Jake's Picks - MLB - April 19th

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

Record: 16-25 -10.25

Finally had a winning day last time out.

Chicago White Sox +101
Pitchers: Danks/Shields

Tampa already can't hit without Longoria and now Damon is probably gonna miss. Danks should go 7+ in a nice effort. Shields is an okay enough pitcher but he's HR-prone and the White Sox have enough big hitters to take advantage.

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

Toronto Blue Jays -101
Pitchers: Burnett/Drabek

I had this one at -140 or so and think the Blue Jays win. They haven't been hitting lately but they do great at home and they killed Burnett in 3 of 4 starts last season. AJ is healthier this time around but he's still a high HR guy that tends to struggle on the road. The Yankees don't have A-Rod in the lineup today and Drabek has been outstanding and even pitched well against New York last year. Just to really bring this home, Burnett has started 3 times in Toronto in the last 2 seasons. He's gone 16.2 innings, given up 20 hits, 9 walks, 6 homers, and and 18 earned runs.

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

Reds/Diamondbacks Over 9.5 -110
Pitchers: LeCure/Galarraga

Galarraga serves up home runs at a crazy rate and Cincy can absolutely mash in their home park. LeCure has pitched well this season but he's no stud and the Diamondbacks are one of the hottest offenses in baseball. Arizona's bullpen will give up a few runs late and this total should fly over. I had it set at 10 with the over looking at -115 to -120 juice.

barnzy32 · Apr 19, 2011

Jake T. said:
Reds/Diamondbacks Over 9.5 -110
Pitchers: LeCure/Galarraga

Galarraga serves up home runs at a crazy rate and Cincy can absolutely mash in their home park. LeCure has pitched well this season but he's no stud and the Diamondbacks are one of the hottest offenses in baseball. Arizona's bullpen will give up a few runs late and this total should fly over. I had it set at 10 with the over looking at -115 to -120 juice.

On it as well! glad to see you had them. I love your write ups Jake. Thanks for all your effort.

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

barnzy32 said:
On it as well! glad to see you had them. I love your write ups Jake. Thanks for all your effort.

Thanks man. Best of luck today. This total is my favorite play on the card so far. Looks easy.

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

Kansas City Royals -1.5 +168
Pitchers: Chen/Gomez

Bruce Chen is always iffy to bet on but the Indians are expected to rest Sizemore and Hafner, so you have to like his chances to continue his hot streak. Gomez was shit in spring ball and is nothing more than a stopgap at this point in his career. The Royals are hitting well and I think they put up some nice runs against him. I thought about playing the Royals at -120 but the +168 seemed to have more value in my head.

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

The Dodgers would usually be a play but I just have a bad feeling for some reason. Going to lay off.

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

That's the card folks. Best of luck.

punter · Apr 19, 2011

Good luck Jake.

METFAN · Apr 19, 2011

I like the yanks..but the rest of your card looks great..good luck tonight :toast:

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

Thanks guys. It's time to win some cash. Go CHW!

JakeT. · Apr 19, 2011

Danks has no command right now. Fucker better start throwing better.

JakeT. · Apr 20, 2011

My year of not catching a break continues. Royals are up 5-0 in the late innings and can't win by more than 1. Reds/DBacks have 8 runs after 6 and can't get over 9.5. CHW holds the Rays to 2 runs and doesn't win. At least Toronto won. Just not my year to catch some breaks...

Jake's Picks - MLB - April 19th

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