadium is the EXACT same dimensions nothing has changed... but anyway i wont argue with you about it, it is a hitters ballpark but it mainly is a lefty hitters park and the yankees have a ton of them and it seems like every year teams always have a dominant lefty hitter, jays have a few, sox have many, orioles have 2, rays had a bunch last year... that is why the HR total was up

Dimensions are the same, I'm saying one of the walls got lowered.

JakeT. · Apr 14, 2011

Jake T. said:
Baltimore Orioles +175
Pitchers: Arrieta/Hughes

How can you go any other way? Arrieta got rocked last time out but doesn't give up lots of homers and pitched well enough against the Yankees twice last year. Hughes is having big time velocity issues and is calling it an arm strength issue even though his pitching coach thinks he just has a windup problem to correct. Something is wrong with him and the Orioles have guys that can take advantage of that tiny New York stadium.

Fuck I hate baseball season so far. My nearly 2/1 dog gets up 5-0 and the Yankees don't have a hit in the 5th. Then they lose in extra innings. I can't catch a damn break.

Mlink · Apr 14, 2011

yeah that was rough... its hard to bet against the yankees though with that lineup

but i will tell you this i wouldve put my money on the Os tonight, yanks just didnt give up there and would not go down.. colon and joba were very good

youll get em tomorrow jake

JakeT. · Apr 14, 2011

Mlink said:
yeah that was rough... its hard to bet against the yankees though with that lineup

but i will tell you this i wouldve put my money on the Os tonight, yanks just didnt give up there and would not go down.. colon and joba were very good

youll get em tomorrow jake

I just wish my losses were 15-0 blowouts instead of having the team I bet on constantly blow it in the last inning. I can handle the blowouts...

Mlink · Apr 14, 2011

you won the royals play and still have the detroit play pending...you will get em, i mean i have the As but still one of us will win, goodluck

JakeT. · Apr 14, 2011

Mlink said:
you won the royals play and still have the detroit play pending...you will get em, i mean i have the As but still one of us will win, goodluck

This is how I'm running... 5 runs heading into the 8th. My under 8.5 is looking nice. The game got called early... no action. FML.

Jake's Picks - MLB - April 14th

Search

JakeT.

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

Mlink

New member

JakeT.

New member

Forum statistics

Share this page