Sheen's 1st Inning Chase Plays

SheensDealer · May 1, 2011

Of all the plays I have played this year, I feel most confident and comfortable making these plays.

More thoughts on this:

At max, I can sit and sweat through 15 mintues of a game and enjoy the other 2 hours. Works out wonderfully for me. I dont have to worry about bullpens blowing leads or struggling offenses failing to light up a gas can.

Juice is rarely over -150. Typical play is -115. Can play +100-+160.

Anywhere from 3-7 wins can be made a day. I would like to average 10 units a week.

Tomorrow there will be 4 plays (4 different start times).

Lets earn some money.

5/1

NYM/PHI No Score 1st Inning (-140)

thenatti · May 1, 2011

Are you chasing or just making straight plays?

WorldNumberOne · May 1, 2011

total agreement.. its the best prop ever offered ..

SheensDealer · May 2, 2011

thenatti,
Yes, it will be a chase. Will keep several records if you wish to play S/U.

World Number One,
Glad you agree. Why cap nine innings when you can only cap one?

Went 5-1 yesterday, +5U. Only posted one in thread, will only count that towards record.
NYY/TOR No - L
SFO/WAS No - W
KAN/MIN No -W
PIT/COL No - W
TEX/OAK Yes - W
NYM/PHI No - W

(1-0) +1U

Sawyer · May 2, 2011

Nice start, GL Tomorrow!

I like this prop too. Nothing feels like cashing your ticket in 10 minutes, lol.

slimdog · May 2, 2011

Just started betting these about a month ago. Seem to have better luck on the no's with high juce. Juce isn't as high as games though. What do you look at? Over and understand, pitchers, offense, and what else? Looking forward to this thread!

WorldNumberOne · May 2, 2011

some 1st inning fun facts :

teams scoring very few 1st inning runs :

balt 4
minn 2
sd 3

teams giving up very few 1st inning runs

phil 2
sf 3
oak 3
det 4
balt 5
clev 5

cincy is 14-2 at home on the " yes " 21-7 overall " yes "
colorado is 10-3 on the road " yes "
florida is 9-2 on the road " yes "

wash is 12-3 at home on the " no "

WorldNumberOne · May 2, 2011

minnesota is 8-19 overall to the " no "
they havent scored a run in game 1 , 3 or 4 of any series
game 3 and 4 of any series is 0-9 to the " no "

WorldNumberOne · May 2, 2011

if chasing is your game then these teams have had a yes in all 9 series this year

kc
nyy
arz
atl
cin
col
mil
la dodgers

these teams have had a " no " in all 9

det
min
seat
tex
la dodgers

WorldNumberOne · May 2, 2011

not trying to hijack your thread with my own stuff , but based on my calculations here is how a few series should play out if your chasing. looking forward to see if you agree ...

laa/bos no
min/cws no
bal / kc no
clev / oak no

was/phil no
sf/nym no
fla / stl yes
pitt /sd no

WorldNumberOne · May 2, 2011

col / arz should probably get a " yes " in their series

ariz is 12-4 at home to the " yes "
col is 10-3 on the road to the " yes "

thenatti · May 2, 2011

Is the thought to chase in a single day the time slots as well as chase series?

SheensDealer · May 2, 2011

World Number One,
thanks for the info! That's a lot to be considered, haven't looked to much into first innings trends/series trends. To me some are just coincidences, whereas others are solid information. Teams scoring little in first/teams giving up little in first mean something to me. But I believe this falls into what I cap based on the lineup/SP.

Thenatti,
The thought is to chase in time slots. Obviously If I miss several in a row I will skip time slots to a better play. This may result in skipping several slots. The plays I posted in my season long thread I had confidence in, and had it not been for the other plays would have been high units. It end up by coincidence that I chase games in the series, but not by intention.

Both,
Normally I pay less attention to series trends, and more so to SP vs the first 5 batters per lineup. I imagine most of my plays will be 'No' with juice around -115 to -140. This idea came from a thread in another forum where they play the highest '+' play in that time slot for one unit blindly. Believe it or not it was highly successful. My goal is to beat his goals, since I'm actually capping these. If that happens I'll be really really happen. (His goal/actual really made me interested in this.)

SheensDealer · May 2, 2011

5/2
Legs Won (1-0) +1U
Overall Record (1-0)

3:35 PM TEX/OAK No Score 1st Inning (-130)

Toss up here. Little info on McCarthy.

thenatti · May 2, 2011

Weiner!

SheensDealer · May 2, 2011

Didn't see it, not sure how Ellis didn't score after lead off double and at third with one out. Will take it, though.

Legs Won (2-0) +2U
Overall Record (2-0)

7:10 PM LAA/BOS No Score 1st Inning (-115)

slimdog · May 2, 2011

-115? I got -140! Been like that all day. Would giants/nats be better for me at -125?

SheensDealer · May 2, 2011

slim dog said:
-115? I got -140! Been like that all day. Would giants/nats be better for me at -125?

I use 5dimes. It's still at -115 there. Up to you. My play is with LAA/BOS, and is a stronger play IMO than the 3:35 play.

thenatti · May 2, 2011

slim dog...some sites offer much better lines on these prop bets. what site you betting at?

SheensDealer · May 2, 2011

Just a heads up, will be busy tonight from 7-8 EST. Dont know if I will have my play in/posted before the start of the 8:10/8:15 games, but I hope so.