I can only see red tonight...big play for me :)

Justathought · May 18, 2011

Might be the biggest play I have all season. Love the Reds tonight against a reeling Pirates team. Two teams currently going in opposite directions. A tired Pirates team on the road after losing 5 straight against the Reds whose bats are on FIRE....Reds have won 5 straight (11-2 last 13) averaging an astounding 7 runs a game over their current win streak. All the confidence, home field, and bats on the Reds today. -155 is a steal and I am not one to pass it up. Only negative is Morton has been impressive and had a 1 run complete game last time out against the Reds in April. Don't see that happening tonight. As always, anyone can be completely off on a game so always play at your own risk. For me I gotta play my gut on this one.

Risking 4 units -155
Reds ML

Good luck
JAT

Justathought · May 18, 2011

Adding Cin 1H -.5 -105 for 2 units

rolltide · May 18, 2011

Morton's the only Pirates starter I wouldn't bet against. They changed his delivery this year to shadow Halladay's and its working great.

u8 for me

Justathought · May 18, 2011

Morton has been good but I'm too afraid to take the under. On the flip side I can't take the over but I do feel ( gun to head) I would take the over here. Morton has been good but he has also been pretty lucky. Last 4 games he has given up a decent amount of hits (8 against Stros, 9 against the Rocks, 7 against the Giants, and 11 against the Fish). Those hits haven't always turned into runs but I just can't trust him against a team as hot as the Reds who also are 1st in Runs, 2nd On Base , and 4th in Slug Per. and Batt Avg Overall). Good luck as I'm avoiding the total. Hope for a 6-1 Reds win for your sake...

Justathought · May 18, 2011

0-1 and looking terrible on the game.....Pitts up 5-0 in the 7th and it looks like I was as public as it gets.....Sincere apology for anyone that followed as I also lost about 8% of my bankroll which is really upsetting. I was way off on this one. Need a miracle now.