Yesterday 3 1 0 +4.46 Units
Last 30 Days 37 45 1 -8.40 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 65 83 1 -20.30 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
Pittsburgh +123 over CHICAGO
The Pirates are ahead of the Cubbies in the standings and they also have a better record on the road (14-12) than they do ay home (9-14). The Cubbies have been awful at home with an 11-15 mark and they seem to commit mistake after mistake at Wrigley. Then we have Randy Wells starting in place of the injured Matt Garza. Wells has been sidelined since the first week of the season with a strained forearm. He allowed six earned runs over four innings in his last rehab start and last season he didn’t come close to repeating the rookie buzz he created the previous year. All that said, he's really just not all that skilled and who knows if he’s even ready. Paul Maholm is not a 1-7 pitcher. He has an outstanding groundball/flyball profile of 51%/29% and an ERA of 3.65. That’s just unfair and while he isn’t going to dazzle, what he is going to do is throw strikes, keep the ball down and give the Bucs a chance to win. The Pirates thrive at Wrigley and against the Cubbies for some strange reason and in fact, Pittsburgh has won six of their last seven series against the Cubs including the first series this year and game one of this series yesterday. No doubt they can win again here. Play: Pittsburgh +123 (Risking 2 units).
Baltimore +130 over OAKLAND
Tyson Ross was removed from his Thursday afternoon outing vs. Minnesota (9 days ago) after seven pitches with what has been reported as an oblique strain, something which could put him on the DL for a significant period of time. The A’s were forced to make a move and they decided to go with Josh Outman. Outman has not quite returned to form after '09 Tommy John surgery, as suggested by a 4.78 ERA and a 30/27 K/BB in 38 IP in Sacramento. He did start last week at Anaheim and the pitching line looks good but don’t buy into it. He struck out just two batters, he walked three and his groundball/fly-ball rate was an ugly 32%/63%. Throw in a strand rate of 88% and it’s just a matter of time before those types of numbers cause him some big time grief. The A’s also struggle offensively with a combined BA of .239 and their 187 runs scored rank them third worst in the AL ahead of only the Twins and Mariners. The Orioles had won five straight before losing here last night. Brad Bergeson’s 59% strand rate in one of the lowest in the majors. As that normalizes his ERA will go down. Having said that, Bergeson is definitely a risk because his skill set is average at best. However, he’s a better option taking back a tag than Outman is laying one. The same can be said about the O’s offense compared with the A’s and thus the overlay is created. Play: Baltimore +130 (Risking 2 units).
if anyone wants to be in a free fantasy baseball pool for a chance to win 500.00 message me. It's an automated draft so you don't have to be online. Just set your rankings. Only 9 spots left, you'll compete against 19 others and you only have to beat one person to win a prize. Finish first and you win 500.00. Starts Monday and runs til end of August.
Last 30 Days 37 45 1 -8.40 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 65 83 1 -20.30 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
Pittsburgh +123 over CHICAGO
The Pirates are ahead of the Cubbies in the standings and they also have a better record on the road (14-12) than they do ay home (9-14). The Cubbies have been awful at home with an 11-15 mark and they seem to commit mistake after mistake at Wrigley. Then we have Randy Wells starting in place of the injured Matt Garza. Wells has been sidelined since the first week of the season with a strained forearm. He allowed six earned runs over four innings in his last rehab start and last season he didn’t come close to repeating the rookie buzz he created the previous year. All that said, he's really just not all that skilled and who knows if he’s even ready. Paul Maholm is not a 1-7 pitcher. He has an outstanding groundball/flyball profile of 51%/29% and an ERA of 3.65. That’s just unfair and while he isn’t going to dazzle, what he is going to do is throw strikes, keep the ball down and give the Bucs a chance to win. The Pirates thrive at Wrigley and against the Cubbies for some strange reason and in fact, Pittsburgh has won six of their last seven series against the Cubs including the first series this year and game one of this series yesterday. No doubt they can win again here. Play: Pittsburgh +123 (Risking 2 units).
Baltimore +130 over OAKLAND
Tyson Ross was removed from his Thursday afternoon outing vs. Minnesota (9 days ago) after seven pitches with what has been reported as an oblique strain, something which could put him on the DL for a significant period of time. The A’s were forced to make a move and they decided to go with Josh Outman. Outman has not quite returned to form after '09 Tommy John surgery, as suggested by a 4.78 ERA and a 30/27 K/BB in 38 IP in Sacramento. He did start last week at Anaheim and the pitching line looks good but don’t buy into it. He struck out just two batters, he walked three and his groundball/fly-ball rate was an ugly 32%/63%. Throw in a strand rate of 88% and it’s just a matter of time before those types of numbers cause him some big time grief. The A’s also struggle offensively with a combined BA of .239 and their 187 runs scored rank them third worst in the AL ahead of only the Twins and Mariners. The Orioles had won five straight before losing here last night. Brad Bergeson’s 59% strand rate in one of the lowest in the majors. As that normalizes his ERA will go down. Having said that, Bergeson is definitely a risk because his skill set is average at best. However, he’s a better option taking back a tag than Outman is laying one. The same can be said about the O’s offense compared with the A’s and thus the overlay is created. Play: Baltimore +130 (Risking 2 units).
if anyone wants to be in a free fantasy baseball pool for a chance to win 500.00 message me. It's an automated draft so you don't have to be online. Just set your rankings. Only 9 spots left, you'll compete against 19 others and you only have to beat one person to win a prize. Finish first and you win 500.00. Starts Monday and runs til end of August.
