Hey guys, I am new to betting baseball. I noticed in 2010 only 1 team in all of baseball had a worse record on the road than at home (the Cubs). Many teams performed significantly better at home than on the road (Pirates 40-41 at home vs 17-64 on the road). This got me thinking that I should bet mostly on home teams. I read that it's not smart to bet on teams that are too heavily favored so I was thinking of betting home teams in the -150 to +170 range. Is this a theory that could work? Thanks in advance for your thoughts.
Generally speaking, home teams do have an advantage over the away teams. The problem is Vegas already adjusts the odds based on this. For example, a slight dog playing at home would be a big dog playing the same team(same lineups, pitchers, etc.) on the road. In my opinion, you have to find a happy medium.
