Heat were -200 for series vs Bulls and Bulls favored by 2 in game 1 ??

5teamparlay · May 15, 2011

How does this make sense??

I assume the Bulls would be favored in 4 of the games since the homecourt and better seeding...

Was I missing something??

At best the Heat would be assumed even to start the series if not a slight dog using common sense.

I know this post is after game 1, but still Bulls would be favored on a game by game basis no matter.

Question is: what was I missing?

jonnyangel · May 15, 2011

I think they got it right for a game 1...now I believe heat will be favored in the next 3 games

barman · May 15, 2011

What you're missing (I think) is the admittedly Very Unusual national adulation with the MiamiThree and their season-long quest (since last summer) to win it all.

That pushes the Heat into a favorite role, home court advantage be damned......(that another mistake on part of JQ Public as he fails to respect the very real six to seven point swing that exists between home & away.

So the price jumps up and the money flows on Miami to push it to the -200 range

Meanwhile, it's time for Game 1 to be In Your Face....and by that I mean, it's not something that lasts two weeks...It's two and a half hours and suddenly even JQP cannot overturn the Bulls home fave role. Now we would think it worthy of more like four, 4.5 maybe even 5....But it's down to two.

Traditional NBA bettors rejoiced and leaped upon the Gift in Game 1

oldmanTED · May 16, 2011

SportsOptions is listing the Bulls as a 1.5 point favorite in Game 2 at 5Dimes.

sparticus · May 16, 2011

oldmanTED said:
SportsOptions is listing the Bulls as a 1.5 point favorite in Game 2 at 5Dimes.

Also listed at -115 to best of seven.

jonnyangel · May 16, 2011

oldmanTED said:
SportsOptions is listing the Bulls as a 1.5 point favorite in Game 2 at 5Dimes.

grabbed Heat +1.5 already...I smell a middle. We'll see.

RobFunk · May 16, 2011

barman said:
What you're missing (I think) is the admittedly Very Unusual national adulation with the MiamiThree and their season-long quest (since last summer) to win it all.

That pushes the Heat into a favorite role, home court advantage be damned......(that another mistake on part of JQ Public as he fails to respect the very real six to seven point swing that exists between home & away.

So the price jumps up and the money flows on Miami to push it to the -200 range

Meanwhile, it's time for Game 1 to be In Your Face....and by that I mean, it's not something that lasts two weeks...It's two and a half hours and suddenly even JQP cannot overturn the Bulls home fave role. Now we would think it worthy of more like four, 4.5 maybe even 5....But it's down to two.

Traditional NBA bettors rejoiced and leaped upon the Gift in Game 1

great analysis agree with everything said here

nhoj · May 16, 2011

Chicago will be the favorite for all their home games. I am guessing 2 will be the number for Chicago games and heat will be favored by 3-4 in there home games.