NO - Runs 1st Inning

thesccrguy15 · May 21, 2011

I've seen people work on these systems and tracking methods and here's on that I've been working on that I feel like I'm ready to start tracking publically. It uses a variety of stats that apply to teams and pitchers. I'll continue to tweak it as we go. I play this as a martingale system, although it could be played as straight wagers.

All bets are NO - Runs in 1st Inning through Bookmaker.

Fade or follow lightly.

Record: 0-0 [0%]

Just for fun. These three games just missed being plays for various reasons (I'll keep an eye on them):

COL/MIL
DET/PIT
CIN/CLE

thesccrguy15 · May 21, 2011

CORRECTION: THERE ARE THREE GAMES TONIGHT - I GOT CAUGHT UP IN THE NUMBERS AND FORGOT THE LATE GAME!!

Record: 0-0 [0%]

thesccrguy15 · May 21, 2011

Bad first day going 1-2 and losing $105.

hno:

However, I'll keep rolling them out as just one day doesn't sway my expectations.

We're looking at up to 3 games tomorrow.. likely with only 1-2 plays.

BOL to all on their action.

SU RECORD: 1-2 [33.3%] -$105.00
CHASE RECORD: 0-0 [0%]

thesccrguy15 · May 22, 2011

Day 2

After the unlucky start; we have two games today.
Note: You'll see that neither of these are going to be CHASE games. The chases for the losses yesterday will/should come later this week depending on the teams games.

SU RECORD: 1-2 [33.3%] -$105.00
CHASE RECORD: 0-0 [0%]

Just missed being a play (by .1): DET/PIT [2-1]

Another side note; these plays went 2-1 yesterday for UNDERS; which tells me we're on the right side and this is something I track/will continue to track as well.

BOL to all today :103631605

thesccrguy15 · May 22, 2011

1-1 today.. Can't believe the A's hosed us two days in a row. First walking the lead-off man, then hitting him with a pitch - only to have him brought home each time.

SU RECORD: 2-3 [40.0%] -$135.00
CHASE RECORD: 0-0 [0%]

Our "almost plays" are now 3-1 on scoreless first innings and 3-1 on unders.

Stats on the unders to come after the games close.

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

Day 3

Added one more filter concerning ball parks.

We have two bets today, and three that are "almost bets."

SU RECORD: 2-3 [40.0%] -$135.00
CHASE RECORD: 2-0 [100%] [3 PENDING]

Almost plays:

BOS/CLE - CLE runs per game/Ball Park factor
STL/SD - STL runs per game
TOR/NYY - NYY runs per game

thenatti · May 23, 2011

Like the information...can you explain the chase record? What is the A/B/C bets?

varkeyboy · May 23, 2011

What does the "Bet A/B/C" mean? Looks good to me!

Green17 · May 23, 2011

varkeyboy said:
What does the "Bet A/B/C" mean? Looks good to me!

I am assuming it is the 1st (A) , 2nd (B) and 3rd (C) leg of the Martingale chase as opposed to just flat betting each team or play. In other words if you lose the A play you then go to the B which attempts to include that which you lost on the A plus the additional amount you hope to win.

My further assumption is that he is waiting to come back on the loser in the next series with the "B" bet, etc.

May be wrong but that's my first thought.

thenatti · May 23, 2011

Not sure how he can be 2-0 in a chase then? Just trying to understand what he is doing...but I just noticed the 3 pending, so I think I get it.

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

thenatti said:
Not sure how he can be 2-0 in a chase then? Just trying to understand what he is doing...but I just noticed the 3 pending, so I think I get it.

Yes sir. The "Chase" record shows the two games that were won as "A" bets. Those A bets that were lost (3) are pending until the next situation comes up for the B bet on that team/pitcher/scenerio.

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

Green17 said:
I am assuming it is the 1st (A) , 2nd (B) and 3rd (C) leg of the Martingale chase as opposed to just flat betting each team or play. In other words if you lose the A play you then go to the B which attempts to include that which you lost on the A plus the additional amount you hope to win.

My further assumption is that he is waiting to come back on the loser in the next series with the "B" bet, etc.

May be wrong but that's my first thought.

You are correct sir. The "B" bet will take place when the team/pitcher scenerio is right again.

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

varkeyboy said:
What does the "Bet A/B/C" mean? Looks good to me!

Please see Green 17's post

Green17 said:
I am assuming it is the 1st (A) , 2nd (B) and 3rd (C) leg of the Martingale chase as opposed to just flat betting each team or play. In other words if you lose the A play you then go to the B which attempts to include that which you lost on the A plus the additional amount you hope to win.

I'm tracking as straight bets, and as a 3 stage martingale system.

varkeyboy · May 23, 2011

Thanks man.

varkeyboy · May 23, 2011

Thank you Coke & Hellickson!!! 0-0 end of the 1st =)

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

varkeyboy said:
Thank you Coke & Hellickson!!! 0-0 end of the 1st =)

No problem - hopefully the second game goes the same way! <><>

Tread lightly; we're still in the red, but I think we'll see things turn our way as the sample size gets larger.

varkeyboy · May 23, 2011

Just getting underway in Cleveland...

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

varkeyboy said:
Just getting underway in Cleveland...

who's playing in cleveland? :coke:

haha congrats on the 2-0 day!! Hopefully more to come tomorrow. :103631605

varkeyboy · May 23, 2011

2-0!!! Bam!!!

thesccrguy15 · May 23, 2011

su record: 4-3 [57.1%] -$35.00
chase record: 4-0 [100%] +200 [3 pending]

Back with the updated unders/almost plays stats after the games are over.

BOL to all with the rest of their action today.