Yesterday 0 0 0 0.00 Units
Last 30 Days 42 50 0 -2.76 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 91 110 1 -12.72 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
Boston +115 over TAMPA BAY
At some point the Red Sox are going to lose another game but as long as a tag is being offered on them, they’re almost an automatic play. Boston has averaged 8.2 RPG during its current nine-game winning streak, and is hitting .313/.380/.517 during June. TB’s offense has been struggling, barely averaging three runs per game during June, batting .238/.289/.343. The Red Sox just punished both the Yanks and Blue Jays and outscored Toronto in that three-game set 35-6. Tim Wakefield can go out there knowing that every time he gives up a run the offense will score two or three. Every Red Sox pitcher can relax and just throw their game. The other side of that coin is the pitchers that have to face Boston. That’s daunting enough but becomes even more so when your offense isn’t producing and that’s precisely the situation James Shields is in. Additionally, Shields is laboring at the moment, having surrendered 21 hits and 14 runs over his last three starts in 18 IP. One of those starts was in Seattle and in that game the Mariners went yard on Shields four times. After getting his clocked clean a season ago, Shields’ confidence could also be in question. Red Sox plus anything right now is as good as it gets. Play: Boston +115 (Risking 2 units).
Kansas City +153 over OAKLAND
The A’s really don’t warrant being better than a 7½-5 favorite over anyone and that includes the Royals and their rookie pitcher. For one, KC has won three of its last four and they scored 14 runs over their last two games. This is a team that is loaded with outstanding talent in the minors and they’re slowly bringing these guys up. They recently promoted Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas and Greg Holland and all three are making a difference. Danny Duffy is another outstanding prospect but is getting himself into trouble at this level. He’s made five starts and if he blows this one he’s likely going back down. Duffy has solid stuff but he’s uncharacteristically walking far too many guys. One of his strengths in the minors was his impeccable command but he’s left that down there. Duffy is able to hold his above average velocity (90-97 mph) deep into games and his deceptive delivery and arm slot keep hitters off-guard. He’s overthrowing but five games into his career and a date with the A’s can fix that real fast and he’s most certainly worth a look at this price. Trevor Cahill started the year 6-0 and is now 6-4. The A’s have lost the last six games he’s started and until recently he’s had superior results backed by mediocre skills. A low hit rate of 29% and a high strand rate of 80% has aided him greatly in keeping his ERA to 3.18. As hit % and strand % regress, Cahill’s ERA is going to rise much closer to his xERA of 3.80. Lastly, Oakland has one win in its last 13 games. Need we say more? Play: Kansas City +153 (Risking 2 units).
Last 30 Days 42 50 0 -2.76 Units
Season To Date (Since March 2011) 91 110 1 -12.72 Units
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
Boston +115 over TAMPA BAY
At some point the Red Sox are going to lose another game but as long as a tag is being offered on them, they’re almost an automatic play. Boston has averaged 8.2 RPG during its current nine-game winning streak, and is hitting .313/.380/.517 during June. TB’s offense has been struggling, barely averaging three runs per game during June, batting .238/.289/.343. The Red Sox just punished both the Yanks and Blue Jays and outscored Toronto in that three-game set 35-6. Tim Wakefield can go out there knowing that every time he gives up a run the offense will score two or three. Every Red Sox pitcher can relax and just throw their game. The other side of that coin is the pitchers that have to face Boston. That’s daunting enough but becomes even more so when your offense isn’t producing and that’s precisely the situation James Shields is in. Additionally, Shields is laboring at the moment, having surrendered 21 hits and 14 runs over his last three starts in 18 IP. One of those starts was in Seattle and in that game the Mariners went yard on Shields four times. After getting his clocked clean a season ago, Shields’ confidence could also be in question. Red Sox plus anything right now is as good as it gets. Play: Boston +115 (Risking 2 units).
Kansas City +153 over OAKLAND
The A’s really don’t warrant being better than a 7½-5 favorite over anyone and that includes the Royals and their rookie pitcher. For one, KC has won three of its last four and they scored 14 runs over their last two games. This is a team that is loaded with outstanding talent in the minors and they’re slowly bringing these guys up. They recently promoted Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas and Greg Holland and all three are making a difference. Danny Duffy is another outstanding prospect but is getting himself into trouble at this level. He’s made five starts and if he blows this one he’s likely going back down. Duffy has solid stuff but he’s uncharacteristically walking far too many guys. One of his strengths in the minors was his impeccable command but he’s left that down there. Duffy is able to hold his above average velocity (90-97 mph) deep into games and his deceptive delivery and arm slot keep hitters off-guard. He’s overthrowing but five games into his career and a date with the A’s can fix that real fast and he’s most certainly worth a look at this price. Trevor Cahill started the year 6-0 and is now 6-4. The A’s have lost the last six games he’s started and until recently he’s had superior results backed by mediocre skills. A low hit rate of 29% and a high strand rate of 80% has aided him greatly in keeping his ERA to 3.18. As hit % and strand % regress, Cahill’s ERA is going to rise much closer to his xERA of 3.80. Lastly, Oakland has one win in its last 13 games. Need we say more? Play: Kansas City +153 (Risking 2 units).
