Unders on the Rocks and cincy games

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I have never really posted plays on the forums before, but I was wondering what some other handicappers were thinking about these plays...

Rocks / D backs
Kennedy has a home era of 4.23 and J Hammel has an away era of 2.13...I know these two teams can smash the ball but I had the line at 9...I just figured that the under was at least a look...I am still trying to figure out who is umping this game BH home plate, but looks like it could be a play for me.

as for the Cincy stros game-
If Hallion is BH home plate here he is an under ump. I think 5-0 in the under, with an average of about 5.75 runs a gamess (dont quote me on that)...Bailey is traditionally an under guy when at home, and the cincy bats have been struggling a bit. Myers throws under the total as well. The only thing that scares me here is Bailey is fresh off the DL, and I have noticed that doesnt fare well for pitchers this year, as far as my memory serves me (and thats not very far) Morrow has been the best in his first game back from the DL, and he is superior to Bailey. Nevertheless, the line is at 8 and that seems to be a decent number to me.

I am just throwing it out there. Please let me know what your thoughts are...( perfectly ok to call me an idiot, I dont mind-especially if it sways me to not loose $)
 

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Here are some trends for Hallion but once again these are only trends


  • Road team is 4-0 in Hallions last 4 Thursday games behind home plate.
  • Under is 5-0 in Hallions last 5 Thursday games behind home plate.
  • Home team is 5-1 in Hallions last 6 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hallions last 5 games behind home plate.
  • Under is 6-2 in Hallions last 8 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
  • Road team is 5-2 in Hallions last 7 games behind home plate.
  • Home team is 7-3 in Hallions last 10 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
  • Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Hallion behind home plate.
 

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ok so I am liking the under even more now...thanks for that info! Baileys return scaring anyone?
 

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